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Will Ter-Petrosyan Change Tradition?

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  • Will Ter-Petrosyan Change Tradition?

    WILL TER-PETROSYAN CHANGE TRADITION?
    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments26814.html
    Published: 12:48:54 - 11/07/2012

    The issue of candidates for the 2013 presidential elections is
    becoming more urgent in social and political discussions. Different
    groups of the society are trying to predict or analyze who will run
    in the election and what will change from one nomination or another.

    In this sense, it is perhaps worthwhile to record an interesting
    observation for Armenia. 5 presidential elections have been held so
    far. 2013 will be the sixth.

    In all the five elections the main candidate who lost or the official
    runner up never ran in the next elections, or run but without any
    significant result.

    In 1991, for example, Ter-Petrosyan's main opponent was Paruyr
    Hairikyan. In 1996, his opponent was Vazgen Manukyan, while Hairikyan
    supported Manukyan.

    In 1998, Robert Kocharyan's opponent was Karen Demirchyan, while Vazgen
    Manukyan did not have any importance in the Kocharyan-Demirchyan
    race, and in the second round he did not orient his voters towards
    any of them.

    In 2003, Karen Demirchyan was not alive. He was killed on 27 October
    1999. It is difficult to tell whether he would run for president in
    2009 if he allied with Vazgen Sargsyan in 1999.

    In 2003, Robert Kocharyan's main opponent was Stepan Demirchyan.

    In 2008, Stepan Demirchyan did not run but only supported
    Ter-Petrosyan. But perhaps it is beyond doubt that even if
    Ter-Petrosyan was not there, Demirchyan would not be a competitor.

    Moreover, in the 2007 parliamentary elections, his party lost the
    election.

    Will Ter-Petrosyan run in 2013? Will he change the tradition of
    being a presidential candidate in two consecutive elections, let
    alone attempts to win the second round?

    The answer to this question depends on whether Ter-Petrosyan will be
    the joint candidate against Serzh Sargsyan or a joint candidate of
    at least ANC, ARF and PAP.

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