Tweet
WHERE KOCHARYAN AND SARGSYAN WILL COMPETE
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments26381.html
Published: 12:09:00 - 31/05/2012
The decisions of the RPA executive board on the posts of responsibility
in the National Assembly show that Serzh Sargsyan refrained from a
reshuffle, at least until the presidential election.
On the one hand, it is logical, considering that Sargsyan still has to
organize a "best" election for his reelection, whereas in football,
for instance, the winning team generally is not substituted. Serzh
Sargsyan does not want to change the staff which held a "best election"
and run the risk.
On the other hand, each day of conservation of the present team of
the government of Armenia is against the future and competitiveness
of the Republic of Armenia. The qualities and intellect of this team
is not compliant with the challenge of time and future and requires
fast change.
No doubt Serzh Sargsyan understands that the longer this team stays,
the more complicated the future of Armenia, and consequently staying
in government, will be. From this point of view, Serzh Sargsyan still
needs to solve the most complicated problem - transfer of power.
Having before him the example of Robert Kocharyan who wanted to
transfer power in order to stay in government de facto, Serzh Sargsyan
knows what complications await him in the process of transfer of power.
The present team of the government makes this issue almost impossible
to solve because with the present team the power can be transferred
safely only once, and Robert Kocharyan has already used this
opportunity. The second transfer of the same system will be dangerous,
maybe also impossible.
If now Serzh Sargsyan is trying not to change the winner team till
the presidential election, after the presidential election he will
have to make that move.
In addition, the situation is subtle. The problem is that till the
period of elections 2017-2018 Robert Kocharyan will be interested in
the transfer of power who has already transferred this system once. No
doubt he is interested in getting back power personally or indirectly,
which is not important. The internecine struggle is taking place around
the ambitions and problems of Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan.
Kocharyan knows the system and is adequate to the present situation.
He understands that it is impossible and dangerous to get the same
system back, at least for the simple reason that it is impossible and
dangerous for Serzh Sargsyan to pass the same system to his successor,
independent from its identity.
Consequently, in order to get back power, the most interested
government pole Robert Kocharyan should try to foster change of this
system to continue to have the chance of getting something and avoiding
loss of everything, together with Serzh Sargsyan.
Robert Kocharyan's instrument of change of system will probably be
the PAP. In other words, as a possibly guaranteed and safe backup
for his plans he will have to think about Prosperous Armenia Party.
Hence, the government of Armenia has appeared in a very interesting
situation when the two heads of this system have to work for the
improvement of the government in parallel, one in RPA, the other in
PAP, competing on this track.
This situation is not the result of their will and understanding but
time and technological change because if everything is left up to the
personal understanding of Sargsyan and Kocharyan, they will hardly
change anything in what they have formed during the years of their
joint activities.
Meanwhile, technological change in the world and in Armenia will
be irreversible, maybe a little slow in Armenia but, nevertheless,
irreversible and continuous. And it means that the society will start
having a bigger role and pressing the behavior of the government.
Certainly, the best option would be the awareness of the society of
its growing and expanding role and opportunities and the pressure
on the system becomes more conscious. Now there is such awareness in
small groups of the society, which already produces a significant and
noticeable result. This result will be much bigger if the conscious
pressure of the society is bigger, relying less on time.
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments26381.html
Published: 12:09:00 - 31/05/2012
The decisions of the RPA executive board on the posts of responsibility
in the National Assembly show that Serzh Sargsyan refrained from a
reshuffle, at least until the presidential election.
On the one hand, it is logical, considering that Sargsyan still has to
organize a "best" election for his reelection, whereas in football,
for instance, the winning team generally is not substituted. Serzh
Sargsyan does not want to change the staff which held a "best election"
and run the risk.
On the other hand, each day of conservation of the present team of
the government of Armenia is against the future and competitiveness
of the Republic of Armenia. The qualities and intellect of this team
is not compliant with the challenge of time and future and requires
fast change.
No doubt Serzh Sargsyan understands that the longer this team stays,
the more complicated the future of Armenia, and consequently staying
in government, will be. From this point of view, Serzh Sargsyan still
needs to solve the most complicated problem - transfer of power.
Having before him the example of Robert Kocharyan who wanted to
transfer power in order to stay in government de facto, Serzh Sargsyan
knows what complications await him in the process of transfer of power.
The present team of the government makes this issue almost impossible
to solve because with the present team the power can be transferred
safely only once, and Robert Kocharyan has already used this
opportunity. The second transfer of the same system will be dangerous,
maybe also impossible.
If now Serzh Sargsyan is trying not to change the winner team till
the presidential election, after the presidential election he will
have to make that move.
In addition, the situation is subtle. The problem is that till the
period of elections 2017-2018 Robert Kocharyan will be interested in
the transfer of power who has already transferred this system once. No
doubt he is interested in getting back power personally or indirectly,
which is not important. The internecine struggle is taking place around
the ambitions and problems of Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan.
Kocharyan knows the system and is adequate to the present situation.
He understands that it is impossible and dangerous to get the same
system back, at least for the simple reason that it is impossible and
dangerous for Serzh Sargsyan to pass the same system to his successor,
independent from its identity.
Consequently, in order to get back power, the most interested
government pole Robert Kocharyan should try to foster change of this
system to continue to have the chance of getting something and avoiding
loss of everything, together with Serzh Sargsyan.
Robert Kocharyan's instrument of change of system will probably be
the PAP. In other words, as a possibly guaranteed and safe backup
for his plans he will have to think about Prosperous Armenia Party.
Hence, the government of Armenia has appeared in a very interesting
situation when the two heads of this system have to work for the
improvement of the government in parallel, one in RPA, the other in
PAP, competing on this track.
This situation is not the result of their will and understanding but
time and technological change because if everything is left up to the
personal understanding of Sargsyan and Kocharyan, they will hardly
change anything in what they have formed during the years of their
joint activities.
Meanwhile, technological change in the world and in Armenia will
be irreversible, maybe a little slow in Armenia but, nevertheless,
irreversible and continuous. And it means that the society will start
having a bigger role and pressing the behavior of the government.
Certainly, the best option would be the awareness of the society of
its growing and expanding role and opportunities and the pressure
on the system becomes more conscious. Now there is such awareness in
small groups of the society, which already produces a significant and
noticeable result. This result will be much bigger if the conscious
pressure of the society is bigger, relying less on time.