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Offensive Prepared In Armenia

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  • Offensive Prepared In Armenia

    OFFENSIVE PREPARED IN ARMENIA
    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments26959.html
    Published: 17:29:08 - 25/07/2012

    The issue of the Eurasian Union seems to become always more relevant
    on the Armenian social-political agenda, since a Russian propaganda
    attack is being worked out to promote the Eurasian Union idea.

    The basis for this attack has been prepared by the Speaker of the
    Russian State Duma Sergey Narishkin in Yerevan stating that the
    confrontation of the Eurasian Union and the European Union is false
    and artificial, since the Eurasian Union is a structure aimed at
    integration into the European Union.

    So, he formed the background for the Russian attack which will be
    launched by Putin in Armenia. Narishkin's political statements tried
    to prevent any confrontation with the European Union, any dilemma,
    creating a field for unilateral discussions.

    This is a resourceful trick when at the beginning it is stressed
    that it does not contradict to the European Union and the European
    integration, and later on the discussion on the positive and negative
    prospects of the Eurasian Union are imposed. No doubt, Russia's
    strategic issue relating to this question is just to eliminate any
    comparison with the European Union, while if after, negative opinions
    on the Eurasian Union prevail anyway, it is not a problem for Russia.

    They could be targets for the next propaganda phase, moreover,
    the union is planned to form in 2015. Before, Moscow will manage to
    fulfill several propaganda stages and "clean" the opposition.

    Taking into account the fact that the pro-Russian moods, though they
    are decreasing, are still much in Armenia, it will not be difficult
    for Russia to gradually clean the retort.

    Moreover, quite influential forces will be Russia's allies, which
    have big media and propaganda resources. Say, the Prosperous Armenia
    Party is going to attend the dissemination of the information and
    the discussion. It is the second large force in Armenia in terms of
    resources and scales. PAP leader Gagik Tsarukyan is the Chairman of
    the Armenian-Russian NGOs union, which assumes the task of spreading
    the idea on the Eurasian Union in Armenia.

    The RPA is engaged in providing platforms for Russia in the propaganda
    field. It has been recently stated that a conference with the
    participation of Yedinaya Rossia dedicated to the creation of the Club
    of CIS ruling parties will be held in Yerevan. No doubt this club will
    be one of the channels of propaganda in favor of the Eurasian Union.

    What can be opposed to this expansion? Naturally, there will be
    frameworks which will try to express a different opinion and show the
    dangers and threats hidden under the beautiful statements. Heritage,
    Free Democrats and the Republic parties also will try to ensure the
    existence of a different opinion. But it is uncertain what position
    the Armenian National Congress will assume.

    The position of the Republican Party is also interesting. On the
    one hand this party supports Euro integration, on the other hand,
    it creates propaganda platforms for Yedinaya Rossia.

    It is clear that the authorities can't oppose to Russia and refuse
    supporting it roughly. On the other hand, the public opinion may be
    decisive in this case, and Moscow, having the support of a series
    of political groups, and the prevalence of pro-Russian moods in
    the society, may exert pressure making the power and even Europe
    reconcile with the reality that the European family will have to
    wait long for Armenia, which will go there only hand in hand with the
    "elder brother".

    In this case, the Armenian authorities may expect risks from the West.

    The Armenian power used to get sheltered from the Western risks with
    the help of the Russian umbrella. But now, serious political and
    social, information and technological changes are happening in the
    world which change the societies and raise the issue on the necessity
    to change the behavior of the elite. Under the influence of these
    changes, new public processes are underway in Armenia which don't
    allow the Russian umbrella open like it has always happened.

    Sure, the possible prospect of progress of stoppage of the Eurasian
    Union idea does not mean the West will seize relations with Armenia.

    It will continue working with the Armenian authorities taking into
    account some objective realities. Just, the Armenian power will no
    more be considered a partner of reforms policy. In the external sense,
    the reforms will go on but the power, in particular Serzh Sargsyan,
    will be considered an object of reforms and not a subject. This
    circumstance can't but have consequences despite the time and distance.

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