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Karabakh is Keeping The Key to Its Own Future

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  • Karabakh is Keeping The Key to Its Own Future

    KARABAKH IS KEEPING THE KEY TO ITS OWN FUTURE

    http://artsakhtert.com/eng/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=655:-karabakh-is-keeping-the-key-to-its-own-future&catid=5:politics&Itemid=17
    Saturday, 05 May 2012 11:04

    For the recent two years, as we know, the European Parliament has
    periodically held discussions on the direct involvement of the
    European Union in the process of the Karabakh conflict peaceful
    settlement.
    In their statements, senior EU officials constantly emphasize the
    necessity of enhancing the role of this structure in the South
    Caucasus.

    In one of the resolutions adopted by the European Parliament's Foreign
    Affairs Committee, it was noted that France should be replaced by the
    European Union in the OSCE Minsk Group, which, however, was not
    supported by European officials. On the contrary, they stated once
    again that the negotiations on the Karabakh settlement must be
    continued in the format of the Minsk Group, and the European Union,
    obviously, must assist in this process and intensify its cooperation
    with all the states of the South Caucasus region.

    Though relative calm on the subject is established now, however, a
    question occurs: what is the goal of such statements and why is the
    issue periodically raised by the European Parliament members?

    "It is clear that the European Union wants to play a greater role in
    the region. It is also seeking new ways to engage in the process of
    peaceful settlement of Karabakh conflict. The current efforts of the
    EU are aimed at promoting the peaceful solution to the issue, as well
    as its encouragement. But, they are not aimed at replacing any state
    in the Minsk Group. France will remain a co-chair of the Minsk Group',
    said Director of the Armenian Center for Regional Studies Richard
    Kirakosian.

    When asked by the Azat Artsakh correspondent whether the EU can play
    any role in the settlement of the Azerbaijani-Karabakh conflict, the
    political scientist answered that the EU was facing a new opportunity
    and the imperative of greater involvement in the processes in the
    South Caucasus. He recalled the positive result of the European
    intervention in the Georgian-Ossetian war. On the other hand,
    according to R. Kirakosian, for greater involvement in the regional
    processes and, consequently, for consolidation of its successful role,
    the EU must overcome the seemingly contradictory nature of its own
    strategy: each of the leading states of this structure tends to follow
    its own national policy, in some cases differing from the policy of
    other states. These differences are clearly seen in its relations with
    Russia, particularly in the field of energy policy.

    What does the political scientist think of the view that the decisive
    role in resolving the Karabakh issue belongs to Russia and the United
    States, which cannot be said about France? Is it possible that these
    two great powers come to an agreement in the future to replace France
    with the European Union? `The U.S. and Russia support France, although
    Washington supports also the European Union, but there are no talks on
    replacing France', said R. Kirakosian. `Nevertheless, the future of
    the EU in the region depends on itself. Today, it faces a serious
    challenge - to reconcile the competing national policies and to
    elaborate a common policy of strategic involvement', he noted.

    Then, Mr. Kirakosian noted that the European Union would implement its
    plans for deeper involvement in the regional processes, since we
    cannot continue to ignore or underestimate the task that has become
    the imperative for this structure - specifically, to play a key role
    in the South Caucasus, a region that is considered risky in terms of
    establishing comprehensive security and stability. Consequently, he
    said, it is clear that the leaders of the three states in the region -
    Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, as well as Nagorno-Karabakh, which
    hasn't achieved its legal recognition yet, will keep the key to their
    future in their hands. And though overcoming the isolation of the
    South Caucasus has become an imperative for the EU, however, in the
    political scientist's opinion, the real stability and security are
    conditioned by the legitimacy of the authorities in the regional
    states, the level of local economic development, and the conducted
    policy. Geopolitics, perhaps, plays a minor role in this plane.

    Continuing his comments, R. Kirakosian noted that the EU would
    intensify its involvement in the regional processes by supporting two
    leaders of the Eastern Partnership program - Sweden and Poland.

    The goal of this prestigious European structure is more than clear -
    to expand its activities in the South Caucasus, in particular, to
    intensify its efforts on the Karabakh conflict settlement.

    What does the analyst think about the view exaggerated in the
    international media that in the negotiation process on the Karabakh
    settlement a certain role can be played by Turkey and Iran, which are
    considered influential states in the Middle East region? According to
    Mr. Kirakosian, the West in general, and in particular, the EU and the
    OSCE are against any role of Turkey and Iran, and it is unlikely that
    any of these countries will be involved in the process. Karabakh
    became a touchstone for the EU in terms of commitments and
    manifestation of determination, and in a broader sense it became also
    the "last chance" for the OSCE Minsk Group and the European Union.
    Ultimately, the Karabakh conflict is the only conflict in large
    Europe, where the EU does not play any role.



    Ruzan ISHKHANIAN

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