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Sarcozy In The Caucasus

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  • Sarcozy In The Caucasus

    SARCOZY IN THE CAUCASUS

    WPS Agency
    September 14, 2011 Wednesday
    Russia

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, No 197, September 14, 2011, p. 2
    [translated from Russian]

    NICOLAS SARKOZY OF FRANCE WILL TOUR THE CAUCASUS BEFORE LONG; President
    of France Sarkozy is to visit Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia.

    President of France Nicolas Sarkozy will tour the southern part of
    the Caucasus soon. Exact date of the trip is not known at this point
    but ebullient comments from the three capitals of the region plainly
    show the importance they attach to the forthcoming visit.

    What Tbilisi and Baku expect from Sarkozy is more or less clear.

    Georgia will complain to the visitor that Russia refuses to honor the
    Sarkozy-Medvedev accords stipulating, among other things, withdrawal to
    pre-war positions. It will remind the guest of his promises regarding
    integration of Georgia into European structures.

    Azerbaijan will have its own tale of woe to tell. Once again, Russia
    will be condemned for the failure (unwillingness) to tell Armenia to
    make a compromise with Azerbaijan in the matter of Karabakh. France
    will be all too happy to replace Russia in the trilateral talks. Paris
    is not sisterly Ankara, of course, but neither it is entirely hopeless
    (at least this is how the Azerbaijanis must be thinking). Besides,
    Baku will almost certainly promise France oil and gas from its Caspian
    reserves. (Analogous promises to Russia of oil and gas after resolution
    of the Karabakh conflict failed to convince Moscow.)

    There is no saying in the meantime what awaits Sarkozy in Yerevan.

    After Russia, France is Armenia's second closest ally in international
    affairs.

    In any event, France is not Russia's worst adversary in geopolitical
    intrigues. And yet, does Russia really need another competitor in
    the southern part of the Caucasus? Life itself dictates the necessity
    to maintain genuine strategic relations with Yerevan and Baku. Even
    strategic relations with all involved parties are the only advantage
    Russia might convert into peace in the region.




    From: A. Papazian
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