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NOT HOLY BUT TRINITY
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments23358.html
Published: 23:18:14 - 15/09/2011
A few days after Karen Karapetyan's dismissal, the post of the chief
of president staff in Armenia celebrating the 20th anniversary of its
independence remains vacant. Perhaps this post is not so important
compared with the 20th anniversary that Serzh Sargsyan has put off
this issue until after the holiday, when he has time. But it is also
possible that the holiday was the reason why Serzh Sargsyan postponed
this issue.
The point is that the chief of the president staff, in fact, not
being a subject of public politics, is, nevertheless, an important
link in government, and maybe even an essential link. Moreover,
where government is formed through shaded deals and rigged elections
rather than the Constitution, the role of links with shade potential
is enhanced. And the president staff is, in fact, the primary link.
Perhaps the president is the product of his staff, although in Armenia
it may seem to be contrary. However, if we try to recall the staffs of
presidents of independent Armenia, one will notice that they have more
political content than the whole political arena, and apparently the
presidents are guided by the political component in forming their own
staff more than in forming the political sphere in Armenia, at least
where the second, third and next positions are concerned.
In this sense, Serzh Sargsyan's next chief of staff will be
an interesting political indicator. The Russia-based Armenian
tycoons do not seem to have politically active relatives. Although
Ara Abrahamyan's brothers are members of the three parties of the
coalition each, Serzh Sargsyan will hardly take the move of the horse
and appoint one of the brothers of Ara Abrahamyan as chief of staff.
Now it is an especially dangerous move, considering that Abrahamyan
had earlier given a horse to the ex-leader of Libya, Qaddafi. Who knows
maybe this horse now helps him to run away or the horse helps him solve
the problem of food during his escape. At any rate, it appears that
Ara Abrahamyan continues to help Qaddafi, which means that Abrahamyan
is not a wanted political personality for the presidents who want to
have full democracy and rule of law in their country in 20 years.
To be more serious, two possible candidates of chief of president
staff are mentioned, Vigen Sargsyan and Mikael Minasyan, who is Serzh
Sargsyan's son-in-law. Both are in the president staff. Earlier Vigen
Sargsyan was in Robert Kocharyan's staff.
Mikael Minasyan went there together with Serzh Sargsyan. He is
considered to be the most influential person of the president staff
who was able to remove Karen Karapetyan. Minasyan with the so-called
youth wing in the president staff is trying to gain absolute nfluence,
and Karen Karapetyan's dismissal is a key move in this regard.
Minasyan's influence was said to account for the dismissal of Mayor
Gagik Beglaryan who had dared to slap Aram Kandayan, an employee of
the protocol service, a representative of the youth branch.
By the way, Vigen Sargsyan is also young but it is difficult to
consider him to be part of Minasyan's team, at least because till 2008
he was fully harmonized and integrated with the so-called Kocharyan
team. It may mean that Vigen Sargsyan's factor in the president
staff is built on a basis which is beyond the internal political
configuration and team orientation.
What will guide Serzh Sargsyan in selecting chief of staff, the team
where Minasyan's team has advantage or meta team, where Vigen Sargsyan
may have advantage? In addition, these two plains do not suppose a
controversy or opposition between Mikael Minasyan and Vigen Sargsyan.
Simply they are different platforms of the same process, the two
levels of security the same process, local and more global.
Nevertheless, the third option should not be ruled out either. Why? At
least because the number 3 is the magic companion of the recent
developments in Armenia. Now we are at the threshold of the third
decade of the third republic, the process is rotating around the
three presidents, the geopolitical centers where the political
class of Armenia seek a "fortune" are three, Washington, Moscow,
Brussels. So number 3 is urgent.
It is essential what is flowing below, through and on top of, or
maybe beside this "trinity" and where.
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments23358.html
Published: 23:18:14 - 15/09/2011
A few days after Karen Karapetyan's dismissal, the post of the chief
of president staff in Armenia celebrating the 20th anniversary of its
independence remains vacant. Perhaps this post is not so important
compared with the 20th anniversary that Serzh Sargsyan has put off
this issue until after the holiday, when he has time. But it is also
possible that the holiday was the reason why Serzh Sargsyan postponed
this issue.
The point is that the chief of the president staff, in fact, not
being a subject of public politics, is, nevertheless, an important
link in government, and maybe even an essential link. Moreover,
where government is formed through shaded deals and rigged elections
rather than the Constitution, the role of links with shade potential
is enhanced. And the president staff is, in fact, the primary link.
Perhaps the president is the product of his staff, although in Armenia
it may seem to be contrary. However, if we try to recall the staffs of
presidents of independent Armenia, one will notice that they have more
political content than the whole political arena, and apparently the
presidents are guided by the political component in forming their own
staff more than in forming the political sphere in Armenia, at least
where the second, third and next positions are concerned.
In this sense, Serzh Sargsyan's next chief of staff will be
an interesting political indicator. The Russia-based Armenian
tycoons do not seem to have politically active relatives. Although
Ara Abrahamyan's brothers are members of the three parties of the
coalition each, Serzh Sargsyan will hardly take the move of the horse
and appoint one of the brothers of Ara Abrahamyan as chief of staff.
Now it is an especially dangerous move, considering that Abrahamyan
had earlier given a horse to the ex-leader of Libya, Qaddafi. Who knows
maybe this horse now helps him to run away or the horse helps him solve
the problem of food during his escape. At any rate, it appears that
Ara Abrahamyan continues to help Qaddafi, which means that Abrahamyan
is not a wanted political personality for the presidents who want to
have full democracy and rule of law in their country in 20 years.
To be more serious, two possible candidates of chief of president
staff are mentioned, Vigen Sargsyan and Mikael Minasyan, who is Serzh
Sargsyan's son-in-law. Both are in the president staff. Earlier Vigen
Sargsyan was in Robert Kocharyan's staff.
Mikael Minasyan went there together with Serzh Sargsyan. He is
considered to be the most influential person of the president staff
who was able to remove Karen Karapetyan. Minasyan with the so-called
youth wing in the president staff is trying to gain absolute nfluence,
and Karen Karapetyan's dismissal is a key move in this regard.
Minasyan's influence was said to account for the dismissal of Mayor
Gagik Beglaryan who had dared to slap Aram Kandayan, an employee of
the protocol service, a representative of the youth branch.
By the way, Vigen Sargsyan is also young but it is difficult to
consider him to be part of Minasyan's team, at least because till 2008
he was fully harmonized and integrated with the so-called Kocharyan
team. It may mean that Vigen Sargsyan's factor in the president
staff is built on a basis which is beyond the internal political
configuration and team orientation.
What will guide Serzh Sargsyan in selecting chief of staff, the team
where Minasyan's team has advantage or meta team, where Vigen Sargsyan
may have advantage? In addition, these two plains do not suppose a
controversy or opposition between Mikael Minasyan and Vigen Sargsyan.
Simply they are different platforms of the same process, the two
levels of security the same process, local and more global.
Nevertheless, the third option should not be ruled out either. Why? At
least because the number 3 is the magic companion of the recent
developments in Armenia. Now we are at the threshold of the third
decade of the third republic, the process is rotating around the
three presidents, the geopolitical centers where the political
class of Armenia seek a "fortune" are three, Washington, Moscow,
Brussels. So number 3 is urgent.
It is essential what is flowing below, through and on top of, or
maybe beside this "trinity" and where.