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BAKU: Azerbaijan's Support For Turkey May Influence Israeli Policy

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  • BAKU: Azerbaijan's Support For Turkey May Influence Israeli Policy

    AZERBAIJAN'S SUPPORT FOR TURKEY MAY INFLUENCE ISRAELI POLICY

    news.az
    Sept 19 2011
    Azerbaijan

    News.Az interviews Gokmen Kilicoglu, a researcher at Istanbul
    University.

    The Israeli foreign minister said recently that he was preparing a
    number of retaliatory steps against Turkey. He said one step would be
    recognition of the "Armenian genocide" and support for the PKK. What
    are the implications of steps for Israel?

    Israel has a very strong lobby in different parts of the world,
    particularly in the United States. The use of this lobby can be
    effective in raising the question of the need to adopt a bill on the
    so-called "Armenian genocide". In addition, Israel, through rich and
    reputable Jews and non-Jewish people sympathetic to Israel in different
    parts of the world, could put Turkey in a difficult position. As you
    know, Israel is the largest producer of weapons.

    Besides, this country has a strong intelligence network worldwide,
    especially in the Middle East. Given these two factors, Israel could
    support terrorist organizations.

    At various times different allegations have been made against Israel
    that the country supports terrorist organizations. In other words,
    such a threat by Israel is not new. In this case, there is an
    interesting situation, namely the acquisition of a sufficiently
    large volume of Israeli weapons by Turkey to combat terror and
    protect their borders. Turkey may, therefore, face difficulties in
    weapons acquisition and, especially, there is already a challenge
    of maintaining and repairing the unmanned aircraft Turkey has bought
    from Israel.

    Will Israel lose its friendship with Azerbaijan if it strengthens
    ties with Armenia in order to retaliate against Turkey?

    Azerbaijan is an important country in the Caucasus region. In
    particular, its importance in the world is increasing with the growth
    of its energy strength. As is known, Israel wants to develop relations
    with Azerbaijan and has taken important steps in this direction. At
    the same time, it is also known that at different times there have been
    problems in relations between the leaders of Azerbaijan and Turkey.

    Israel will not miss the opportunity to take advantage of these
    problems. In other words, without affecting issues related to Karabakh
    but at the same time supporting efforts directed against Turkey and
    related to the so-called "genocide", Israel can signal to Azerbaijan
    that "our problems are not related to you".

    Moreover, in the Azerbaijani media, there are supporters of full
    backing for Turkey in its strained relations with Israel and supporters
    of an Azerbaijani stance that looks out for its own interests.

    By developing relations with Armenia, Israel will increase the efforts
    of Turkey and Azerbaijan to get even closer to each other.

    Is it possible to say that by losing friendship with Turkey and
    Azerbaijan, Israel will be isolated from the whole Muslim world?

    Israel seems to find it easier to establish relations with secular
    countries like Azerbaijan and Turkey than with other Islamic
    countries. Therefore, we can assume that the cooling of relations
    with these two countries will further increase tensions between Israel
    and the Islamic world.

    However, given that the Arab world is far from a unified position on
    Israel and that there is a lack of clarity about the role of Israel in
    what's known as the "Arab Spring" and its position after these events,
    it is difficult to give a specific answer. From time to time we can
    see how Arab governments hostile to Israel behave. Through a variety
    of promises, or pumping into the heads of government representatives
    of the Arab countries that Turkey's leadership is a "threat", Israel
    will enter the path of establishing a new balance in the relationship
    of powers. So, the criticism of the policies of Prime Minister Erdogan
    made by the Muslim Brotherhood are signs of this fear. Israel will
    not miss the opportunity to make use of the situation for its benefit.

    Can Azerbaijan mediate between Turkey and Israel?

    At a time when Israel does not listen to US proposals, it is doubtful
    that the services of other mediators would help.

    The United States, which relied on Israel in defining its interests in
    the region, and supported it in any situation, is trying to recommend
    that Israel avoid tensions with Turkey. However, Israel is refusing
    to disavow its position on an apology to Turkey for the killing of
    its citizens, who were supplying humanitarian aid to Gaza. Turkey is
    also determined in its position and says that it won't yield until
    Israel apologizes. The understanding that the whole world is against
    Israel, as well as close ties with Turkey reduce the possibility
    that Azerbaijan can become an unbiased mediator. This will further
    raise distrust. Azerbaijan's support for Turkey's position may play
    an important role in view of the uncompromising position of Israel.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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