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Russia Is Swinging The Status Quo

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  • Russia Is Swinging The Status Quo

    RUSSIA IS SWINGING THE STATUS QUO
    Naira Hayrumyan

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics25186.html
    Published: 15:16:27 - 20/02/2012

    Apparently, Russia decided to "convince" Armenia to recognize
    Karabakh's independence. The Editor-in-Chief of Regnum Agency Modest
    Kolerov attended the conference dedicated to the 20 anniversary of
    Karabakh independence and stated that no international recognition will
    happen until Armenia recognizes Karabakh's independence: "The inertial
    process will not protect the independence of Artsakh, without any new
    historical national acts this process will not develop. It makes no
    sense to require the recognition of independence from the world for
    as long as Armenia does not recognize the independence of Karabakh"
    said Kolerov.

    Director of the International Institute of Military States (Russia)
    Aleksei Martinov shared his opinion and said: "I am sure, Armenia
    should immediately recognize Karabakh's independence".

    In response, Vice-Speaker of Armenia's parliament Eduard Sharmazanov
    stated that Armenia does everything for the recognition of the NKR
    independence and the recognition by Armenia is necessary to achieve
    this aim, it will happen.

    The arguments brought by the Russian political scientists are
    interesting. Say, Kolerov compares the situation with the one of
    Abkhazia and Ossetia. He says that Russia was going to recognize this
    republic establishing agreement relations with it. Kolerov was as
    if hinting that the recognition by Armenia can become a springboard
    for Russia. It is noteworthy that dwelling on the recognition by the
    West, Kolerov noted that it won't happen until French peacekeepers
    are deployed in Karabakh. This once again seems a hint - if Russian
    peacekeepers are deployed in Karabakh, recognition may follow also.

    But why do we need such recognition like in case of Abkhazia?

    One more no less strange argument is brought by the other expert
    Aleksei Martinov who stated that Karabakh's recognition by Armenia
    will lead to the non-resumption of the conflict, while it is evident
    that the conflict will be resumed if Armenia does not recognize it.

    The Russian political scientists are evident to be trying to achieve
    a change of the status quo by Armenia which has not yet allowed
    the Russian party be present in Karabakh. Karabakh's recognition by
    Armenia and documental recognition of responsibility for its security
    may enable the Russian troops in Armenia widen their competences
    reaching also Karabakh.

    Many Armenian politicians dwelt and dwell on the necessity to recognize
    Karabakh. But when Russia or any other party starts pushing Armenia
    to make that step in the most inconvenient moment, it causes doubts.

    In the end, no one hides that Russia's policy relating to the Karabakh
    issue will become more aggressive after Putin's election. But the
    status quo of the Karabakh issue is so fragile, it has been so long
    and carefully laid, that no violations, even for Putin's ambitions,
    must be allowed.

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