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ISTANBUL: Armenia -- at the beginning of a process

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  • ISTANBUL: Armenia -- at the beginning of a process

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    May 13 2012


    Armenia -- at the beginning of a process

    AMANDA PAUL


    Last weekend Armenia held parliamentary elections. For months
    beforehand the country's leadership was extremely vocal in declaring
    they would be the freest, fairest and most democratic in the country's
    history.
    As with a number of other countries that were once part of the Soviet
    Union, Armenia has a track record of flawed elections with little
    genuine effort being made in the past to change. Armenia's 2007
    parliamentary elections were marred by systemic irregularities, while
    the 2008 presidential elections were tainted by election fraud and
    violence that resulted in several deaths.

    These elections were the first under a new election law, and most
    Armenians, according to a Gallup poll, believed they would be freer
    and fairer than hitherto. The fact that all eight parties were able to
    register without any difficulty and campaign freely, suggested a good
    start. The election and the pre-election period were closely monitored
    by a number of different international organizations. The EU had
    stressed that as part of its `more for more' approach one of the keys
    to further deepening relations (including additional financial
    aid/support) would be to demonstrate greater commitment to EU values,
    including holding elections in line with international standards.

    Compared to previous elections it is clear that progress was made. But
    of course we cannot say these elections were wholly free and fair
    because it is obvious they were not. Many serious problems, including
    a failure to implement some important aspects of the new electoral
    code, still remain and need to be addressed. While observers noted a
    campaign environment that generally respected the freedoms of assembly
    and expression, and candidates were, for the most part, able to
    campaign freely, the general lack of confidence in the integrity of
    the process amongst political parties and the general public remains
    an issue of great concern.

    In their 13-page preliminary conclusions of May 7, the Organization
    for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), PACE and the European
    Parliament characterized the elections as `a competitive, vibrant and
    largely peaceful campaign.' It goes on to focus on shortcomings and
    violations, citing `an unequal playing field due to violations of
    campaign provisions and cases of pressure on voters, as well as
    deficiencies in the complaints and appeals process were cause for
    concern.' Francois-Xavier de Donnea, head of the OSCE Parliamentary
    Assembly delegation, stated `Armenia deserves recognition for its
    electoral reforms and its open and peaceful campaign environment, but
    in this race several stakeholders too often failed to comply with the
    law, and election commissions too often failed to enforce it. As a
    result, the international commitments to which Armenia has freely
    subscribed were not always respected.' However, we should recall the
    comments from the head of the European Parliament delegation to the
    parliamentary elections in Armenia, Krzysztof Lisek, who said: `I
    cannot stress enough how important it is to see these elections and
    our preliminary findings in the broader context and as the beginning
    of the process, not the end. Our final recommendations, once they are
    published, should be taken as the goal to achieve in view of the
    upcoming presidential election.' This is an extremely important point.

    The EU foreign policy chief, Baroness Catherine Ashton, welcomed the
    efforts by the Armenian authorities but also concluded the need to
    address a number of issues in order to fully meet internationally
    recognized democratic standards and address the shortcomings
    identified ahead of the 2013 presidential elections. Still I believe
    the result will help Yerevan in its negotiations with the EU for an
    Association Agreement and a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade
    Agreement.

    While Armenia will now have a more pluralistic and representative
    parliament, given that seven parties passed the 7 percent threshold,
    the fact that the coalition government of President Serzh Sarksyan's
    Republic Party has a majority, probably means there will be little
    opportunity for the opposition to have significant impact on
    legislation.

    In terms of Armenia's foreign policy nothing is likely to change.
    Sarksyan will be gearing up for the 2013 presidential elections. He
    will likely focus on the socio-economic demands of the people. There
    is a lot of chatter about his main competitor being former President
    Robert Kocharian, who Richard Giragosian, a Yerevan-based
    think-tanker, recently labeled the `Moby-Dick' of Armenian politics --
    `Everyone is looking for him, thinking about him and worried about
    him.' Frankly, what Armenia really needs, as do many other countries
    in this region, is a new generation of younger, educated and modern
    leaders to replace the present `club of pensioners' that keeps being
    regurgitated.

    Armenia has a challenging period ahead, and I hope that lessons will
    be learned from these elections and that the recommendations from the
    international monitors will be adhered to. Each step made, no matter
    how small, is to be welcomed and built on.

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