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Armenian Activist: Likelihood Of War Higher Than Ever Today

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  • Armenian Activist: Likelihood Of War Higher Than Ever Today

    ARMENIAN ACTIVIST: LIKELIHOOD OF WAR HIGHER THAN EVER TODAY

    tert.am
    05.06.12

    The likelihood of a renewed war over Nagorno-Karabakh has reached
    its maximum level since the signing of ceasefire, Zhirayr Sefilyan,
    a member of Sardarapat Movement and a former commander of a special
    battalion in Shoushi, told Tert.am.

    Speaking of the recent cross-border tensions between Armenia and
    Azerbaijan, the activist said that the violence may eventually lead
    to a larger-scale armed conflict or the resumption of war.

    Asked to comment whether yesterday's armed attack against two villages
    in Tavush region was really linked to US Secretary of State Hillary
    Clinton's visit, he said: "Lethal cross-border incidents ahead of such
    high-ranking officials' visits have increased in number recently. That
    could be a signal that the Azerbaijani authorities instruct their
    armed forces command to launch such military operations."

    As for possible developments around Nagorno-Karabakh, Sefilyan said
    that the advantages Armenia could have today thanks to regional
    developments are neutralized by the ruling authorities.

    "The regional context of the Karabakh conflict is now characterized
    by an increasing tension, given the West's hard line on Iran. But the
    special status of the Armenian-Iranian relations is comprehensible
    to both the United States and the entire West. Such circumstances
    objectively increase Armenia's significance, but a subjective
    factor such as the feebleness of the dependent regime which links
    its legitimacy with foreign [forces] neutralizes that advantage,
    making Armenia very vulnerable," he noted.




    From: A. Papazian
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