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Prosperous Armenia Prospective Winner - European Friends Of Armenia

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  • Prosperous Armenia Prospective Winner - European Friends Of Armenia

    PROSPEROUS ARMENIA PROSPECTIVE WINNER - EUROPEAN FRIENDS OF ARMENIA

    Tert.am
    22.03.12

    Today, European Friends of Armenia (www.EuFoA.org) publishes
    the results of its poll titled "Poll: A Snapshot of Pre-Electoral
    Armenia". The poll was conducted by IPSC and EuFoA, with TNS opinion
    providing extensive quality control and supervision.

    The fieldwork was conducted between 29 February and 5 March 2012.

    One of the questions was: "If the Parliamentary Elections were held
    next Sunday, which party would you vote for?" The responses were
    as follows:

    Prosperous Armenia Party (41%) Republican Party of Armenia (37%) ARF
    Dashnaktsutyun (5%) Armenian National Congress (5%) Rule of Law Party
    (5%) Heritage Party (4%)

    At the beginning of the campaign period, the two largest parties
    score results without significant differences (error margin: 2.4%),
    but far ahead of any other party. Meanwhile, four smaller parties
    are all equally likely to pass the 5% threshold and move into the
    National Assembly, or not. "It is stunning that at the beginning of
    the campaign period, nobody can say if we will have a parliament made
    up of 6, 5, 4, 3, or even just 2 parties! This also means that nobody
    can today predict a specific outcome. The only thing we know is that
    already today, a very large number of people is already certain to
    vote." comments Dr Michael Kambeck, EuFoA's Secretary General.

    Gagik Tsarukyan is the most popular party leader in Armenia, while
    Serzh Sargsyan still has a strong lead when asking for Presidential
    preferences. People across the country show dissatisfaction or
    distrust in political institutions, and the "perceived" situation in
    the country today is rather negative. However, the picture becomes more
    positive when the respondents were asked about the real situation of
    their own families, and when they evaluate the change of the general
    situation in Armenia over the last 5 years.

    EuFoA provides this poll as non-Armenian and therefore non-partisan
    NGO. To ensure the highest level of independence and quality, this
    poll has been entirely supervised by the renowned international
    polling company TNS opinion. "We have assessed the methodology and
    supervised all steps of this poll. I am happy to say that this poll
    absolutely meets international standards and we were very satisfied
    with the level of quality" says Dr Steve Schwarzer, Methodology and
    Statistics Manager at TNS opinion, Brussels.

    The poll involves 1,600 people in Armenia's capital and regions.

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