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Unanswered questions. Uncertainty in Armenian-Russian rel'nspersists

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  • Unanswered questions. Uncertainty in Armenian-Russian rel'nspersists

    Aravot, Armenia
    Nov 28 2012


    Two interviews, unanswered questions. Uncertainty in Armenian-Russian
    relations persists?

    [Translated from Armenian]

    by Emma Gabrielyan

    After the Armenian press reported that [Armenian President] Serzh
    Sargsyan went to Moscow following his visit to France, it is clear
    that political circles have been interested in whether Moscow will
    support Sargsyan in the coming [2013] presidential election, or the
    Russian Federation considers another candidate to serve its interests.

    "Nothing clear" in Armenian-Russian

    It was possible to predict after Sargsyan's return that there would be
    some messages, which would allow having an understanding of what the
    Russian authorities demanded from Sargsyan, whether problems would be
    resolved and whether Russian President Vladimir Putin would eventually
    visit Armenia (which could be perceived as a proof of support for
    Serzh Sargsyan ahead of the presidential election).

    There has already been talk regarding Putin's visit for months, but
    nothing is clear.

    A number of noteworthy events have followed the return of Serzh
    Sargsyan, which cast light on Russia's attitude towards Armenia in the
    period ahead of the election and on what it expects from the Armenian
    authorities.

    At first, on 23 November, Sargsyan received the heads of a number of
    Russian mass media outlets, who arrived in Armenia to attend "At the
    Slope of Mount Ararat" media forum. During the meeting, Sargsyan spoke
    about Armenia's foreign policy, regional challenges, dynamically
    developing Armenian-Russian relations, and the economic and investment
    environment in our country.

    It is noteworthy that no such meetings are held and no press
    conferences are convened with Armenian mass media representatives.

    Armenian-Russian relations "not built on interests alone"

    On 26 November, Armenian Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan gave two
    interviews to two Russian mass media outlets - the Interfax news
    agency and the Izvestiya newspaper.

    In his interview to Interfax, Tigran Sargsyan covered a large range of
    issues - from Armenian-Russian ties to consequences of sanctions
    against Iran and the crisis in Syria.

    However, let us elaborate on a few of those topics.

    Speaking about priority joint projects in bilateral relations and
    serious problems in the field of bilateral cooperation, the prime
    minister said: "Strategic partnership relations imply that such
    cooperation relies not on the concept of interests, but on the concept
    of common values. That is our common vision of the common past and
    common future.

    If strategic partnership relations were built only on interests, they
    could hardly be called strategic. Relations between Armenia and Russia
    are obviously not built on interests alone. At present, very rigorous
    events are taking place in the world. The world is changing quickly
    and interconnection between countries is growing.

    The humankind faces new challenges and new risks. This means that we
    should take into account new challenges and realities and search for a
    way to build our joint future together. This means that neither we nor
    our Russian partners have unambiguous answers at the moment. We are in
    search, so this should be done jointly. In such a case, we are to find
    solutions and we will be responsible for our correct and wrong
    decisions".

    Armenian-Russian economic relations

    Responding to the question on the price of [Russian] gas [supplied to
    Armenia], Tigran Sargsyan avoided giving a concrete answer on the
    authenticity of reports that Russia's proposal is to raise the price
    per 1,000 cubic metres of gas to 330 dollars.

    Answering the question on Yerevan's position on the Customs Union and
    the Eurasian Union, and Armenia's considering the possibility of
    joining these structures, Tigran Sargsyan said: "Armenia announced
    that it is interested in integration processes in the framework of the
    CIS and EurAsEC [Eurasian Economic Community]. This issue was voiced
    at the last meeting of the presidents of our countries and Vladimir
    Putin noted very precisely that there is a specific thing in Armenia -
    there are no direct borders with EurAsEC and the Customs Union.

    There is no precedent in international practice, when a country that
    does not have common borders joined a customs union. For this very
    reason, a working group has been established based on instructions
    from the presidents. On our side, it is headed by the minister of
    economy and on the Russian side, a respective minister has been
    appointed. The working group will develop measures, which will make it
    possible to boost integration processes, taking into account those
    peculiarities".

    Tigran Sargsyan attached great importance to the opening of
    Georgian-Abkhaz section of the railroad, which, he said, implies
    railway freight traffic to Russia and back via Georgia. "This will
    significantly improve transport logistics and will reduce costs for
    importers and exporters," Sargsyan said.

    PM critical of Russia's immigration programme, neutral on Customs Union

    In his interview to Izvestiya, the Armenian prime minister criticised
    even the Compatriots programme implemented by Russian migration
    services.

    "There is a demographic problem [in Armenia] even without that. The
    outflow of population especially from border areas will damage
    Armenia's interests. For this very reason, our strategic ally must not
    resort to measures which damage our interests. We clearly expressed
    our explicit and unambiguous point of view in all protocols," he said.

    At the same time, Tigran Sargsyan positively assessed our running
    projects under Russia's umbrella: "We are interested in integration
    processes under way in the frameworks of the EurAsEC and CIS," he
    said.

    Izvestiya tried to clarify the prime minister's attitude towards the
    Customs Union operating in the CIS. "Armenia has one peculiarity: Our
    country has no common border with the Customs Union. For this very
    reason, it is necessary to develop mechanisms of cooperation," Tigran
    Sargsyan said and continued:" I believe that the Customs Union is very
    close to a common currency zone by its nature. It is only necessary to
    have a coordinated budget and monetary policy for five continuous
    years. I believe all of them - Russia, Kazakhstan, and Belarus - will
    benefit from that.

    Sargsyan said both economic entities and citizens would benefit from
    the common currency. "What is the sense in maintaining a national
    currency and losing money on transfers," he said, not specifying
    whether the idea was acceptable for the Armenian authorities or not.

    Some problems in Armenian-Russian relations "remain unanswered"

    As for Armenia-EU cooperation, Tigran Sargsyan emphasised that the
    Armenian leadership had a clear understanding regarding further steps:
    "At present, our priority regarding the EU is to sign an agreement on
    comprehensive free trade zone. We want to sign this agreement in 2013,
    although our European partners believe that this will be possible only
    in 2014".

    Thus, although Tigran Sargsyan told Russian mass media outlets again
    that Armenia had no problems with Russia, the tone of the prime
    minister's two interviews raises many new questions, because it
    provides answers to questions in Armenian-Russian relations.

    On one hand, the Armenian authorities seem to be obliged to pay
    attention to the Russian media to dispell existing doubts.

    However, on the other hand, it is obvious that questions touched on in
    the framework of the interviews remain unanswered.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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