Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Us Relations With Armenia: In Facing Middle East Adversaries, Americ

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Us Relations With Armenia: In Facing Middle East Adversaries, Americ

    US RELATIONS WITH ARMENIA: IN FACING MIDDLE EAST ADVERSARIES, AMERICA HAS A SECRET WEAPON - POLICYMIC

    tert.am
    09.10.12

    Most Americans wouldn't be shocked to learn that the largest American
    embassy in the world is in Baghdad, Iraq. But the second-largest is
    in a surprising place: Armenia, policymic.com writes. It begs the
    question: why?

    The best explanation is a real estate mantra: location, location,
    location. Armenia, a landlocked country with just 3 million people,
    might be in the roughest neighborhood in the world. But in America's
    eyes, it might be in the most important position of any U.S. ally to
    advance President Obama's foreign policy agenda.

    What Armenia lacks in natural resources - it has little oil, gas or
    jewels - it makes up for in geography. Few countries are in better
    position to shape U.S. foreign policy than Armenia.

    Armenia borders Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Iran. As a part of
    the former Soviet Union, it relies on nearby Russia extensively for
    trade and military backing. The U.S. has a significant stake in all
    five countries, and Armenia is now coming into view as a potentially
    potent lever to advance American aims.

    That is, if the Armenians can be won over.

    As the U.S. tries to woo Armenia to become a stronger ally in the
    region, the term "geostrategic" has never been more apt. Armenia is
    literally at the center of a number of countries that Washington
    considers among its top priorities. As President Obama tries to
    accomplish key foreign policy objectives - like preventing Iran from
    attaining nuclear bombs or seeing democracy flourish in Russia -
    he's got to encourage Armenia to play along.

    To Armenia's south, one such issue is unfolding in Iran's nuclear
    centrifuges. Last week, a media skirmish between the US and Israel
    boiled over when Israel's Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, stated
    publicly that America had no "moral right" to say whether or not
    Israel could bomb Iran to prevent it from developing a nuclear weapon.

    President Obama reportedly called Netanyahu at 3 a.m. to quell
    tensions.

    America is racing to develop every diplomatic pressure point it can
    on Iran, lest Israel launch a preemptive attack and embroil America
    in a third Middle East war in ten years. One of those pressure points
    goes straight through Armenia.

    While the US has cut off formal relations with Iran - Washington talks
    through Switzerland's embassy there - it's no secret that it employs a
    variety of foreign policy crowbars to influence and destabilize Iran's
    ruling regime. Some, like President Obama's latest round of economic
    sanctions, are well known. Partnering with Armenia is not, but could
    have a major impact. Through economic and diplomatic incentives, the
    U.S. is actively trying to shape Armenia into an ally. As President
    Obama seeks to economically isolate Iran - his sanctions have cut the
    value of Iran currency in half - he is trying to regionally isolate
    the regime, as well. Armenia is key to that strategy.

    For Armenia, the game is far less simple. Partnering with the U.S. -
    with whom it has a good, but not great, relationship - could alienate
    the few friends Armenia has left in the South Caucasus region. Armenia
    wants military cooperation with Russia, but economic access to
    the West.

    While Armenia has tried to deepen relations with the European Union
    and the US, Armenia's two best friends at the moment are arguably
    the US's most challenging adversaries: Russia and Iran. That's not
    necessarily because of shared ideologies, or even shared interests;
    it's because Armenia doesn't have many friends to pick from.

    Of its four neighbors, two - Turkey and Azerbaijan - have have closed
    off their borders to Armenia. To go on a road trip, every Armenian
    must pass through either Tbilisi, Georgia or Tehran, Iran.

    Why the frosty reception? Turkey, which the New York Review of Books
    recently called "the historic nemesis of the Armenians," is still
    steaming mad over the negative PR associated with Armenian Genocide.

    The Turks claim rogue military elements are responsible; Armenians
    believe the Turkish government is reluctant to take the blame.

    In either interpretation, the facts are stark: about 1.5 million
    Armenians perished in a war with Turkey between 1915 and 1918. The
    Turks closed off the border in 1993, and with it, a significant chunk
    of Armenia's economy disappeared. In the decades since, Armenia has
    pressed for international recognition of the genocide - and rightfully
    so - but that has only stoked the fire with the Turks.

    But, while one would think that the genocide rift is what led Turkey
    to close off its border, it's not. Instead, Turkey is standing in
    solidarity with another neighbor over a contested territory.

    Azerbaijan, another former Soviet republic, shut its borders
    with Armenia after the two battled over an Armenian-populated
    Nagorno-Karabakh, in the 1990â~@²s. Today, the territory remains
    a "semi-autonomous" area; meaning that the Azeris want it back,
    the Armenians believe they control it, and the Karabakhis declared
    independence (which no country has formally recognized).

    Meanwhile, the relationship between Armenia and Azerbaijan is sliding
    downhill. Last week, Azerbaijan made a deal with Hungary to extradite
    a convicted Azeri murderer. (The man, 8 years ago, nearly decapitated
    a sleeping Armenian serviceman with an axe at a NATO-sponsored English
    class.) He was returned under the condition that he would serve at
    least 25 more years in jail.

    Instead, as the New York Times put it, he received "a new apartment,
    eight years of back pay, a promotion to the rank of major and the
    status of a national hero." Uproar in Armenia ensued. Armenia's
    President released a statement warning, "The Armenians must not be
    underestimated. We don't want a war, but if we have to, we will fight
    and win."

    Meanwhile, Azerbaijan is enjoying the windfall from oil exports.

    Israel, in particular, has strengthened relations with the Azeris,
    purchasing 30% of their oil from them, as well as selling them over
    $1.5 billion in military supplies. The U.S. is also a buyer of Azeri
    oil. As the New York Times points out, Azerbaijan invested more money
    in its military than Armenia's entire state budget last year. Hardly
    the sign of harmonious relations to come.

    So far, Armenia's walked a diplomatic tightrope with skill. As my
    Lonely Planet travel book explains, "Despite its limited resources,
    Armenia has become a master at geopolitics. What other country in
    the world can say it maintains good relations with the U.S., Russia
    and Iran?"

    Given the cards they're dealt, Armenia has been a remarkable success
    story. If America hopes to engender greater cooperation, it's got
    to sweeten the deal - through trade agreements, offering economic
    reforms and encouraging private sector development in Armenia.

    Armenia became independent in 1991. Two decades later, it's still
    trying to find its footing in the region. It may not have gold, oil,
    gas or jewels to give to the US. But, instead, it may have something
    more useful: a strategic position in the most critical--and potentially
    most dangerous--region in the world.

Working...
X