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news.am, Armenia
Jan 5 2012
Russian expert predicts 99.99% probability of war in Karabakh
January 05, 2012 | 18:04
Formally, the most important event for the South Caucasus in 2011 can
be considered the signing of a treaty extending Russia's military
presence in Armenia, political analyst Alexander Khramchikhin told
Armenian News-NEWS.am.
According to him, important and significant events in the region are
expected in the near future.
`A new war will break out in the Karabakh conflict zone and it can be
expected at any time even in 2012,' he said stressing there is 99.99%
probability of war.
Head of Russia-based Institute for Political and Military Analysis
said the `settlement of the conflict is fiction.'
Khramchikhin is also pessimistic about the future of Armenian-Turkish
reconciliation process.
`Normalization has not progressed an inch over the recent years.
Situation will remain the same 2012 - a new geopolitical role of
Turkey does not suppose reconciliation with Armenia, because it gives
nothing to Ankara,' he said.
The expert also commented on the developments in the Middle East,
saying `it is clear that the Arab Spring leads to the Islamization of
the affected states.'
`Saudi Arabia is governing the process. The next victim will be Syria,
Assad apparently has no chance to escape. In the coming year Syria
will be subject to the military defeat with a full occupation by a
coalition consisting of the armed forces of Turkey, United States, UK
and the Arab Sunni monarchies,' he concluded.
Jan 5 2012
Russian expert predicts 99.99% probability of war in Karabakh
January 05, 2012 | 18:04
Formally, the most important event for the South Caucasus in 2011 can
be considered the signing of a treaty extending Russia's military
presence in Armenia, political analyst Alexander Khramchikhin told
Armenian News-NEWS.am.
According to him, important and significant events in the region are
expected in the near future.
`A new war will break out in the Karabakh conflict zone and it can be
expected at any time even in 2012,' he said stressing there is 99.99%
probability of war.
Head of Russia-based Institute for Political and Military Analysis
said the `settlement of the conflict is fiction.'
Khramchikhin is also pessimistic about the future of Armenian-Turkish
reconciliation process.
`Normalization has not progressed an inch over the recent years.
Situation will remain the same 2012 - a new geopolitical role of
Turkey does not suppose reconciliation with Armenia, because it gives
nothing to Ankara,' he said.
The expert also commented on the developments in the Middle East,
saying `it is clear that the Arab Spring leads to the Islamization of
the affected states.'
`Saudi Arabia is governing the process. The next victim will be Syria,
Assad apparently has no chance to escape. In the coming year Syria
will be subject to the military defeat with a full occupation by a
coalition consisting of the armed forces of Turkey, United States, UK
and the Arab Sunni monarchies,' he concluded.