IF AZERBAIJAN RESUMES WAR, IT WILL LOSE IT - RUSSIAN EXPERT
news.am
Sept 21 2011
Armenia
YEREVAN. - Azerbaijan may have success at the beginning of the war
with Armenia but the end will be catastrophic, Head of the Centre
for military and political forecasts at the Institute for Political
and Military Analysis Anatoly Tsyganok told Armenian News-NEWS.am
correspondent.
Regarding the balance of power in the region, the expert said that
Azerbaijani budget is comparable to the Armenian.
"This is the reason I do not want to dwell on the balance of power,"
the expert said and added that Azerbaijan regularly speaks on making
any effort, even to include military forces to have the situation
of 1990s.
The main problem is here. Azerbaijani military doctrine is not quite
ethical. Azerbaijan approaches Armenia as its chief threat. The second
threat is Russia.
According to the expert, the main threat for Azerbaijan is oil factor
and Iran, particularly Iran's position regarding Azerbaijan's relations
with Israel.
The next most important issue for Azerbaijan to use military force
against the Armenian side in the context of threats is the position
of the international community. Azerbaijan's main wealth is oil and
European Union is extremely interested in it.
Eventually if Azerbaijan resumes war, it will lose it. EU, UN and
NATO will never agree to the application of military force for the
Karabakh conflict resolution. Azerbaijan may have success at the
beginning but the end will be catastrophic, the expert concluded.
news.am
Sept 21 2011
Armenia
YEREVAN. - Azerbaijan may have success at the beginning of the war
with Armenia but the end will be catastrophic, Head of the Centre
for military and political forecasts at the Institute for Political
and Military Analysis Anatoly Tsyganok told Armenian News-NEWS.am
correspondent.
Regarding the balance of power in the region, the expert said that
Azerbaijani budget is comparable to the Armenian.
"This is the reason I do not want to dwell on the balance of power,"
the expert said and added that Azerbaijan regularly speaks on making
any effort, even to include military forces to have the situation
of 1990s.
The main problem is here. Azerbaijani military doctrine is not quite
ethical. Azerbaijan approaches Armenia as its chief threat. The second
threat is Russia.
According to the expert, the main threat for Azerbaijan is oil factor
and Iran, particularly Iran's position regarding Azerbaijan's relations
with Israel.
The next most important issue for Azerbaijan to use military force
against the Armenian side in the context of threats is the position
of the international community. Azerbaijan's main wealth is oil and
European Union is extremely interested in it.
Eventually if Azerbaijan resumes war, it will lose it. EU, UN and
NATO will never agree to the application of military force for the
Karabakh conflict resolution. Azerbaijan may have success at the
beginning but the end will be catastrophic, the expert concluded.