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  • Results of Moscow meeting displease Armenia

    Vestnik Kavkaza, Russia
    Aug 14 2012

    Results of Moscow meeting displease Armenia

    Susanna Petrosyan, Yerevan. Exclusively to VK


    Last week, the presidents of Russia and Armenia met in Moscow.
    According to official information, they discussed security issues in
    the South Caucasus, including the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement,
    prospects of deep cooperation within the CIS and within Eurasian
    integration processes, international problems, bilateral relations and
    economy.

    One of the key issues was possibility of Armenia's accession to the
    Eurasian Union. Regarding this issue, Armenian expert society is
    rather skeptical. The expert of the Armenian Center of Political and
    International Research, Ruben Megrabyan, is sure that Moscow will
    force Yerevan to make a choice between the EurAsEU and the EU, but `it
    is dangerous to put all eggs in one bowl.'

    The head of the Analytical Center of Globalization and Regional
    Cooperation, political scientist Stepan Grigoryan also considers
    pressure on Armenia by Russia: `The idea of the Eurasian Union
    initiated by Putin has one aim: Russia wants to improve its influence
    in the post-Soviet area and reconstruct links with close neighbors.
    However, we should analyze whether it is beneficial for Armenia. What
    can the EurAsEU give to Armenia? We have no ground boundaries with any
    possible EurAsEU country. In this case I don't see any sense in
    joining this union.'

    Meanwhile, within Sargsyan's visit to Moscow presidents agreed on
    establishing a special commission which will consider possibility of
    participation of Yerevan in integration processes within the Customs
    Union and the Common Economic Area. According to Putin, the
    peculiarity is that Russia and Armenia have no common borders, that is
    why `implementation of instruments agreed by three countries (Russia,
    Belarus, and Kazakhstan) might be considered.'

    At the same time, issues connected with increase of prices on Russian
    gas exported to Armenia were not settled, as well as the issue on
    giving $1 billion credit to Armenia. Russia is the main Armenian trade
    counter-agent and the leading foreign investor to the Armenian
    economy. Today mutual turnover is $1 billion.

    `Today we are speaking about an important topic - prices on natural
    gas exported to Armenia. I think we have found mutual understanding in
    principles of price forming,' Serge Sargsyan stated. He indirectly
    confirmed that he didn't manage to stop increase of gas tariffs.

    The Moscow position is not a surprise. Russia is speaking about market
    gas price for its partners for several years. As for Armenia, it
    usually succeeded in postponing of price increases or its partial
    implementation due to giving to Russia some facilities of Armenian
    infrastructure. Last time Russia agreed to divide the price increase
    into two stages in 2010: in April 2010 and in October 2012.

    According to the opposition, the Armenian side should prepare for
    buying Russian gas on market prices. For example, money gained from
    gas sales within the country should be allocated to purchasing of
    modern non-energy-intensive equipment and technologies, as well as to
    modernization of the existing industrial equipment to make gas sphere
    more money-saving, but it wasn't done.

    It appears the Russian side cannot be accused of pressure on Armenia,
    and the Armenian government should blame itself. The fact is that
    Russia didn't postpone price increase one more time due to some
    reasons.

    Probably the Armenian President didn't manage to get $1 billion
    Russian credit as well. Putin reminded on transfers from Russia to
    Armenia which are estimated up to $1 billion. And it is a significant
    part of Armenia's GDP. The Russian leader spoke about the sum in the
    context of Armenia's expectations for a credit on this sum.

    In 2009 Russia gave Armenia a half of a billion. But the Armenian side
    didn't use money effectively. A significant part of this credit was
    allocated by the government not for economic reforms or support of
    socio-economic projects, but for implementation of dubious projects
    with participation of dubious companies. Russia is concern about using
    of its money.

    As the result, two important issues for Armenia were not settled. Gas
    prices will be increased ahead of the presidential elections in
    February 2013.

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