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Russia's Kasparov plots his next move against Putin

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  • Russia's Kasparov plots his next move against Putin

    Tert.am, Armenia
    Jan 7 2012


    Russia's Kasparov plots his next move against Putin

    12:18 - 07.01.12
    By Bloomberg Businessweek


    Former chess champion Garry Kasparov is too busy on the phone to
    answer the door of his mother's apartment just off Moscow's historic
    Old Arbat street. Instead, his elegantly attired mother, Klara,
    appears. Fifty minutes later she announces the interview's end, and
    Kasparov rushes off to another meeting to plan a soft revolution
    against his nemesis, Prime Minister Vladimir V. Putin.

    Five years ago, Russia ignored Kasparov's warnings against Putin's
    creeping authoritarianism: The sparsely attended rallies his group
    organized were brutally broken up by police. In 2008 he and other
    reformers founded Solidarity, an umbrella group of liberal opposition
    movements. Kasparov pressed on, attacking the regime on his blog and
    website as well as on radio.

    Then came Putin's September announcement that he would run for
    president in March to retake the office he held from 2000 to 2008.
    Middle-class Russians suddenly woke up. Mass protests rocked Moscow a
    week after the Dec. 4 parliamentary elections, which were tainted by
    widespread allegations of fraud.

    On Dec. 24, Kasparov addressed a rally in the capital that drew tens
    of thousands onto the streets for the second time in a few weeks.
    `Less than a month ago there was a different country,' he says. `The
    next three months could contribute to more dramatic changes.'

    Although the opposition to Putin, a loose coalition ranging from
    nationalists to Solidarity's liberals, has no real leader, Kasparov is
    the only one in the movement who commands global recognition. He is
    also part of a key triumvirate organizing the protests.

    Solidarity insists that the government dissolve Parliament now and
    delay the Mar. 4 presidential vote to hold new elections under more
    democratic rules. Putin has tried to appease the protesters while
    rejecting their key demand of annulling the results of the December
    parliamentary vote, which handed a wafer-thin majority to the ruling
    party. Outgoing President Dmitry A. Medvedev is enacting laws to
    ensure greater competition in national elections scheduled for 2016
    and 2018. Putin's ex-Finance Minister, Alexei Kudrin, has held out the
    possibility of new parliamentary polls in 18 months or two years.

    `Obviously, they will be working on different countermoves,' says
    Kasparov, who became the youngest world chess champion at age 22 and
    was a top player for 18 years. `We have a lot of ingredients for
    change, but we also have a very powerful system that wants anything
    but change.' Like other activists, Kasparov has spent time in jail. He
    employs a bodyguard who controls access to his mother's place, while
    his wife and 5-year-old daughter live in New York.

    The risk now for Putin is that the authorities will resort to fraud to
    ensure him a convincing first-round victory. If that happens, more
    protests likely will erupt, weakening him. Alexei Navalny, 35, a
    blogger who targets corruption at state companies and was jailed
    briefly last month, is already calling for a million people to rally
    across the country in February. Navalny, an ally of Solidarity but not
    a member, makes no secret of his presidential ambitions. He `is smart,
    intelligent, well-educated, and a person who is liked by a lot of
    Russians,' says Kasparov.

    If Putin is concerned about the opposition's show of strength, he
    isn't showing it, says Sergei Markov, a former lawmaker in the prime
    minister's United Russia Party who is an adviser to the Kremlin.

    `Putin has a very tough stance, he's very sure of himself, and he's
    sure of the support of the majority of the population,' says Markov.
    Putin's press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, says the Prime Minister is
    convinced he will win outright, which requires more than 50 percent
    support. `Any campaign which doesn't have as its aim victory on the
    first round is a bad campaign,' he says.

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