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Armenian economy will grow 4.2% in 2012-2013 - World Bank

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  • Armenian economy will grow 4.2% in 2012-2013 - World Bank

    Interfax, Russia
    Feb 17 2012

    Armenian economy will grow 4.2% in 2012-2013 - World Bank

    YEREVAN. Feb 17


    The World Bank predicts that Armenia's economy will grow 4.2% per year
    in 2012-2013 and that inflation will be 4%-4.5%.

    That is a base forecast, and could be revisited in conditions of
    Eurozone economic crisis, the director of the Bank's Yerevan offices,
    Jean-Michel Happi, told reporters on Friday.

    Although the Armenian economy is recovering from the economic crisis
    of 2009, it is still not vigorous and is very much susceptible to
    shocks from abroad, Happi said. In conditions of post-crisis
    export-price decreases, less investment and private transfers, big
    Armenian economic growth cannot be counted on, he said

    The country needs to increase its GDP and export growth rates to
    ensure the stability of state foreign debt, Happi said. After the
    crisis, Armenia's foreign debt increased substantially and is unstable
    now, he said. Despite the economic recovery, Armenia has to provide
    for the entry of new companies into the market, promote the
    improvement of the competitive environment, the development of
    exports, and the diversification of sources of economic growth, he
    said.

    Armenia's budget for this year reckons GDP growth of 4.2% and
    inflation of 4% - plus or minus 1.5 of a percentage point.

    The World Bank board of directors has approved to credits for Armenia
    totaling $91 million, Happi said.

    A credit of $80 will be extended for supporting the country's state
    budget, including $50 million for a 25-year term with a five-year
    grace period at 1.25% per annum and $30 million (25 years) with a
    ten-year grace period at LIBOR plus a floating margin. These funds are
    aimed at increasing the level of state management and the
    competitiveness of the private sector, as well as helping the most
    vulnerable members of society, Happi said.

    The second credit is of $11 million, to be supplied as additional
    financing for the country's social investment fund in order to
    continue social programs. This is also a 25-year credit, with a
    five-year grace period and extended at a rate of 1.25% per annum.

    The World Bank has provided Armenia with credits amounting to $1.597
    billion since 1992.

    Cf

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