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Invite China, Iran, Turkey, Germany To Mediate Karabakh Conflict?

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  • Invite China, Iran, Turkey, Germany To Mediate Karabakh Conflict?

    INVITE CHINA, IRAN, TURKEY, GERMANY TO MEDIATE KARABAKH CONFLICT?

    epress.am
    01.16.2012

    The OSCE Minsk Group for the mediation of the Nagarno-Karabakh
    conflict, which includes the US, Russia and France, is the mechanism
    that reflects realpolitik, said Russian analyst Vitaly Zhuravlov in
    an interview with Baku-based news source 1news.az.

    The political analyst finds it hard to imagine a change in the format
    of negotiations: "How can the current format be changed? Invite China,
    Iran, Turkey, Germany as a mediator? What is the position of the US
    and France? Ignore them? Then these countries will exert political
    pressure on Baku with all its consequences. Moreover, if France can
    still somehow be pushed aside (which is also undesirable), then the
    US reaction will have fatal consequences for Azerbaijan, especially
    considering that the country is not a member of such integration
    structures as the CSTO [Collective Security Treaty Organisation]
    and the EurAsEC [Eurasian Economic Community]. Besides, even if we
    hypothetically assume the emergence of new intermediaries, it's not
    a fact that their actions will be more effective."

    Zhuravlov also noted that in the Karabakh issue, an "infrastructure
    solution" of the conflict has developed, which includes politicians,
    diplomats, experts, the media and NGOs and which lives its own life -
    sometimes irrespective of the actual processes. "So many different
    hypotheses, groundless initiatives and unjustified expectations stem
    from this and along with it, the underestimation of really significant
    facts," he said.

    In the analyst's opinion, a pivotal shift in resolving the issue is
    not to be expected, and meetings of leaders of the parties are more
    aimed at PR than settling the conflict.

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