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A game in which everyone has something to lose

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  • A game in which everyone has something to lose

    The Times (London), UK
    February 11, 2012 Saturday


    A game in which everyone has something to lose

    BY: Tony Halpin


    Rival powers have always jostled for influence and information in
    Azerbaijan, which sits uncomfortably inside the overlapping intrigues
    of Russia, Turkey and Iran. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought
    the United States into the game, initially for access to Azerbaijan's
    oil reserves and to secure a route through the Caucasus to Central
    Asia's energy wealth. But more recently, the US focus on the country
    has been on intelligence gathering in Iran.

    Forty per cent of ethnic Azeris live inside northern Iran, both a
    source of concern and a potential lever in Azerbaijan's often
    uncomfortable relationship with its neighbour. The regime of President
    Aliev is suspicious of attempts by Iran to stir up Islamic
    fundamentalist passions.

    Azerbaijan has spent billions of dollars of oil wealth in recent years
    rearming its military. The target of all this expenditure, however, is
    its neighbour Armenia, with whom it has been locked in a dispute over
    the region of Nagorno-Karabakh for decades. Azerbaijan has a large
    western region under Armenian occupation since a military defeat in
    the mid-1990s that caused a flood of refugees into the capital, Baku.
    A similar influx from northern Iran that could destabilise the
    government is one reason Azerbaijan fears a Western strike against
    Iran.

    Russia also worries about Iranian refugees into its unstable northern
    Caucasus and is eager to pick up any intelligence about American and
    Israeli intentions. So Azerbaijan is once again a playground for
    spies.

    'The regime is suspicious of attempts by Iran to stir up Islamic passions'




    From: A. Papazian
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