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  • Does Sargsyan Need Oskanian

    DOES SARGSYAN NEED OSKANIAN
    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments25361.html
    Published: 20:40:56 - 06/03/2012

    The ex-foreign minister Vardan Oskanian's membership to the Prosperous
    Armenia Party forms a new layer in the political sphere of Armenia
    which may be essential in further political developments.

    By his membership Vardan Oskanian imparts the party known for charity
    only with political image, as well as gives a political shape to his
    attitudes to Karabakh and foreign policy.

    Hence, the combination of the Prosperous Armenia Party and Vardan
    Oskanian may be the basement for the emergence of a new opposition
    to Serzh Sargsyan's foreign policy. Earlier the Prosperous Armenia
    Party abstained from expressing detailed opinions on the Karabakh
    issue or any other foreign issue or development.

    Vardan Oskanyan's membership means that the PAP will have to express
    its opinion. And since Vardan Oskanian was one of the most ardent
    critics of Serzh Sargsyan's foreign policy in the past three-four
    years, the PAP must become such unless Oskanian himself becomes
    similar to the PAP in his approaches to foreign issues.

    There has been no systemic and conceptial opposition to Serzh
    Sargsyan's foreign policy. The opposition Armenian National Congress
    adheres to the main or key concept by which Serzh Sargsyan launched
    his foreign policy. The approach of the Armenian National Congress
    or rather Levon Ter-Petrosyan to Karabakh and relations with Turkey
    are in line with the policy conducted by Serzh Sargsyan.

    There was a conceptual difference in the approaches of the ARF
    Dashnaktsutyun however the leaders of this political force drove
    the political behavior of this party to the margin. To restore it,
    the leaders of this party who shape its behavior must be replaced.

    Similarly, the foreign political concept of the Heritage Party has
    a weak political influence for the simple reason that the Heritage
    Party has a weak political influence and does not meet the benchmark
    of the systemic opposition an indicator of useful effect of which is
    measured by the efforts to protects the rights of citizens.

    Hence, Serzh Sargsyan's foreign policy during his four years of
    office has lacked a systemic and conceptial opposition. The poltiical
    forces are unable to fill in this gap. At present, Vardan Oskanian
    and Prosperous Armenia Party have such ambitions.

    Will they succeed in something which the political forces failed to
    do? Judging by the policy conducted during Vardan Oskanian's tenure,
    expectations are not big since the policy will be implemented by the
    party whose foreign policy has not been needed since 2006.

    Now the Prosperous Armenia needs something political, and Serzh
    Sargsyan needs an influential opposition to his foreign policy which
    will be opposition in domestic issues and a resource of competition,
    which cannot be ignored by the foreign political centers concerned
    with the foreign issues of Armenia.

    In the presence of such a system Serzh Sargsyan can maneuver among
    the unpleasant proposals of Armenia and avoid pressure by referring
    to the opposition.

    Consequently, the tandem of the PAP and Vardan Oskanian may shape a
    system, also with the help of Serzh Sargsyan, who needs an influential
    system. In this context, Sargsyan may needs to ensure the domestic
    dimension of the PAP, especially that this party has the relevant
    resource. Ostensibly, it requires new agreements on the rules of
    coexistence with changing geography. Apparently, this is the context
    of the coalition statement of February 13 agreements on the rules of
    the game which was followed by Oskanian's membership to the PAP.

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