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BAKU: Peace in exchange for talks

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  • BAKU: Peace in exchange for talks

    Turan News Agency, Azerbaijan
    June 19 2012


    Peace in exchange for talks


    As expected, mediated by the OSCE Minsk Group the Armenian and
    Azerbaijani foreign ministers paid a significant part of the 18 June
    Paris negotiations to security and compliance with the cease-fire.

    The co-chairs once again expressed their deep concern over the recent
    incidents on the contact line and called for respect for the
    cease-fire, dated from 1994, as well as establish a confidence
    building mechanism for investigation of the incidents. Of course,
    other issues related to the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace settlement were
    also discussed, but they lost their importance after the exchange of
    military strikes on 4-6 June on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border that
    have resulted in dozens of dead and wounded, sparking another wave of
    hysteria.

    As a whole, it has become characteristic over the past two years that
    the mediators and the sides to conflict bring to the fore the problem
    of compliance with the cease-fire, leaving behind the process of
    finding a solution to the Karabakh conflict. In this context, the
    mediation efforts of the Russian president are looked through very
    clearly, who, receiving his belligerent colleagues after some time,
    encourages them not to pass on the military path. Typically, these
    meetings end with tripartite declarations on commitment to the peace
    process.

    As usual, the situation on the contact line heats up dramatically
    before and even during the important state visits, or mediation
    initiatives, as it was during the latest meeting between the
    presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan, mediated by Russian President
    Dmitriy Medvedev on 23 January this year, or the visit by Secretary of
    State [Hillary] Clinton to the South Caucasus on 4-6 June. The first
    report on Azerbaijani reconnaissance sortie with losses from both
    sides hit the alarm on 4 June when the state secretary was in Yerevan.

    Instead of discussing a US-initiated "peace settlement plan in
    conformity with the Helsinki Final Act", Clinton had to pay more
    attention to preserving the truce. "As I previously stated in Yerevan,
    I am very concerned in this regard and do not want to even greater
    intensity around the conflict, as this can cause adverse effects.
    Bloodshed must be stopped and all must work to save peace," Clinton
    said in Baku on 5 June.

    After the cease-fire of May 1994 [between Azerbaijan and Armenia] the
    history of the Karabakh conflict settlement is saturated with
    interlaced processes of military tension and peace negotiations. But
    on the whole, the military line has always been a blocking factor of
    all the peace initiatives emanating from Europe, the USA and Russia,
    in addition to other countries and organizations.

    Distracting military manoeuvres around the Karabakh conflict is the
    only salvation medium for the warring parties, who are not willing to
    compromise, made public by Clinton during her visit to the region.
    Attempts to somehow connect the two mutually exclusive international
    principle - the right of nations to self-determination and the
    integrity of borders, yet do not meet the enthusiasm among the
    conflicting parties, or rather more of the Armenian side, which in a
    maximalist way insists on the freedom of Nagornyy Karabakh from
    Azerbaijan. Baku, for its part, is exploring different models of such
    hybrid, like the Aland model (Finland-Sweden) or the Tyrol
    (Italy-Germany).

    Although the international mediators are criticizing the warring
    countries and even threatening them with sanctions, they yet cannot
    offer a specific plan and above all, a mechanism for resolving the
    conflict. Such a situation could mean that the relevant international
    mediators themselves are not ready for a peaceful outcome of the
    Karabakh knot. This was evident from the mediating steps of the
    Russian president, the visit of the secretary of state and the latest
    statement of the OSCE Minsk Group in Paris. The current latent state
    in the Karabakh settlement process will continue in the near future,
    given the presidential elections in Azerbaijan and Armenia in 2013,
    and parliamentary and presidential elections in neighbouring Georgia,
    to which, according to Clinton, the US will pay particular attention.
    As the experience of the recent history of the Caucasus shows, such
    landmark events usually push the peace process into the background,
    yielding it to verbal military-patriotic abuses of candidates, and
    separate armed clashes with pettiest victories and defeats.

    [translated from Russian]

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