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vestnik kavkaza, Russia
Jan 5 2012
Mubariz Ahmedoglu rounds up 2011 and makes forecasts for 2012
Mubariz Ahmedoglu, Director of the Baku Center for Political
Innovations and Technologies, said that the main political event of
Azerbaijan in 2011 was obtaining membership in the UN Security
Council. Another achievement is winning the Eurovision Song Contest
2011 in Germany. It all makes a positive image of Azerbaijan in
Europe.
Ahmedoglu noted economic development of Azerbaijan. The budget
exceeded $20 billion, gold and currency reserves - by $40 billion.
Azerbaijan has a share of 83% in South Caucasus, he underlined.
The expert predicts that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict would not be
resolved in 2012, the peacekeeping experiment of Russian President
Dmitry Medvedev was fruitless. Ahmedoglu believes that Armenia is to
blame for its lack of interest in settling the conflict and refusal to
make compromise.
Ahmedoglu stressed on military preparations. Peaceful talks and
military preparations had 50/50% of priority. But Azerbaijan increased
military expenses in 2011 and purchased Russian weapons.
The political analyst noted that Azerbaijan held numerous cultural and
religious events. He reminded that Azerbaijan plans to form own
satellite network. The Azerbaijani Ministry for Communication and
Information Technology announced plans to launch two satellites,
rather than one.
Concerning global events, Ahmedoglu emphasized on the Arab world. The
second priority belongs to coping with the economic and financial
recession in Europe and the US. The third position belongs to Russia's
overcoming the crisis. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia
was dependent on loans from the IMF. Now it is capable of carrying out
reforms and investing, beneficial for the US and EU.
The expert noted the situation in Kazakhstan and Russia. He believes
that certain foreign forces are interest in revolutions in the CIS,
such as the ones in the Arab world.
Ahmedoglu predicts that Russia would be able to realize economic
reforms for its population, small and medium business. The majority of
the population would not be protesting, he says.
Russia will doubtlessly protect its interests in the US and NATO
missile shield formation in Europe. The political analyst is confident
that Russia and the US would improve ties. Islamic threats would rise,
he believes. Tehran may be a closer partner for Russia, Ahmedoglu
believes.
Southern neighbors would try to destabilize Azerbaijan in 2012, he
says. The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict may have progress because it may
become a major problem for Iran and Russia.
Regarding Russian-Turkish relations, Mubariz Ahmedoglu says that they
will continue improving. The two states signed a deal on construction
of the South Stream in late 2011, running through the Black Sea. Their
relations may be similar to the ties of the US and EU.
Jan 5 2012
Mubariz Ahmedoglu rounds up 2011 and makes forecasts for 2012
Mubariz Ahmedoglu, Director of the Baku Center for Political
Innovations and Technologies, said that the main political event of
Azerbaijan in 2011 was obtaining membership in the UN Security
Council. Another achievement is winning the Eurovision Song Contest
2011 in Germany. It all makes a positive image of Azerbaijan in
Europe.
Ahmedoglu noted economic development of Azerbaijan. The budget
exceeded $20 billion, gold and currency reserves - by $40 billion.
Azerbaijan has a share of 83% in South Caucasus, he underlined.
The expert predicts that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict would not be
resolved in 2012, the peacekeeping experiment of Russian President
Dmitry Medvedev was fruitless. Ahmedoglu believes that Armenia is to
blame for its lack of interest in settling the conflict and refusal to
make compromise.
Ahmedoglu stressed on military preparations. Peaceful talks and
military preparations had 50/50% of priority. But Azerbaijan increased
military expenses in 2011 and purchased Russian weapons.
The political analyst noted that Azerbaijan held numerous cultural and
religious events. He reminded that Azerbaijan plans to form own
satellite network. The Azerbaijani Ministry for Communication and
Information Technology announced plans to launch two satellites,
rather than one.
Concerning global events, Ahmedoglu emphasized on the Arab world. The
second priority belongs to coping with the economic and financial
recession in Europe and the US. The third position belongs to Russia's
overcoming the crisis. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia
was dependent on loans from the IMF. Now it is capable of carrying out
reforms and investing, beneficial for the US and EU.
The expert noted the situation in Kazakhstan and Russia. He believes
that certain foreign forces are interest in revolutions in the CIS,
such as the ones in the Arab world.
Ahmedoglu predicts that Russia would be able to realize economic
reforms for its population, small and medium business. The majority of
the population would not be protesting, he says.
Russia will doubtlessly protect its interests in the US and NATO
missile shield formation in Europe. The political analyst is confident
that Russia and the US would improve ties. Islamic threats would rise,
he believes. Tehran may be a closer partner for Russia, Ahmedoglu
believes.
Southern neighbors would try to destabilize Azerbaijan in 2012, he
says. The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict may have progress because it may
become a major problem for Iran and Russia.
Regarding Russian-Turkish relations, Mubariz Ahmedoglu says that they
will continue improving. The two states signed a deal on construction
of the South Stream in late 2011, running through the Black Sea. Their
relations may be similar to the ties of the US and EU.