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Clinton In Baku Amid Russian-Iranian Friction Over Azeri Stake In Is

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  • Clinton In Baku Amid Russian-Iranian Friction Over Azeri Stake In Is

    CLINTON IN BAKU AMID RUSSIAN-IRANIAN FRICTION OVER AZERI STAKE IN ISRAELI ENERGY

    Debka File
    http://www.debka.com/article/22059/Clinton-in-Baku-amid-Russian-Iranian-friction-over-Azeri-stake-in-Israeli-energy-
    June 6 2012
    Israel

    DEBKAfile Special Report June 6, 2012, 1:22 PM (GMT+02:00) Tags:
    Hillary Clinton Azerbaijan Israel arms deal Energy & Oil Iran Russia
    Richard Morningstar, designated US ambassador to BakuUS Secretary of
    State Hillary Clinton arrives in Baku, Azerbaijan Wednesday, June 6, to
    kick off a South Caucasian tour amid President Ilam Aliyav's worsening
    relations Israel Iranian leader Ali Khamenei and Russian President
    Vladimir Putin. Baku's pro-Western orientation and its fast-growing
    military and energy ties with Israel are thorns in both their sides.

    But for Washington, Azerbaijan is an expanding strategic asset:
    Since Pakistan closed its overland route for supplies to US and NATO
    forces in Afghanistan, the US is increasingly reliant on Azerbaijan's
    airfields. Its logistical value will rise with the advance of the
    2014 date for troop withdrawal from Afghanistan.

    Clinton will have another go, after several failures, at resolving
    the long-running Nagorno-Karabakh conflict over which Russia and Iran
    side with Armenia against Azerbaijan. The day she landed in Baku,
    Armenian forces killed five Azerbaijani soldiers in a border clash.

    Washington has never admitted its direct involvement in the bilateral
    ties unfolding between Baku and Jerusalem but its generally understand
    that those ties act as a thin wedge through America's door to the
    region. It is significant that the party welcoming the US secretary in
    the Azerbaijan capital includes Richard L. Morningstar, whom President
    Barack Obama picked in May as ambassador to the small oil republic. He
    is still awaiting congressional endorsement.

    debkafile's Middle East sources report that Morningstar is the
    architect of the Obama administration's oil and gas policy in Central
    Asia opposite Russia and Iran, as well as the linchpin of US energy
    policy in the Middle East. He was present at all the negotiations
    leading up to the contracts signed by Israel, Greece and Cyprus for
    the distribution of offshore Mediterranean gas and oil beds. His
    presence bespoke the administration's support for the investment in
    their exploitation by American oil interests.

    It may be presumed that Morningstar was in on the newly-signed $1.6
    billion contract for the sale of Israeli arms to Azerbaijan - although
    Washington is unlikely to confirm this.

    Moscow and Tehran are particularly put out by this deal in the regional
    context, concerned that it will enhance Azerbaijan's military clout
    in the Caucasian and the Caspian Sea. With a well-equipped militlary,
    he will be a lot freer to pursue an independent energy policy and
    less vulnerable to pressures from Tehran and Moscow.

    Regarding the second side of the relatationship, towards the end of
    2011, the Azerbaijan state-owned Caspian Drilling Company quietly
    signed a contract for the acquisition of a 5 percent share in the firm
    controlling the Israeli Med Ashdod, which is developing an offshore
    field estimated to hold 280 million barrels of oil. This was the
    first Azeri investment in a foreign energy project.

    Soon after the signing, in November 2011, a secret meeting took place
    in London between representatives of the Russian energy colossus
    Gazprom and Israel to discuss a Russian bid to acquire a stake in
    Med Ashdod.

    Moscow also put out secret feelers for stakes in additional Israeli
    gas and oil Mediterranean projects. One offer was for the Russians to
    provide and finance pumping facilities and pipelines for the Israeli
    fields and take charge of marketing to Europe. Vladimir Putin, while
    running for president, quietly lobbied top Israeli officials to gain
    their support for Moscow's partnership proposition.

    In the last week of April this year, Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor
    Lieberman spent two days in Baku. The talks he held there with Azeri
    leaders were veiled in secrecy, but sources in Baku said they were
    concerned with the highly important laying down of guidelines for the
    rapidly-evolving security and energy ties between the two countries.

    In 2011, Israel purchased one-third of its oil consumption from
    Azerbaijan - 2.5 million barrels worth $2 billion dollars, and the
    volume of trade between them rose to $4 billion, making that Caspian
    country Israel's biggest trading partner in the former Soviet bloc.

    The military and intelligence ties between Baku and Jerusalem have been
    consistently kept under wraps, but while Moscow and Tehran knew about
    them, they never expected them to expand to their present magnitude.

    The deal today holds Azerbaijan's investments in Israel's burgeoning
    energy industry contingent on the scale of its arms purchases. Both
    elements of this trade-off are earmarked for massive growth.

    According to European energy sources, Azerbaijan's aspirations go
    beyond investment in developing Israel's Mediterranean gas and oil
    fields and extend to bidding for a role with American energy firms
    in laying the pipelines planned to carry the oil to European outlets.

    This would make Baku a rival for Putin's ambitions to carve out a
    place in the new markets for Gazprom.

    In the view of some Western military experts, the interface between the
    Azerbaijani and Israeli energy and military spheres offers Jerusalem
    a strategic pathway to the Caspian region under Iran's nose, as well
    a lucrative source of revenue for its arms industry for years go come.

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