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Will Russia Really Modify its Traditional Policy Towards Turkey?

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  • Will Russia Really Modify its Traditional Policy Towards Turkey?

    WILL RUSSIA REALLY MODIFY ITS TRADITIONAL POLICY TOWARDS TURKEY?

    http://artsakhtert.com/eng/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=858:-will-russia-really-modify-its-traditional-policy-towards-turkey&catid=5:politics&Itemid=17
    Friday, 30 November 2012 15:17


    Recently, well-known Russian political analyst Michael Alexandrov has
    issued an article titled `Turkish gambit: will the Russian leadership
    repeat the Bolsheviks' error?', in which he analyzed the
    Russian-Turkish relations as of the Soviet Union creation up today and
    concluded that continuation of the traditional policy by the Russian
    Federation's current leadership would contradict the interests of
    Russia. It should be noted that the political analyst's emphases are
    of special interest for the Armenian party in the sense that they are
    directly related to the events in the Armenian people's life taken
    place in the second decade of the last century and to their
    consequences.
    Also worthy of attention are the observations on the neo-Ottoman
    policy of the Turkish leadership and the need to oppose it.
    What is today's Turkey in the Middle East? It is no secret that within
    the region this country claims to be a superpower backed by the U.S.
    and NATO power. One of the main directions of the American policy is
    implementation of the program `Great Middle East', which can be
    realized with the increase of Turkey's role and influence in the
    region. Russian political scientist M. Alexandrov refers to the
    current military-political realities associated with the blockade of
    Iran. The Americans deployed a radar station in Turkey, which is
    considered a component of the U.S. missile defense system. With the
    beginning of the 'Arab spring', Ankara enthusiastically joined the
    West's efforts to change the regimes in the North Africa countries.
    According to the political analyst, restoring its influence in the
    Arab world, Turkey will be able to restore the Ottoman Empire, in its
    new form. In the foreign policy, this course was called
    `neo-Ottomanism'. There is a nuance in this process - while in the
    past Turkey played this role exclusively alone, nowadays it is
    represented as a carrier of Western powers' interests in the region.

    It is needless to note that the Bolshevism period put its black stamp
    on the Armenian people's history. Basing its foreign policy on the
    socialist revolution ideology, in the 20s of the last century, Russia
    deprived the Armenian people of its historical homeland, sacrificing
    an entire nation for its own geopolitical ambitions. `Leader of the
    world proletariat' Vladimir Lenin strongly wished to make Turkey its
    strategic ally to struggle against the Western imperialism. The 1921
    Moscow Treaty is a bright evidence of it. By the way, Russians say
    that Moscow made great territorial concessions to Turkey by the
    treaty. But, it is not a correct definition for us Armenians: the
    truth is that the Bolsheviks simply gifted Armenian territories to
    Turkey - the country, which was defeated in the World War I and which
    was threatened with the danger of disappearing from the world map.
    Among the Soviet figures, only Chicherin opposed the defeatist policy,
    but his position did not play a significant role. Kemal Atatürk sent a
    letter to the Soviet Government, which, in particular, read: «We
    pledge to join all our works and military operations with the efforts
    of the Russian Bolsheviks in order to fight against imperialist
    governments and to liberate all the oppressed». This was not a simple
    application - Ataturk won a diplomatic victory over the Russians, or
    rather deceived «all the oppressed». It deceived the leader, which was
    naïve enough to believe that Turkey's Communist Party can become a
    political support for it. But, the father of the Turks planned another
    scenario for this party. The Armenian people greatly suffered from the
    Moscow Treaty, while the Russians began to provide economic aid to
    Turkey, as Kemal Ataturk had pledged to join the efforts of the
    Russian Bolsheviks. Michael Alexandrov refers to Russia's assistance
    to Turkey in a large number of weapons and ammunition for creating a
    basis for the military industry in 1920-1922s.

    The political analyst notes that as of today the Moscow Treaty is
    evaluated by the Russian Foreign Ministry as an important diplomatic
    achievement and even on March 16, 2006, Russia and Turkey marked the
    85th anniversary of the Treaty. The parties exchanged congratulatory
    telegrams. Meanwhile, the Russians had the greatest chance to collapse
    the Turkish state by the Brest Treaty. The Armenian historiography
    assessment is that the Russians did not only help Turkey recover, but
    also gifted it entire Western Armenia. We should note that with
    Russia's support this country turned into a predatory state in the
    whole Middle East region. So, it was a victory for Turkey, and Turkey
    will always celebrate this victory.

    And what about Russia?... And here, M. Alexandrov, without sparing his
    own country's rating, states: «With whom else could the Turks sign
    such an unprecedented and successful treaty?' Perhaps no country in
    the world would make such a shameful deal. And why should Turkey be
    against developing relations with Moscow, basing on the same
    principles? The economic cooperation between the two countries is
    increasing with time - the indexes testify to the growth in the volume
    of the commodity circulation.

    We should pay attention to some emphases in the article. On a series
    of important issues, the Turkish foreign policy does not coincide with
    the Russian interests, and moreover, it contradicts them. It concerns,
    first of all, the Karabakh conflict, in which Ankara actually
    encourages Baku in displaying intransigence. Turkey maintains the
    economic and transport blockade of Russia's strategic ally Armenia,
    denying the idea of establishing diplomatic relations and opening the
    border with it. On the other hand, Turkey is an active participant of
    NABUCCO project, which also runs counter to Russian interests. Ankara
    has set its control over the Black Sea straits, limiting the volumes
    of the Russian oil exports via sea. Turkey has also joined the
    American Air Defense system. Today, Turkey's aggressive policy towards
    Russia's ally Syria is obvious. The only compromise between the RF and
    Turkey is that Ankara has refused to support the Chechen terrorists,
    and in response to this, the Russians have refused to support the
    Kurdish Workers' Party of Turkey. But, Turkey in no way refuses to
    cooperate with the Cherkess separatists in the North Caucasus, in
    spite of Russia's request.

    Michael Alexandrov concludes that in this case President Putin should
    seriously think over the prospects of the Russian-Turkish relations,
    because there is a danger that the RF President can repeat the Russian
    Bolsheviks' wrong policy conducted in 1920s.

    I think we can make some additions to Russian political scientist's
    analysis related to Yeltsin-period Russia's foreign policy in the
    West, which allows us to state that the post-Soviet diplomacy towards
    Turkey in no way differs from the Soviet one. After the collapse of
    the USSR, Boris Yeltsin visited Bulgaria. At an event within the
    visit, Bulgaria's President stated that his country was oriented
    towards the West, and the regulation of the Russian-Bulgarian
    relations did not mean a return to the past. The RF President voiced
    no sentence in response to this statement. Then, long discussions took
    place on this visit: Moscow's political circles openly stated that
    Yeltsin actually dealt a great blow to his own and his country's
    reputation. The post-Soviet events in the Balkans also allowed
    understanding the directions of the Russian-Turkish relations -
    Russia's new leadership continued supporting the West in attacking its
    traditional bases. The situation in the Middle East and the Syrian
    crisis in particular are obvious manifestations of this policy. The
    USA, being Turkey's major ally and strategic partner, restrains its
    appetite, if necessary. It turns out that only the USA is able to
    release Turkey's hands, or, if necessary, to put pressure on it. As
    they say, the control panel is in Washington.

    In this case, the Russians really have only to sing 'chastushka' under
    the Turkish mugham. But, as Russia will thus lose its influence in the
    Middle East, the political mind suggests Vladimir Putin that Russia
    can play an active role in a series of issues, using its levers of
    influence; particularly in the Armenian Genocide issue, it should
    demonstrate that the policy of Ottomanism, from which the Armenian
    people suffered, is a great threat to humanity.

    Ruzan ISHKHANIAN

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