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  • Karabakh And Eurasian Union

    KARABAKH AND EURASIAN UNION
    Naira Hayrumyan

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics26205.html
    Published: 16:12:46 - 15/05/2012

    Today, Vladimir Putin's mediation in the Karabakh negotiations may be
    tested. The informal summit of the CIS countries with the participation
    of the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents, Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham
    Aliyev will be held today evening.

    They will most likely congratulate Vladimir Putin and will expect
    new Karabakh initiatives.

    Analysts affirm Putin's mediation, unlike Medvedev, may come out
    rougher and even compulsory. Medvedev's mediation of three years,
    who initiated the trilateral format of negotiations, brought the
    Karabakh issue settlement to the line when the point is no longer
    about the preservation of the current situation, but settlement. The
    adopted documents deal with the "acceleration" of the agreement of
    the basic principles, activation of humanitarian ties and creation
    of mechanisms to investigate border incidents.

    What will Putin propose as a mediator? He will hardly take up step
    breaking the status quo, more likely, he will use the situation to
    solve his own problems.

    Putin's main task, which he mentioned as priority of the foreign
    policy, will be the integration on the post-Soviet territory and
    creation of Eurasian Union. Vladimir Putin will use all the methods
    to attract the former soviet countries into this union. But few hopes
    can be connected with Azerbaijan in this issue, while Armenia is one
    of the first candidatures to the Eurasian Union.

    Of course, Putin will use all the mediatory possibilities to scare
    Yerevan of the change of status quo and seize the agreement of Armenia
    to join the Eurasian Union. In order to convince, Putin may even show
    how fragile the status quo is.

    Putin has no other reasons to settle the Karabakh issue or to activate
    negotiations. And if the Armenian leadership manages to tell the
    Russian president openly its position on the Eurasian union, perhaps,
    it will be possible to avoid speculations on the Karabakh settlement.

    Otherwise, some more young men standing on the border will not return
    home, but they won't know they were killed by someone's irrepressible
    wish to create the Eurasian Union.




    From: A. Papazian
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