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Russian Analyst Expects No Breakthrough Of Forthcoming Meeting In So

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  • Russian Analyst Expects No Breakthrough Of Forthcoming Meeting In So

    RUSSIAN ANALYST EXPECTS NO BREAKTHROUGH OF FORTHCOMING MEETING IN SOCHI

    Tert.am
    18.01.12

    In An Interview With 1news.Az, Aleksandr Sotnichenko, Associate
    Professor, Chair of Theory and History of International Relations,
    Saint Petersburg State University, and Leading Analyst at the Saint
    Petersburg Center for Modern Near Eastern Studies, noted that no
    breakthrough in the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process should be expected
    in the near future.

    "The political leaders will continue their meetings, but 'reduced
    tension' will be the only result," Sotnichenko said.

    The Sochi meeting late this month is going to be Russian President
    Dmitri Medvedev's "farewell meeting," with no breakthrough to be
    expected from it.

    With respect to the impact the Iran-related developments may have on
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, the expert said: "The West is not yet
    expected to launch a military operation against Iran. On the other
    hand, we cannot say they are going to leave Iran alone. Should the
    US and its allies decide in favor of a full-scale operation, it will
    prove a new problem for Baku, and resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict will be delayed."

    As regards Turkish-French relations, Sotnichenko said: "I think the
    critical period has passed. Washington is unlikely to let the conflict
    go too far. Paris, in turn, has lately been attentive to the opinions
    voiced overseas. However, the conflict itself has demonstrated the
    wide gap between Europe and Turkey, finally resolving the problem of
    Turkey's integration into the European Union in favor of skeptical
    Europeans. I think it will incite the Turkish leadership to seek
    for new ways of integration, including integration with the Eurasian
    union."

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