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  • Will the opening of the Abkhaz railway result in a conflict with Bak

    Rezonansi, Tbilisi, Georgia
    Nov 8 2012


    Will the opening of the Abkhaz railway result in a conflict with Baku?

    by Salome Sigua

    [Translated from Georgian]

    Azeri experts disapprove of the opening of railway communication
    between Georgia and Russia. They think that by doing so, Georgia,
    which they are supplying with cheap gas, is helping to strengthen the
    Russian-Armenian commercial partnership. In response to this, Georgian
    experts say that "if we manage to open the railway with Russia, we
    will get gas from Russia at a much cheaper price".

    It should be noted that the new Georgian leadership is thinking of
    opening railway communication with Russia via Abkhazia. The railway
    has been closed for 20 years now. As Reintegration Minister Paata
    Zakareishvili put it, the process should be completely free of
    political implications and should be considered only within an
    economic context.

    According to Sergey Harutyunyan, the chief engineer of the Armenian
    South Caucasus railway, the process is not going to be hindered
    provided there is political good will. He thinks that the process will
    have strategic importance for Armenia, "as this is the cheapest and
    shortest way to Russia".

    Opening railway not to affect Georgia-Azerbaijan relations

    As the reintegration minister said, everyone will feel satisfied with
    the opening of this transport artery, Armenia included. However, an
    Azeri pundit's interview in [Russian] Vesti TV programme shows that it
    might anger Azerbaijan and, as a result, it will raise gas tariffs.

    "The railway is going to greatly improve economic communications
    between Russia and Armenia, which is an aggressor country for
    Azerbaijan. However, Azerbaijan is Georgia's strategic partner. We
    have made large investments in Georgia and we supply it with cheap
    gas. In cases like this, all things should be taken into
    consideration. And Georgian politicians, too, should hold
    consultations with the Azeri side," Azeri pundit Farhad Mehtiyev told
    Vesti.

    According to the Azeri pundit, in case the railway is opened, Armenia
    is going to have easier trade communications with Russia, and by doing
    so "[Georgian Prime Minister Bidzina] Ivanishvili will strengthen
    Azerbaijan's enemies".

    Is it possible to restore railway communication with Russia through
    Abkhazia and will it bring tensions to the Georgian-Azeri relations?

    Rezonansi spoke to pundit Kakha Gogolashvili, according to whom,
    Georgia is not going to have any problems with Azerbaijan as
    Azerbaijan needs Georgia more than Georgia needs Azerbaijan.

    Kakha Gogolashvili: "The idea of re-opening the Georgian-Russian
    railway going through Abkhazia existed even in 1999, but at that time,
    it was not put into action, resistance of the legitimate
    [Tbilisi-based] Abkhaz government being one of the reasons. Apart from
    this, forcefully displaced people from Abkhazia insisted that the
    question of their return was solved first and then the aforementioned
    process was linked to it.

    "At present, in my opinion, the state minister is planning to put the
    idea into action without any pre-conditions provided he is supported
    in Georgia, first and foremost by the displaced, of course. However,
    we should also remember that this re-opening is going to be followed
    by many problems, security issue first of all. It is not easy to
    establish railway communications on occupied territories. This
    envisages everyday communications, which might include shipping of
    military cargo to Armenia by Russia. Consequently, it is not easy,"
    Gogolashvili told Rezonansi.

    Opening of railway communications "complicated issue"

    He also said that Azerbaijan has taken responsibilities to support the
    re-opening of the railway communication.

    "As regards Azerbaijan's possible irritation, I think that it is
    possible to regulate the problem. The Azeri government will understand
    the issue and realize that this is an issue of Georgian-Russian
    relations. Azerbaijan should by no means interfere because of the
    problems with Armenia. We have never promised Azerbaijan that we would
    never open the railway. Apart from this, in 1999, the Azeri government
    signed a European Union declaration saying that Armenia, Azerbaijan
    and Georgia undertake the responsibility to open the railway. This
    means that Azerbaijan has signed a document on opening the Abkhaz
    railway. This fact will make Azerbaijan suppress its irritation.

    "Against the background of the Azeri side reminding us of the cheap
    gas, I would like to say that if we manage to open railway
    communications with Russia, we will be able to get gas from Russia,
    and at a cheaper price, too.

    "Whatever the situation, Azerbaijan and Georgia should remain
    strategic partners, and we will. As for Azerbaijan, Georgia is the
    only territory for transporting its petrol to Europe. That is why,
    Azerbaijan actually has no other way out," Gogolashvili told
    Rezonansi.

    Pundit Gia Nodia says that restoration of Georgian-Russian railway
    communications via Abkhazia is a complicated issue. However, if
    implemented, it is going to be beneficial. As for problems with
    Azerbaijan, they should be ruled out.

    "This is going to be a complicated issue to negotiate on, as it
    requires the Abkhaz side's agreement. In general terms, it is going to
    be economically beneficial, but politically disputable.

    "As regards the dissatisfaction expressed by Azerbaijan, there might
    be problems from their side, but I would not qualify them as really
    serious or capable of ruining our relations. Azerbaijan needs good
    relations with Georgia," Nodia told Rezonansi.

    [Translated from Georgian]


    From: Baghdasarian
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