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US Defence Sale Ban Won't Stop Azeris Arming

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  • US Defence Sale Ban Won't Stop Azeris Arming

    US Defence Sale Ban Won't Stop Azeris Arming
    http://hetq.am/eng/news/17770/us-defence-sale-ban-wont-stop-azeris-arming.html
    17:10, August 23, 2012

    *Substantial arms purchases mostly made in other ex-Soviet states.*

    *By** **Shahla Sultanova** **-** **Caucasus*

    The United States' decision not to sell arms to Azerbaijan for fear they
    could be used against Armenia will do little to curb the country's growing
    defence-sector acquisitions, experts say.

    The US Department of State wanted to add Azerbaijan to the list of
    countries eligible to buy American military equipment, specifically for
    border protection and `police-type' activities. But it shelved the plan on
    June 27, after Congressman Howard Berman wrote to Secretary of State
    Hillary Clinton to argue that `this equipment could be used to identify and
    possibly target Armenians in the border area for surveillance or for
    attack'.

    In the years since independence in 1991, Baku has developed a warm
    relationship with Washington, with American oil firms coming in as
    investors and Azerbaijan building closer ties with NATO, for example by
    assisting the effort to supply forces in Afghanistan.

    With substantial revenues coming in from oil exports, Azerbaijan has been
    able to afford exponential rates of defence spending, going from 160
    million US dollars in 2003 to a projected 3.6 billion dollars this year.
    Foreign purchases include combat aircraft and helicopters, artillery, and
    air-defence systems.

    The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, SIPRI, says
    Azerbaijan showed the largest rise in military spending of any world state
    last year - an increase of 88 per cent in real terms in the previous year.

    The military build-up has alarmed neighbouring Armenia, which fears that a
    rearmed Azerbaijan might launch an offensive to recapture Nagorny Karabakh,
    which has been controlled by a local Armenian administration since 1994,
    when a ceasefire ended years of conflict.

    Protracted negotiations led by the Organisation for Security and
    Cooperation have not come up with a solution to Karabakh's future status
    that all sides can accept, and the truce is frequently marred by localised
    shooting and skirmishes.

    The US arms export ban is unlikely to interrupt the flow of Azerbaijani
    arms purchases.

    Reports by the United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs, UNODA, and
    SIPRI's databases for 2006-11 show that Azerbaijan bought armoured vehicles
    from Turkey and South Africa, and drone planes from Israel. (See *Karabakh
    Claims Coup With Drone Plane
    Hit
    * in this connection.) These sources indicated that engines for the South
    African vehicles were acquired from the United States, but nothing else.

    Jasur Sumerinli, who heads the Doktrina defence research think-tank in
    Baku, says US military assistance is largely confined to improving
    communication equipment.

    The State Department website confirms this, indicating that the US helped
    upgrade the Azerbaijani navy's navigation, communications, and radar
    systems.

    An examination of the budgets for US government assistance indicates that
    Washington provided Azerbaijan with 142 million dollars in aid to promote
    peace and security in 2002-11. The main aims of this assistance were to
    enhance Azerbaijan's counter-terrorism capacity, help it prevent the
    proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in the Caspian region, and as
    part of this, to improve border controls and thus block illegal shipments.

    There are even some arms sales in the other direction. In 2010, Defence
    Industry Minister Yaver Jamalov told local media that his ministry had
    signed three deals under which American firms would buy Russian-pattern
    machine guns and mortars, and ammunition for both weapon types as well as
    for Kalashnikovs.

    Yashar Jafarli, a defence expert who heads the Azerbaijan Public
    Association for Security and Defence, says the US does not feature in major
    arms purchases.

    `Azerbaijan mostly does arm deals with Commonwealth of Independent States
    members like Russia and Ukraine,' explained.

    One reason for this is that Azerbaijan continues to use Soviet-pattern
    military equipment, so it makes sense to continue buying new items and
    spare parts from Russia and other suppliers that manufacture to the same
    sets of standards.

    UNODA reports that over the last decade, Azerbaijan has acquired 170 T-72
    tanks, 150 armoured personnel carriers, over 320 large-calibre artillery
    pieces, 95 missile systems, and 19,000 Kalashnikov rifles from Russia,
    Ukraine and Belarus. It has also acquired Russian-made Uran missiles, which
    are for naval use and are therefore destined for deployment on the Caspian
    Sea.

    Sumerinli said talk of Azerbaijan deploying its military might against its
    Armenian neighbours was unfounded. The government had signed agreement
    formally committing it to a peaceful resolution of the Karabakh dispute.

    `Supposing Azerbaijan wished to attack Armenia, this would be resisted by
    the international community,' he said. `Besides, if Azerbaijan really did
    want to ignore the international community and attack Armenia, it would do
    so using weapons purchased from the Commonwealth of Independent States.'

    Azerbaijan's defence ministry refused to comment on the US decision, and
    on
    military cooperation with Washington in general.

    A spokesman for the foreign ministry, Elman Abdullayev, said the country's
    arms purchases were designed for defence rather than offence.

    `That is absolutely justifiable given that Azerbaijani territory [Karabakh
    and adjoining areas] is occupied by Armenia. This country does not intend
    to use its weapons against other countries,' he said, without specifying
    whether Armenia was one of those countries.

    Despite the recent decision, neither Sumerinli and Jafarli believes
    Washington is wholeheartedly committed to banning sales of military
    equipment to Baku.

    `The US will think of some ways of assisting Azerbaijan, which is an
    extremely important country for it,' Sumerinli said. `It might sell
    military items to Azerbaijan via Israel or Turkey, with which Azerbaijan
    has strong collaborative ties.'

    *Shahla Sultanova is a freelance reporter in Azerbaijan.*

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