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What Will DCFTA Bring?

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  • What Will DCFTA Bring?

    What Will DCFTA Bring?

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/economy26503.html

    Published: 22:01:55 - 09/06/2012

    Interview with Gagik Makaryan, president of the Armenian Association
    of Employers

    What will DCFTA bring to Armenia?

    Free and comprehensive trade involves some other principles. Under a
    free trade agreement we will use certain regulations, approximate our
    legislation with the EU legislation, carry out democratic and other
    reforms.

    I think, in the long run, the purpose of Europe is to develop its own
    economy. It will first of all think for itself, not for us. First, it
    will foster trade and production in the EU. Second, the EU has its own
    global economic development policy, and production and import of raw
    materials will naturally be done at the expense of countries like ours
    because they remove from their countries every industry that harms the
    environment and people's health. It will try to use the capacity of
    developing countries as a supplier of raw materials. There is a risk
    that we will be a raw material supplier. Third, Europe has a labor
    shortage. Their population is not enough, they will import labor from
    countries like ours. In other words, there is a risk that this
    cooperation will empty us of brains and labor. There is also a risk
    that our imports will be affected by the EU because it will become
    more powerful and will export to our countries, both for the money it
    will pay and by means of its political influence.

    Although I am against the signing of a free trade agreement among the
    CIS countries, I also said that it is something temporary. This
    agreement has a shortcoming. We can sell our non-competitive goods to
    one another in the CIS but as life develops, Europe will join us, we
    will not be competitive with Europe, we will be importers of European
    stuff. The upcoming 3-4 years will be a crucial period. We will need
    to carry out fundamental reforms and boost the economy otherwise we
    will become an appendix which supplies labor and raw materials and
    receive manufactured goods. If we fail to carry out reforms, the
    economy of our country will be based on raw materials, the country's
    independence and industries will weaken.

    But the members of government note that the DCFTA will help the
    Armenian producers to produce better products, the Armenian production
    will be competitive in the world. Don't you think so?

    However, several important issues need to be solved to raise the
    quality of production. First, one needs to enable a businessman to
    make investments. In other words, the political and economic reforms
    should enable a favorable investment climate. It is necessary to
    encourage modernization through loaning or other means. The greatest
    problem is modernization, enterprises do not have enough money for
    that, while interest rates are high. The extension of payment of VAT
    granted by the government mainly affect major business. Small
    enterprises will be left out, remain ignorant, weak and with low
    productiveness. Meanwhile, the bigger ones will be able to modernize
    to some extent. The big companies are in mining, jewelry and diamond
    and telecommunication businesses. We must face small enterprises, loan
    programs must be reviewed, cheaper and long-term loan offers must be
    available. It is necessary to focus on food production and other
    businesses.

    So is the government taking the move of deepening trade with Europe
    without taking into account the importance of the following reforms?

    It takes this move together with Europe because there are also
    political interests. Let's not forget that Europe is a major donor. We
    must make concessions, whether we want it or not. We must face Europe
    because it is a guarantee of our security, the markets there are more
    stable. If we try to develop our economy through this move, we must
    carry out reforms now, understand what is right, help and boost our
    economy. But reforms must be part of a package. We can't do one thing
    this way today and that way the next day.

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