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Ankara: How Will Domestic Crises In Georgia Affect Foreign Policy?

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  • Ankara: How Will Domestic Crises In Georgia Affect Foreign Policy?

    HOW WILL DOMESTIC CRISES IN GEORGIA AFFECT FOREIGN POLICY?

    Today's Zaman
    Nov 13 2012
    Turkey

    Despite the fact that only a short period of time has elapsed since
    the Georgian parliamentary elections that gave an unexpected victory to
    the Georgian Dream coalition, led by billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili,
    concerns about the new government have been raised in both domestic
    and international circles.

    Ivanishvili attracted a great deal of popular support by promising
    that the people's work and efforts would be honored properly, but the
    expectations and demands this created have led to turmoil and upheaval
    in the country. People agreed that Mikheil Saakashvili had failed to
    adequately administer the aftermath of the Rose Revolution and that
    living conditions had worsened since then, so many people decided
    to support a different candidate who offered bold promises. Now,
    however, due to the coalition government's failure to honor those
    pre-election promises, workers and prison inmates have resorted to
    strikes in protest.

    Prison strikes: The first of a series of protest strikes is an ongoing
    hunger strike in Ksani prison. An estimated 2,000 or more inmates
    are participating in the strike to protest prison conditions, and 15
    inmates sewed their mouths closed. Hunger strikes are also being held
    in other prisons to demand a change in the prison administration,
    which has been accused of abusive behavior.

    Drivers are also holding protests: The protest of 1,400 yellow bus
    drivers that started on Nov. 8 still negatively affects transportation
    in Tbilisi. The drivers want to draw attention to their working
    conditions and to their salaries, and have announced that they will
    continue to protest unless their 16 demands are met. Among their
    requests, the drivers are asking the government to raise their wages.

    The national government, however, stresses that the increase is at the
    discretion of the Tbilisi Municipality, administered by Giorgi Ugulava
    from the United National Movement (UNM), led by Saakashvili. The
    protestors are asking for Ugulava's removal from office, but with
    this move they contradict themselves because Ugulava has attempted
    to communicate with the current government in an effort to address
    the drivers' problems. Ugulava, elected mayor of Tbilisi in the
    2010 elections, is also seeking solutions to ensure that the current
    government provides operating funds to the municipality.

    Metro workers may go on strike: Underground Transportation Union
    President Giorgi Khitalishvili has noted the metro workers had
    forwarded a list of 12 demands to the city council as well and stressed
    that they would start a massive strike in support of the drivers'
    protests in the event their demands are not addressed.

    1,600 mine workers continue to protest: At a coal mining site run by
    the Gruzugol Company in the Imereti region, 1,600 workers continue
    to suspend their operations in protest of the recent decision to
    reduce salaries and lay off workers. A local parliament deputy,
    Eliso Capidze, Georgian Dream member of Parliament David Bezhuashvili
    and parliamentarian and partner in the Georgian Industrial Group
    Gia Zhorzholiani are trying to bring the laborers and the mine
    administration together to find a reasonable solution. The Gruzugol
    Company, which runs the mining site, is a partner in the Georgian
    Industrial Group.

    A deal has been made with the Poti Seaport workers: The Poti port
    workers who stopped work demanding a raise in their salaries have
    made a deal with Economy Minister Giorgi Kvirikashvili. Under the
    agreement, the salaries of the port workers will be raised by 20
    percent effective Dec 1.

    Employment struggle expected to negatively affect foreign policy: The
    power struggle between the municipalities and local administrations
    over employment opportunities continues. The former interior minister,
    chief of general staff and a top commander have all been arrested.

    Footage of incidents of torture in prison was aired on television, and
    demonstrations demanding accountability for the officers responsible
    affected public opinion ahead of the 2012 elections. Former Interior
    Minister Bacho Akhalaia was held responsible for these incidents
    of torture and was arrested for misconduct, as were Chief of Staff
    Giorgi Kalandadze and Commander of the 4th Brigade Zurab Samatava,
    though the latter two were subsequently released on bail.

    There are ongoing effects associated with the arrest of Akhalaia, who
    was appointed defense minister after the Russian-Georgian war in 2008.

    Saakashvili viewed the arrest of Akhalaia as a move that would hurt
    Georgia's integration into the world of European and American affairs.

    Akhalaia had enjoyed a good relationship with American diplomats,
    but after these incidents, NATO military authorities suspended a
    November visit to Tbilisi, which surprised the government and raised
    some questions. The opposition parties, noting that such incidents
    would hurt Georgia's relations with NATO, blamed the government for
    the strained relationship.

    Georgia's NATO representative, Grigol Mgaloblishvili, noted that
    the emergence of such a crisis before the NATO Foreign Ministerial
    Meetings to be held in December would be a problem. The Georgian
    authorities seek to identify the source of the problem; however, NATO
    has not offered any explanation so far. Amid ongoing discussions as
    to whether Georgia will move away from the West due to its internal
    crises, there are some major issues the government could use to make
    some serious offers and take the initiative. In particular, these
    include policies of rapprochement with Russia, which will boost the
    Armenian economy and lead to some problems along the Azeri-Turkish
    axis. The new government has not yet clarified its foreign policy
    path. It seeks to improve ties with Russia on the one hand, and also
    preserve its strong relations with NATO. But this would lead to a
    total collapse in foreign policy. The repercussions of this ambivalent
    stance and indecisive approach will be seen very soon.

    * Mehmet Fatih OZTARSU is a strategic outlook analyst.

    http://www.todayszaman.com/news-298087-how-will-domestic-crises-in-georgia-affect-foreign-policy-by-mehmet-fatih-oztarsu*.html

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