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  • Ten Years to Armenia

    Ten Years to Armenia

    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27786.html

    Published: 16:06:11 - 19/10/2012

    Two important intergovernmental events followed each other in Armenia
    in the form of commission meetings. First, the Armenian-Russian, then
    the Armenian-American commission meetings were held in Armenia.

    Both were accompanied by interesting developments. The
    Armenian-Russian meeting focused on the Compatriots program. The
    Armenian side said dissatisfied with it, and the Russian side answered
    the reason for emigration from Armenia is not their program but a
    domestic issue.

    After all, the meeting ended in the signing of a protocol containing
    the positions of the sides. The Russians agree and the Armenians
    disagree with the continuation of the program. The vice-foreign
    minister of Armenia Shavarsh Kocharyan stated that Armenia must
    discontinue the program but no one said when it will stop.

    The meeting of the Armenian-American intergovernmental commission
    ended in signing of an agreement which may open up significant
    prospects for Armenia. In particular, the point is about the
    Armenian-American energy cooperation. The sides discussed the U.S.
    support to the Nuclear Power Plant of Armenia. But it is still unknown
    whether the U.S. will assume any task relating to the construction of
    the new nuclear reactor in Armenia.

    The American side assumed the responsibility to support the existing
    plant and to help maintain it for another 10 years, until Armenia will
    build a new one with the same power.

    For the construction of the new power plant, Armenia is alleged to
    have agreed with Russia. Russia even said ready to allocate 1 billion
    for this aim. But the total cost is said to be 5 billion. Several
    months ago Russia stated that the control package of the plant should
    belong to Armenia. It is not ruled out that it was a message hinting
    that Russia rejects the responsibility to build the plant up to the
    end. Russia prefers emptying Armenia so it does not need a nuclear
    plant here.

    The minister of energy of Armenia Armen Movsisyan stated after the
    Armenian-American intergovernmental meeting that Armenia will need 10
    years to build the new plant, so Yerevan wants to prolong the
    operation of the existing plant for ten years, as the European Union
    demands.

    10 years is a long period for building a power plant. All the more so
    if we assume this 10-year period will start in 2016, hence we have 14
    years in total. Armenia used to state that it had already launched the
    calculation process. It is evident that Armenia is unable to raise
    funds.

    France has also announced support to Armenia when its ex-president
    Nicolas Sarkozy came to Armenia in the autumn of last year. But
    Sarkozy left and Holland's position is unknown.

    The U.S. is getting involved in the NPP process more actively. Will
    the U.S. government care for the billions which Armenia lacks to start
    the construction of the new power plant.

    The answer to this question is political. After all, 4 billion is not
    peanuts. Economic interest or political motivation is required. There
    can be no economic interest since the plant will hardly be feasible.

    The only hope is politics. The nuclear power plant is a political
    factor which will boost the importance of Armenia. The political
    weight of Armenia is beneficial only to the United States. Hence, it
    is not a surprise that the U.S. is assuming the task of maintaining
    the power plant for ten years. This means the U.S. prolongs Armenia's
    chance to be an important state for another ten years.

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