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Political Analyst: No Room For Ratification Of Armenian-Turkish Prot

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  • Political Analyst: No Room For Ratification Of Armenian-Turkish Prot

    POLITICAL ANALYST: NO ROOM FOR RATIFICATION OF ARMENIAN-TURKISH PROTOCOLS

    ARKA
    Sep 27, 2011

    YEREVAN, September 27. /ARKA/. Alexander Iskandaryan, political
    analyst and director of Caucasus Institute, speaking Tuesday in
    Novosti International Press Center, said there are absolutely no
    prospects today for ratification of Armenian-Turkish protocols by
    Turkish Parliament.

    It became known on September 24 that Turkish government that Turkish
    government has returned Armenian-Turkish protocols signed in 2009 to
    the parliament's agenda.

    "To put it mildly, Turkey now doesn't care about protocols - it
    has far bigger troubles in both foreign and domestic policies,"
    Iskandaryan said.

    In recent weeks, there is an all-out war between Turkish army and
    Kurdish guerrillas, and this is a grave problem for Turkey.

    Iskandaryan also finds it obvious that Turkish Prime Minister Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan will seek to amend the country's constitution to make
    Turkey a presidential republic and run for presidency. According to
    Iskandaryan, in such a situation ratification of the protocols will
    hardly play into his hands.

    He says that Turkey seeks dominance in the rapidly-changing Middle
    East, but having no sufficient resources for that, faces difficulties.

    "Things are very complicated and risky, and Turkish leadership stakes
    everything to obtain a new position in the region," he said. "In such
    a situation, how can Turkey think about Armenian protocols?"

    The political analyst said that the United States keeps pushing Turkey
    to sign the protocols, but it has no sufficient pressure instruments.

    Turkey and Armenia have had no diplomatic ties since Armenia became
    independent from the Soviet Union in 1991. Turkey closed its border
    with Armenia in 1993 in a show of support for its ally, Azerbaijan,
    which had a dispute with Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh, the ethnic
    Armenian enclave of Azerbaijan.

    There are several sensitive issues complicating the establishment of
    normal relations between the two countries, particularly, Ankara's
    blatant support of Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
    resolution process and Turkey's refusal to acknowledge the mass
    killings of Armenians in the last years of the Ottoman Empire as
    a genocide.

    Thaw in Armenian-Turkish relations began in 2008 at Armenian President
    Serzh Sargsyan's initiative.

    On October 10, Armenian and Turkish foreign ministers Edward
    Nalbandyan and Ahmet Davutoglu signed the protocols on establishment of
    diplomatic ties between the two countries and development of bilateral
    relations. The protocols had to be ratified by the two countries'
    parliaments, but on April 22, 2010, the Armenian president signed a
    decree ceasing the process of ratification. He said Turkey was not
    ready to continue the process.

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