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  • Azerbaijan: Blackmail Video Made Public, Possible Imminent Release O

    AZERBAIJAN: BLACKMAIL VIDEO MADE PUBLIC, POSSIBLE IMMINENT RELEASE OF POLITICAL PRISONERS

    Foreign Policy Blogs Network
    March 15, 2012 Thursday 12:25 PM EST

    It was bound to happen, although I prayed that it wouldn't. But at
    least one web site in Azerbaijan has now released the blackmail video
    involving well-known correspondent Khadija Ismayilova. In response,
    Khadija has issued a public statement, quoted in an RFE/RL article,
    saying that she will not be deterred:

    "If they meant to stop me by this, I can assure you they have
    been wrong. They failed to do so," she said. "I continue doing my
    investigations. I will publish my investigations as soon as I finish
    the story. If they meant to stop me, they have failed. If they meant
    to defame me, they have failed, because I have received the full
    support of my friends."

    As I've said previously, Khadija is an extraordinarily courageous
    journalist, and as a friend of hers, I am saddened and disturbed by
    this very personal and vicious attack.

    Interestingly, the RFE/RL piece alleges that the url for the site that
    posted the video "falsely suggests a connection with Azerbaijan's
    opposition Musavat (Equality) party," which if true would be an
    attempt to smear both Khadija and Musavat.

    Turan News Agency in Baku reports that the editor of Yeni Musavat, the
    party newspaper, says that the site has no relation to his newspaper
    or the party.

    In other news, I have been told by an Azeri source close to the
    opposition that President Aliyev is about to release virtually all
    political prisoners who were arrested and convicted for a variety of
    charges during Azerbaijan's "Arab Spring" unrest last year.

    Normally I don't publish rumors, but it makes sense, and will be a
    major story if it pans out. Presidential pardons are often granted
    during holidays, and the Azeri "Novruz" celebrations are beginning
    soon. My source says the president has already signed the release
    order and believes that the reason for the urgency is the increasingly
    negative commentary from the international press on Azerbaijan's
    human rights situation prior to the Eurovision Song Contest, to be
    held in Baku in May of this year.

    We will see what develops in the next 48 hours.

    Also today, Ruslan Bashirli, who was convicted in a sensational trial
    in 2006 for plotting to overthrow the government, is reported to have
    written a letter to President Aliyev asking for a pardon. Bashirli,
    a founding member of the Yeni Fekir (New Idea) youth group, was
    arrested in 2005, along with two co-defendants.

    The key evidence against Bashirli was video footage that appeared to
    show him bragging to associates-and so-called "Armenian agents"-in
    Tbilisi that he was working with the National Democratic Institute
    (NDI) to overthrow President Aliyev's government.

    In Bashirli's purported letter to President Aliyev, available at
    News.az, he confesses to wrong-doing and denounces his former political
    allies while expressing admiration for the president's achievements:

    "I have already served six years and seven months of the punishment.

    Over this time I have understood my responsibility for the crime and
    acknowledged my guilt. At that time I was hot-tempered and influenced
    by powers that disliked you and us.

    "Analyzing my past over these years, I understood my faults. Of course,
    your positive activity in recent years had a big role in this.

    The achievements in domestic and foreign policy are obvious. No one
    can deny them."

    This is major shift in worldview, and comes a mere three weeks after
    a similar letter was supposedly written by Elnur Israfilov, a young
    man convicted for his participation in the April demonstrations. Like
    Bashirli, Israfilov was not only contrite in his letter, but blamed
    others for manipulating him:

    "I have been engaged in actions aimed at disturbing peace, obstructing
    transport, violating the normal functioning schedule of enterprises,
    offices and organizations at the instigation of my uncle Mammad
    Ibrahimli. He has engaged me and simple people like me in order to
    fulfill his reckless intentions."

    I talked to his uncle via Skype in February, who told me that the
    letter was written in a style that suggested it was dictated or
    authored by someone else, and alleged that former political prisoner
    and journalist Eynullah Fatullayev had convinced Israfilov to write it.

    My Azeri source tells me that Bashirli's family have traveled to Baku
    in anticipation of his impending release in the next day or two.

    Pro-government ANS TV has been playing up the Bashirli story today,
    perhaps suggesting that they know that a pardon will be granted.




    From: A. Papazian
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