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  • Armenia-Iran Misunderstanding?

    ARMENIA-IRAN MISUNDERSTANDING?
    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments26147.html
    Published: 10:59:33 - 11/05/2012

    The Armenian foreign minister Eduard Nalbandyan attending the
    meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement in the Egyptian resort of Sharm
    El Sheikh met with the Iranian foreign minister Salehi and invited
    him to Armenia.

    This meeting and invitation is interesting because on April 30 Edward
    Nalbandyan visited Iran. In other words, the political interaction
    is becoming intensive, which is interesting.

    Radio RFE/RL informed that the Iranian mass media mentioned that
    during the meeting the Iranian foreign minister Salehi said the two
    countries must work in a friendly atmosphere to avoid misunderstanding.

    What happened between Armenia and Iran that made the Iranian side
    speak about avoiding misunderstanding and cooperation? Most probably,
    there was a case when Armenia acted without mutual agreement with
    Iran or violated an earlier agreement. Perhaps this is the reason
    why after the meeting of April 30 Eduard Nalbandyan needed another
    meeting with his Iranian counterpart.

    And the invitation to visit Armenia hints at one thing. Most probably,
    Edward Nalbandyan met with Salehi in Egypt and tried to relieve certain
    doubts of Iran. However Nalbandyan~Rs relief was not sufficient for
    Tehran and Iran expects to get explanation and assurance from Serzh
    Sargsyan, the president. Therefore, it was necessary to invite the
    Iranian foreign minister to Armenia.

    The most essential thing is what the Armenian-Iranian possible
    misunderstanding was about.

    Is it related to the domestic developments in Armenia or is it
    related to the settlement of the Karabakh conflict? Certainly Iran is
    interested in Armenia~Rs domestic life, maybe not directly and openly
    but still. Nevertheless, it would hardly be interested in the result
    of the parliamentary election. At the same time, the result itself
    is not interesting but the logic of the process may interest Tehran
    because the parliamentary election of 2012 is a step towards the West.

    Hence, Iran may be sensitive about it and have certain concerns and
    needs to relieve them.

    For instance, it is not ruled out that before the election Edward
    Nalbandyan had visited Iran and assured their government that Robert
    Kocharyan who is the most preferable partner of Iran in Armenia would
    have considerable representation in government. However, in the result
    of the election the forces representing Kocharyan had a very modest
    result compared with the RPA.

    As to the process of settlement of the Karabakh conflict, there have
    been no public steps here though on May 11 the visit of co-chairs
    is expected. It is not ruled out that their visit will be concerned,
    and the issues that will be discussed. In addition, it is not ruled
    out that the visit of the co-chairs will be related to Iran~Rs nuclear
    program rather than Karabakh.

    The point is that the Minsk Group co-chairs France, U.S. and Russia are
    leading nuclear states, while the Minsk Group format has gone beyond
    the format of settlement of the Karabakh conflict and transformed
    into a small club of discussion of regional and geopolitical issues.

    In any case, no Armenian-Iranian misunderstanding proceeds from the
    interests of Armenia, despite the matter of misunderstanding. In
    other words, misunderstanding means wily behavior or in other words,
    one of the parties let the other down.

    Most probably, in this case it was Armenia, if Iran~Rs foreign minister
    highlights the necessity to work together and avoid misunderstanding.

    In the meantime, clear disagreement between Armenia and Iran is better
    than misunderstanding because it implies lack of confidence. And
    if Armenia and Iran stop trusting each other, it will be a serious
    political and psychological loss, even though the Armenian government
    is trusted by the West.

    Armenia cannot afford to gain the confidence of the West at the
    expense of the confidence of Iran.




    From: A. Papazian
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