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KOCHARYAN HINTS AT HIMSELF
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/country23481.html
Published: 14:36:07 - 23/09/2011
6-7 months are left till the scheduled parliamentary election but
it is not clear who will take to the arena and with what forces they
will ally.
One of the main intrigues of the pre-election campaign is whether
the Armenian National Congress will run in the scheduled elections
to parliament, and who will head the Republican ticket.
The congress which insists on early elections, first to president, then
to parliament, may boycott the scheduled parliamentary elections in a
demarche if the dialogue is not launched in autumn, and it launches the
"square" confrontation. However, the Congress may choose to proceed
with "small steps", first entering the parliament, then forming a
parliamentary group and, afterwards, gather momentum to plunge into
the presidential elections.
A more interesting situation has occurred in relation to the Bargavach
Hayastan Party. Wikileaks has published a document which reads that
the ex-president Robert Kocharyan told the ex-U.S. Ambassador Marie
Yovanovitch that the Bargavach Hayastan Party is a one-man party. This
statement was commented by Member of Parliament Aram Safaryan from
this party who thinks there is nothing bad about having a party around
Gagik Tsarukyan.
Since then the experts have been saying that Robert Kocharyan may no
longer view Bargavach Hayastan as a possible platform to return to
politics. There were opinions that Kocharyan has decided to extend
the break.
However, the ex-foreign minister Vardan Oskanyan hinted that the
second president may run in the parliamentary elections. However, in
which party is he likely to run? Or will he run under the majority
system? Most probably, he will run on the ticket of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party.
Evidence to this could be the interview of the spokesman of Kocharyan's
office, Victor Soghomonyan, who stated that Kocharyan had meant
"the party known to everyone", not the Bargavach Hayastan Party.
This public "refutation" is evidence that Kocharyan does not want to
spoil his relations with Tsarukyan, and hints at himself. In this
context, Kocharyan's appearance on the first line of the ticket
of the Bargavach Hayastan Party is quite possible. The question is
whether besides Tsarukyan the other members of the party will agree
to adhere to the opposition and lose their positions. Will Robert
Kocharyan be able to guarantee that they will keep their positions
and leverages and will not oppose to the present government. In other
words, Kocharyan himself needs guarantees, and if he has decided to
run for parliament, it means he has no guarantees yet and he also
chooses to take "small steps".
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/country23481.html
Published: 14:36:07 - 23/09/2011
6-7 months are left till the scheduled parliamentary election but
it is not clear who will take to the arena and with what forces they
will ally.
One of the main intrigues of the pre-election campaign is whether
the Armenian National Congress will run in the scheduled elections
to parliament, and who will head the Republican ticket.
The congress which insists on early elections, first to president, then
to parliament, may boycott the scheduled parliamentary elections in a
demarche if the dialogue is not launched in autumn, and it launches the
"square" confrontation. However, the Congress may choose to proceed
with "small steps", first entering the parliament, then forming a
parliamentary group and, afterwards, gather momentum to plunge into
the presidential elections.
A more interesting situation has occurred in relation to the Bargavach
Hayastan Party. Wikileaks has published a document which reads that
the ex-president Robert Kocharyan told the ex-U.S. Ambassador Marie
Yovanovitch that the Bargavach Hayastan Party is a one-man party. This
statement was commented by Member of Parliament Aram Safaryan from
this party who thinks there is nothing bad about having a party around
Gagik Tsarukyan.
Since then the experts have been saying that Robert Kocharyan may no
longer view Bargavach Hayastan as a possible platform to return to
politics. There were opinions that Kocharyan has decided to extend
the break.
However, the ex-foreign minister Vardan Oskanyan hinted that the
second president may run in the parliamentary elections. However, in
which party is he likely to run? Or will he run under the majority
system? Most probably, he will run on the ticket of the Bargavach
Hayastan Party.
Evidence to this could be the interview of the spokesman of Kocharyan's
office, Victor Soghomonyan, who stated that Kocharyan had meant
"the party known to everyone", not the Bargavach Hayastan Party.
This public "refutation" is evidence that Kocharyan does not want to
spoil his relations with Tsarukyan, and hints at himself. In this
context, Kocharyan's appearance on the first line of the ticket
of the Bargavach Hayastan Party is quite possible. The question is
whether besides Tsarukyan the other members of the party will agree
to adhere to the opposition and lose their positions. Will Robert
Kocharyan be able to guarantee that they will keep their positions
and leverages and will not oppose to the present government. In other
words, Kocharyan himself needs guarantees, and if he has decided to
run for parliament, it means he has no guarantees yet and he also
chooses to take "small steps".