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If Azerbaijan Resumes War, It Will Lose It - Russian Expert

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  • If Azerbaijan Resumes War, It Will Lose It - Russian Expert

    IF AZERBAIJAN RESUMES WAR, IT WILL LOSE IT - RUSSIAN EXPERT

    news.am
    Sept 21 2011
    Armenia

    YEREVAN. - Azerbaijan may have success at the beginning of the war
    with Armenia but the end will be catastrophic, Head of the Centre
    for military and political forecasts at the Institute for Political
    and Military Analysis Anatoly Tsyganok told Armenian News-NEWS.am
    correspondent.

    Regarding the balance of power in the region, the expert said that
    Azerbaijani budget is comparable to the Armenian.

    "This is the reason I do not want to dwell on the balance of power,"
    the expert said and added that Azerbaijan regularly speaks on making
    any effort, even to include military forces to have the situation
    of 1990s.

    The main problem is here. Azerbaijani military doctrine is not quite
    ethical. Azerbaijan approaches Armenia as its chief threat. The second
    threat is Russia.

    According to the expert, the main threat for Azerbaijan is oil factor
    and Iran, particularly Iran's position regarding Azerbaijan's relations
    with Israel.

    The next most important issue for Azerbaijan to use military force
    against the Armenian side in the context of threats is the position
    of the international community. Azerbaijan's main wealth is oil and
    European Union is extremely interested in it.

    Eventually if Azerbaijan resumes war, it will lose it. EU, UN and
    NATO will never agree to the application of military force for the
    Karabakh conflict resolution. Azerbaijan may have success at the
    beginning but the end will be catastrophic, the expert concluded.

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