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Risk and Politics
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27111.html
Published: 17:38:42 - 17/08/2012
In the early 1990s the political literature and the plans of leading
states were full of intentions of introducing military methods of
defense of communication and energy projects. Important documents
relating to security issues were aimed at containing threats and risks
and underlay the establishment of global politics, including such
elements as space, basing, development of more modern types of weapon.
Some experts who were not trained in risk analysis considered the
opportunities for defense of systemic facilities rather
pessimistically, with global increase of destructivism and extremism.
However, the issue was, nevertheless, resolved with the help of such
approaches that are related to a fundamental change of the security
ideology and even the new security outlook.
Two years ago it seemed that the intentions of the United States,
Great Britain, and as it has become known recently, France, relating
to the production and transportation of oil from Iraq, are impossible
in the conditions of chaos. Nevertheless, the big Iraqi oil appeared
on the international market. In addition, though the Iraqi oil is used
`independently' from the traditional Arab export as a source that
supplies the global demand until the stage of creation of controllable
thermonuclear processes.
Other oil projects are implemented as well along with the projects of
use of the Iraqi oil. The corresponding security systems suppose
implementation of these projects at any level of threats and risks,
including subversion and terrorism. In other words, the outputs of
implementation of these programs `cover' all the possible risks and
related costs.
In practice, these approaches have shown that the Western community
and its partners in different regions have entered into a new stage of
global politics and economy, while the geoeconomy has acquired quite
new parameters and lines of efficiency. For the regions and the
regional policy it means ignoring any risk and threat and
implementation of any policy that presupposes crises and military
conflicts of different intensity.
The following circumstance may have the right to be considered - the
global economic crisis is one of the means of adaptation of the global
social, political and economic system to the new level of risks and
threats. The Western community and the rest of the world has no way
out of this global chaos except for adopting principles towards risks
and threats. For the majority of region's states the hopes for
stability and security guarantees have lost importance as a condition
of successful economic functioning of the West. In other words, by
allowing any nature of chaos and brutality all these phenomena and
processes will be successfully overcome by the global centers of
force.
In this situation all the controllable, badly controllable and
non-controllable crisis developments and conflicts as tools of global
policy are to be expected. A world security zone has been established.
The global definition is as follows - leaders, partners, raw
materials. Everyone gets theirs. However, the leaders also have
problems so NATO summit in Chicago in May presupposes new formats and
logic of international relations.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27111.html
Published: 17:38:42 - 17/08/2012
In the early 1990s the political literature and the plans of leading
states were full of intentions of introducing military methods of
defense of communication and energy projects. Important documents
relating to security issues were aimed at containing threats and risks
and underlay the establishment of global politics, including such
elements as space, basing, development of more modern types of weapon.
Some experts who were not trained in risk analysis considered the
opportunities for defense of systemic facilities rather
pessimistically, with global increase of destructivism and extremism.
However, the issue was, nevertheless, resolved with the help of such
approaches that are related to a fundamental change of the security
ideology and even the new security outlook.
Two years ago it seemed that the intentions of the United States,
Great Britain, and as it has become known recently, France, relating
to the production and transportation of oil from Iraq, are impossible
in the conditions of chaos. Nevertheless, the big Iraqi oil appeared
on the international market. In addition, though the Iraqi oil is used
`independently' from the traditional Arab export as a source that
supplies the global demand until the stage of creation of controllable
thermonuclear processes.
Other oil projects are implemented as well along with the projects of
use of the Iraqi oil. The corresponding security systems suppose
implementation of these projects at any level of threats and risks,
including subversion and terrorism. In other words, the outputs of
implementation of these programs `cover' all the possible risks and
related costs.
In practice, these approaches have shown that the Western community
and its partners in different regions have entered into a new stage of
global politics and economy, while the geoeconomy has acquired quite
new parameters and lines of efficiency. For the regions and the
regional policy it means ignoring any risk and threat and
implementation of any policy that presupposes crises and military
conflicts of different intensity.
The following circumstance may have the right to be considered - the
global economic crisis is one of the means of adaptation of the global
social, political and economic system to the new level of risks and
threats. The Western community and the rest of the world has no way
out of this global chaos except for adopting principles towards risks
and threats. For the majority of region's states the hopes for
stability and security guarantees have lost importance as a condition
of successful economic functioning of the West. In other words, by
allowing any nature of chaos and brutality all these phenomena and
processes will be successfully overcome by the global centers of
force.
In this situation all the controllable, badly controllable and
non-controllable crisis developments and conflicts as tools of global
policy are to be expected. A world security zone has been established.
The global definition is as follows - leaders, partners, raw
materials. Everyone gets theirs. However, the leaders also have
problems so NATO summit in Chicago in May presupposes new formats and
logic of international relations.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress