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INVITE CHINA, IRAN, TURKEY, GERMANY TO MEDIATE KARABAKH CONFLICT?
epress.am
01.16.2012
The OSCE Minsk Group for the mediation of the Nagarno-Karabakh
conflict, which includes the US, Russia and France, is the mechanism
that reflects realpolitik, said Russian analyst Vitaly Zhuravlov in
an interview with Baku-based news source 1news.az.
The political analyst finds it hard to imagine a change in the format
of negotiations: "How can the current format be changed? Invite China,
Iran, Turkey, Germany as a mediator? What is the position of the US
and France? Ignore them? Then these countries will exert political
pressure on Baku with all its consequences. Moreover, if France can
still somehow be pushed aside (which is also undesirable), then the
US reaction will have fatal consequences for Azerbaijan, especially
considering that the country is not a member of such integration
structures as the CSTO [Collective Security Treaty Organisation]
and the EurAsEC [Eurasian Economic Community]. Besides, even if we
hypothetically assume the emergence of new intermediaries, it's not
a fact that their actions will be more effective."
Zhuravlov also noted that in the Karabakh issue, an "infrastructure
solution" of the conflict has developed, which includes politicians,
diplomats, experts, the media and NGOs and which lives its own life -
sometimes irrespective of the actual processes. "So many different
hypotheses, groundless initiatives and unjustified expectations stem
from this and along with it, the underestimation of really significant
facts," he said.
In the analyst's opinion, a pivotal shift in resolving the issue is
not to be expected, and meetings of leaders of the parties are more
aimed at PR than settling the conflict.
epress.am
01.16.2012
The OSCE Minsk Group for the mediation of the Nagarno-Karabakh
conflict, which includes the US, Russia and France, is the mechanism
that reflects realpolitik, said Russian analyst Vitaly Zhuravlov in
an interview with Baku-based news source 1news.az.
The political analyst finds it hard to imagine a change in the format
of negotiations: "How can the current format be changed? Invite China,
Iran, Turkey, Germany as a mediator? What is the position of the US
and France? Ignore them? Then these countries will exert political
pressure on Baku with all its consequences. Moreover, if France can
still somehow be pushed aside (which is also undesirable), then the
US reaction will have fatal consequences for Azerbaijan, especially
considering that the country is not a member of such integration
structures as the CSTO [Collective Security Treaty Organisation]
and the EurAsEC [Eurasian Economic Community]. Besides, even if we
hypothetically assume the emergence of new intermediaries, it's not
a fact that their actions will be more effective."
Zhuravlov also noted that in the Karabakh issue, an "infrastructure
solution" of the conflict has developed, which includes politicians,
diplomats, experts, the media and NGOs and which lives its own life -
sometimes irrespective of the actual processes. "So many different
hypotheses, groundless initiatives and unjustified expectations stem
from this and along with it, the underestimation of really significant
facts," he said.
In the analyst's opinion, a pivotal shift in resolving the issue is
not to be expected, and meetings of leaders of the parties are more
aimed at PR than settling the conflict.