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TBILISI: On the way to Karabakh through Georgia?!

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  • TBILISI: On the way to Karabakh through Georgia?!

    The Messenger, Georgia
    Aug 22 2012

    On the way to Karabakh through Georgia?!


    The military analysis magazine `Arsenali' in the article `On the way
    to Karabakh through Georgia? Turkey thinks Russia should refrain from
    supporting Armenia in the Karabakh conflict' states that Saina Ogan, a
    member of the Turkish Parliament and the head of the Strategic
    Research Center, made a controversial statement to one of the Turkish
    media sources: " In case Russia provides any kind of military support
    to Armenia, this will be a reason not for only Armenia and Russia to
    become involved in the conflict, but for other countries as well. War
    may put Russia in a very difficult situation.'

    Ogan has also confirmed that in case Russia supports Armenia in the
    conflict, Turkey will oppose them.

    The article also stresses the possible role of Georgia in the conflict
    and the ways in which Turkey could supply military aid to Azerbaijan.
    Turkey could attack Armenia across their shared (and closed) border.
    Another possibility would be to transport troops and weapons through
    Georgian territory, and thereby bring another country into the
    conflict, as Armenia would be forced to stop Azeri supply routes by
    attacking Georgian highways and possibly even enlisting the support of
    Georgian citizens of Armenian ancestry.

    Having taken an official responsibility to protect and support
    Armenia, Russia will not remain just a neutral observer should the
    conflict in the Nagorno-Karabakh region escalate. All roads from
    Russia to Armenia run through Georgia. Flying across Georgian airspace
    (which is currently closed for Russian aircraft) would be the easiest
    way to transport military supplies to Armenia. After the 2008 war it
    does not seem likely that the Georgian government would try to take
    down or land Russian military or transport jets should they violate
    Georgian airspace. It does seem very likely that should the conflict
    in Nagorno-Karabakh erupt again Georgia would become involved at some
    point, whether it wants to or not.

    http://www.messenger.com.ge/issues/2677_august_22_2012/2677_press_scanner.html

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