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Nuclear Program In Armenia

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  • Nuclear Program In Armenia

    NUCLEAR PROGRAM IN ARMENIA
    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments25047.html
    Published: 15:54:52 - 06/02/2012

    In an interview with NBC News, the U.S. President Barrack Obama
    announced: 'We're going to do everything we can to prevent Iran from
    getting a nuclear weapon and creating an arms race - a nuclear arms
    race - in a volatile region,' Obama said.

    Indeed, if the international community allows Iran to have nuclear
    weapon, and as soon as it is an established fact, if certainly it
    has not been established yet, the countries of the region will have
    to think about the nuclear arsenal.

    In this case, the international community will not have the "moral"
    right to veto the nuclear programs of any country of the region.

    Moreover, it will be interested in having Iran surrounded with a
    chain of nuclear countries, serving as a shield.

    The region is a rather complicated region with crossing interests,
    hence if a nuclear power emerges, a nuclear program becomes a national
    security must. Moreover, in most countries, it must be one of the
    important issues of the national security agenda.

    So is the case of Armenia. Certainly, the body dealing with our
    national security seems to be concerned mainly with marketing for the
    export of brandy and the import of tractors but perhaps it is high
    time to deal with the security issues more seriously and predict the
    possible challenges, including the scenarios of preparations of the
    nuclear program.

    The point is that if suddenly the international community makes a
    blunder regarding Iran and allows Iran to have nuclear weapon, Turkey
    and Azerbaijan may declare about their nuclear program considering
    that Iran's nuclear program obliges them to have nuclear weapon for
    the purpose of security.

    In this regard, perhaps the best option for Armenia would be to rely
    on its own nuclear program rather than the Russian nuclear shield. The
    point is that in the case of Armenia this shield will work the same
    way as the contingent of the Russian border guards on the Armenian
    border, which is the penal battalion of the Russian army.

    The same could be in the case of the nuclear shield when the nuclear
    weapon will blast in our territory instead of protecting us. After all,
    the stories of the Russian atomic submarines are very eloquent in the
    context of comments on the modernization of Russia's nuclear arsenal.

    Armenia must rely on its own nuclear arsenal if suddenly Iran declares
    to launch a nuclear program. Afterwards, Armenia must keep up with
    Turkey and Azerbaijan or it may be fatal.

    By the way, the pronouncement of the U.S. president is evidence that
    it is impossible to stop Iran's nuclear program, the U.S. may approve
    the possible future programs in other countries of the region. In other
    words, supporting these programs may be considered as counterbalance to
    Iran which may use its nuclear program first of all to reach absolute
    dominance and influence in the region.

    In this regard, the possession of nuclear weapon by Armenia becomes a
    crucial issue for the South Caucasian part of the region in terms of
    preserving regional balance because if Turkey and Azerbaijan expressed
    such ambitions, the West may not curb these programs to use them
    as counterbalance to Iran but in this case it must be interested in
    encouraging Armenia to develop nuclear weapon in Armenia considering
    that by becoming the godfather of this weapon it will weaken the
    military and political dominance of Russia in Armenia and the region.

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