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Armenia: Is Yerevan Rolling Atomic Dice?

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  • Armenia: Is Yerevan Rolling Atomic Dice?

    ARMENIA: IS YEREVAN ROLLING ATOMIC DICE?
    by Marianna Grigoryan

    EurasiaNet.org
    Nov 15 2012
    NY

    The Armenian government's recent decision to prolong the lifespan of
    the aging Metsamor nuclear power plant- a decision supported by the
    United States - is provoking a public outcry. But with no replacement
    energy source in sight, the government maintains it has no choice
    but to place faith in the facility's sole functioning reactor.

    Metsamor opened in 1976 and sits on earthquake-prone terrain near a
    residential area about 30 kilometers away from the Armenian capital,
    Yerevan. The nuclear plant generates almost 40 per cent of Armenia's
    electricity. For almost two decades, various international plans
    have been circulating to either shut the plant down, or keep it on
    life-support until a new power source can be secured.

    Authorities several years ago set 2016 as the target date for
    Metsamor's retirement. Then, on November 6, officials announced that,
    given Metsamor's favorable results in 2011 stress tests conducted
    by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the facility's lifespan
    would be extended to 2026.

    The United States, under an October 18 memorandum of understanding on
    energy-sector cooperation, is willing to lend a helping hand. American
    Ambassador to Armenia John Heffern told RFE/RL that although
    Washington would have liked to see Metsamor shut down by 2016,
    "it is ready to continue providing the necessary resources to keep
    the plant operating safely."

    A copy of the memorandum, made available by US diplomats in Yerevan,
    pledges training assistance in a variety of areas, including nuclear
    safety, "related energy technology" and emergency preparedness.

    Energy and Natural Resources Minister Armen Movsisian has indicated
    that the extra decade for Metsamor will give Armenia a chance to
    build a new nuclear power station in a different location. The
    government estimates that a new, 1,000-megawatt unit would cost
    roughly $5 billion - a project in which Armenia expects its strategic
    ally Russia will take part in. This April, President Sargsyan named
    2014 as the project's likely start date, but details have not been
    publicly released.

    Meanwhile, another option -- construction of a new nuclear-reactor
    unit at Metsamor (only one of the plant's original two reactors is
    still functioning) -- apparently has been quietly dropped. Energy
    Minister Movsisian earlier had named 2013 as this project's start date,
    but Armenia's 2013 budget envisages no such expenditures.

    With no immediate progress on either of these fronts, Armenian
    environmentalists worry that the country, for sheer lack of
    alternatives, has been left strapped to a ticking time bomb. American
    support for safety measures is meaningless, they say.

    "The longer the reactor works, the more fragile it becomes; it loses
    flexibility, and the accident risk increases," argued Greens Union
    of Armenia Chair Hakob Sanasarian, who terms the decision to prolong
    Metsamor's life "sabotage against the nation."

    Metsamor's remaining unit should, in fact, have closed by 2006,
    he added.

    Former Prime Minister Hrant Bagratian, who oversaw the start of
    government attempts in 1995 to increase Metsamor's operational
    security, shares that view. "Metsamor ... can no longer be operated,"
    said Bagratian, now an opposition MP for the Armenian National
    Congress. "The metal of its reactor has already gotten thin, and
    we'll face a danger worse than Chernobyl one day."

    "[E]verything has its expiration date," he continued. "I see the
    solution in construction of a new unit [with a nuclear reactor]. If
    there is none, then there is no solution." Responding to criticism,
    Deputy Energy and Natural Resources Minister Aram Simonian on November
    6 told parliament that "if we had the least doubts with regard to
    the reactor's metal, we would not raise the issue" of prolonging
    Metsamor's operating life. He did not elaborate on why construction
    of the new nuclear reactor has not begun.

    The government insists that concerns about Metsamor are overblown,
    citing the tens of millions of dollars it has allocated since the
    1990s on making the power station safer to run. "The demands to shut
    down the functioning energy block only because it is old are not
    grounded," State Nuclear Safety Regulatory Committее Chairperson
    Ashot Martirosian declared.

    Such demands carry political implications, he charged, since foreign
    specialists test the Metsamor reactor every four years. The latest
    check-up occurred "recently," he said, adding that, as of next May, the
    results will be made public. "There are no deviations, everything is
    normal," Martirosian told EurasiaNet.org. "Anyway, it's good this issue
    raises serious concerns; it's good that people do worry [about this]."

    And worry they do. Some voters see the decision about prolonging
    Metsamor's lifespan as symptomatic of the general difficulty that the
    government has had in tackling the country's persistent economic woes,
    especially unemployment and inflation. Others stress that, though
    "[w]e live in difficult times," the notion that the government would
    "play with nuclear safety" is "unbelievable."

    As Armenia gears up for its February 2013 presidential elections,
    look for political attention to all such views only to increase,
    local observers say.

    Editor's note: Marianna Grigoryan is a freelance reporter in Yerevan
    and the editor of MediaLab.am.

    http://www.eurasianet.org/node/66185

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