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Armenia seeks closer energy co-operation with Iran

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  • Armenia seeks closer energy co-operation with Iran

    Global Insight
    November 9, 2012

    Armenia seeks closer energy co-operation with Iran

    by Andrew Neff


    Armenia and Iran sealed a number of energy and transport
    infrastructure projects during a top-level meeting on 8 November,
    which will help Armenia to diversify its energy imports, and Iran, to
    push back increasing international isolation.


    Energy dimension

    Armenia and Iran yesterday (8 November) launched construction on a
    joint hydropower plant (HPP) on the Arax River that forms the border
    between the two countries. Armenian president Serzh Sargsyan and
    Iranian energy minister Majid Namjoo symbolically laid the first stone
    for the 130-MW plant in a ceremony in Meghri, on the Armenian side of
    the border. The joint HPP, which is estimated to cost USD253 million,
    is expected to be completed in five years and will supply energy to
    Iran for the first 15 years of its operation before being handed over
    to Armenia. The project is part of an agreement reached between the
    two governments back in 2007 to construct two new plants on the Arax
    River, one on each side of the river, with the Armenian plant to be
    built first (seeWorld Markets Energy: Armenia - Iran: 21 March
    2007:andArmenia - Iran: 17 September 2010:).

    In addition, Armenia and Iran announced their commitment to develop
    further joint energy projects including the construction of a rail
    link and an oil products pipeline that will deliver gasoline (petrol)
    and diesel fuel from Iranian refineries and possibly other Persian
    Gulf countries via Tabriz to the Armenian city of Yeraskh, according
    to Armenian energy minister Armen Movsisyan reported in RIA Novosti.
    Armenia plans to invest USD100 million to finance the construction of
    the Iran-Armenia pipeline on its territory. Armenia's main objective
    is to find alternative transportation routes for much-needed petroleum
    products and other commodities and open up its potential to access
    external markets towards its south given that relations to its eastern
    neighbour Azerbaijan and Turkey remain sore. Nevertheless, Movsisyan
    made clear that he and his Iranian counterpart are keen to explore
    these projects in the near future in the hope of raising the level of
    economic co-operation between the two neighbours. Notably, both energy
    ministers are co-chairmen of the Armenian-Iranian inter-governmental
    commission on economic co-operation. However, given that Armenia and
    Iran initially planned to start the construction of the oil products
    pipeline in 2011 and finish it in 2014, it remains to be seen whether
    this recent pledge will be realised or remain political rhetoric.

    Unique dynamics

    Armenian - Iranian relations appear to be decoupled from Iran's wider
    international troubles concerning its nuclear programme. Tehran has
    come under UN sanctions in 2006 and 2010 which are not very stringent
    compared to those unilaterally imposed by the US and the EU, which
    came into effect on 28 June and 1 July of this year, respectively. The
    US and EU sanctions particularly target Iran's oil sector (which has
    caused a major drop in Iran's crude exports to under 1 million b/d of
    crude or more than half compared to the year before) as well as the
    Central Bank of Iran, which makes it difficult for Iran to access US
    dollars and trade foreign currencies. From a geopolitical standpoint,
    Russia and by extension its main South Caucasian ally Armenia, remain
    important partners for Iran. At the same time Armenia has close
    relations with the US and is involved in NATO missions in Afghanistan
    and Kosovo. Still, it is not wider geopolitical considerations but
    more pragmatic national interests that have driven the complementary
    relations between Yerevan and Tehran since Armenia gained independence
    in 1991. A small but influential Armenian community in Iran has served
    as a link for forging close commercial relations.

    For the past two decades, Iran has provided a lifeline to Armenia,
    which remains under blockade by two of its four neighbours - Turkey
    and Azerbaijan - over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Russia is another
    important economic and security partner for Armenia. But unlike Iran
    it does not share a common border with Armenia, and the August 2008
    war between Georgia and Russia once again proved the need for energy
    import diversification for Armenia.

    The energy deal follows a rare security pact signed in July this year
    between the two countries, which includes fight against organised
    crime, drug smuggling and strengthening the common border. The deal
    was also an attempt by Iran to send a signal to Azerbaijan that is
    remains uneasy about Baku's USD1.6-billion arms supply deal with
    Israel (seeCountry Intelligence: Azerbaijan - Israel: 27 February
    2012:) and speculations that Azerbaijan may provide its airfields to
    Israel against potential military anti-Iranian strike.

    Outlook and implications

    Armenia and Iran not only share geography, but also face similar
    external pressures on which they continue to find common ground and
    co-operate on energy-related matters. Iran continues to be squeezed by
    international sanctions over its controversial nuclear programme that
    have stifled investment in its oil and gas sectors, while Armenia
    remains subject to a long-running blockade by Turkey and Azerbaijan
    over the frozen Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Against this backdrop,
    Armenia and Iran agreed to proceed with the HPPs, which will bolster
    the energy supply situation for both countries by providing additional
    generation capacity that can also be used to bolster electricity trade
    between Armenia and Iran (seeWorld Markets Energy: Armenia - Iran: 7
    November 2011:). This is why the two countries are also discussing
    joint projects to build a rail link and an oil products pipeline to
    strengthen their economic ties and energy co-operation.

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