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  • Kasparov: I Will Win Against Putin

    KASPAROV: I WILL WIN AGAINST PUTIN

    Gazeta Wyborcza (in Polish)
    Oct 20 2012
    Poland

    Interview with Garry Kasparov, chess master and politician, by Piotr
    Pacewicz and Krzysztof Pacewicz

    [passage omitted on chess-playing career]

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Kasparov the politician has not scored such
    successes.

    [Kasparov] Why do you think so?

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Opposition politicians in Russia are described as
    being "five minutes short of president." Such irony refers to your
    weak position.

    [Kasparov] Did I promise that I would become president? Politics
    is not just chess. Not every victory counts. The dissidents during
    Soviet times used to say: do what you have to, and what will be will
    be. In 2005 I set up the United Civil Front, which is fighting for
    the reinstatement of parliamentary democracy. One year later the
    Other Russia coalition was created. When we win, I will be able to
    quit politics. I have had enough fame in my life.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] The Other Russia coalition includes, apart from you,
    also the National Bolsheviks, whose youth group chats at rallies:
    "Stalin -- Beria -- gulag."

    [Kasparov] The differences between us are vast, but they will only
    matter once we have a free parliament. Elections to the Russian
    opposition council will be held any moment now. Nationalists,
    leftists, liberals are sitting down to talk. No one believed it could
    be done. But here you have it!

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Is "Putin must go" the only thing you share?

    [Kasparov] Not only. We need to destroy the conditions that created
    him. The 1993 constitution will be abolished. My bet is that the
    free Russia will not have a strong president, like France or the
    United States. We will adopt the Polish model, or even the Estonian
    one (where the president is elected by a single-house parliament --
    editor's note). That is Putin's "legacy," he has inoculated us... We
    will give more power to the regions, to the municipalities. We will
    be electing sheriffs, judges.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Are you not counting your chickens before they've
    hatched?

    [Kasparov] I know that the regime is deeply rooted and has a
    financial powerbase such as the world has never seen. In March 2011,
    US Vice President Joe Biden visited Russia. He met with Medvedev, then
    president, with Putin, then prime minister, and then he invited in the
    opposition. Of course we went, although we no longer look upon America
    as the refuge of democracy. Unfortunately, the United States uses
    "democracy" as a geopolitical tool in fighting for its own interests.

    Biden got to talking. He talked about how he had told Putin not to run
    in the presidential race, that he presumably did not want to follow in
    Mubarak's footsteps, that this was not the kind of thing that is done!

    I responded: "With all due respect, Mr. Vice President, you seem not
    to realize that compared to Putin you and Obama are beggars. You have
    to ask Congress for every million. Putin can spend 1 billion without
    signing a paper." Putin controls the budget, the currency reserves,
    and the fortunes of the oligarchs. A total of a trillion dollars. Do
    you know how to count to a trillion?

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Putin of course did run. In 2012 he became president
    for a third time, with 64% support.

    [Kasparov] He created a system that sustains itself. He took advantage
    of the political pendulum, because following the chaotic 1990s people
    wanted stability. He proved to be an excellent psychologist. Well,
    that's the KGB. He knows how to handle the bureaucracy, he maintains
    a balance between groups of oligarchs. He understands that they need
    his protection in the West. And he gives them it. He builds relations,
    friendships, or buys off people in Europe or the United States.

    He knows how to be on friendly terms with Western leaders. He told Bush
    fervently about his Christian faith. On television, the Russians have
    been watching him for years, slapping Bush, then Obama, then Blair,
    then Sarkozy on the back! That must mean that he is a democrat!

    He is a maestro of the geopolitical casino. He negotiates everything
    at the same time: oil prices, Iran, the nuclear program, human rights
    in Russia. He knows how to manipulate.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] For the sake of what is Putin doing this?

    [Kasparov] He has no ideology, which makes him more difficult to pin
    down. We know who Pinochet was, who Castro was. But Putin is a ghost!

    He can be a liberal, a nationalist, a leftist. That does not matter
    to him. He is an oligarch, a super-oligarch.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Does he express the Russian imperial spirit?

    [Kasparov] Nonsense! For him, Russia's territory is another commodity
    to trade in. He gave land to China in order to facilitate economic
    cooperation; he gave Norway a piece of the sea the size of Austria,
    because Gazprom needed technology from Statoil. Putin believes
    that power and money are inseparable. That is no wonder, if a former
    German chancellor (Gerhard Schroeder signed the agreement to build the
    Nord Stream pipeline with Russia, for which an exchange he received
    a position on the supervisory board of the consortium building the
    pipeline -- editor's note) and a former Finnish prime minister (Paavo
    Lipponen, a consultant for a Gazprom subsidiary -- editor's note)
    are working for him at Gazprom.

    Putin's strength is the bureaucrats' conviction that they have to play
    his game. That is the way things are in the mafia. If you are loyal,
    you can murder and steal with impunity; you will only be punished
    for disloyalty. Here the case of Magnitsky is symptomatic.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Sergey Magnitsky, a lawyer for the Moscow division of
    the Hermitage Capital fund, died in 2009 after nearly a year in prison.

    [Kasparov] He was put in jail after he disclosed fraud by employees
    of the tax services and the Interior Ministry.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] The US Senate was working on a "Magnitsky law." The
    idea was to refuse visas to and to confiscate the US assets of the
    Russian officials complicit in the lawyer's death, or any sort of
    corruption. In the end, it was not enacted.

    [Kasparov] The people who were doing the stealing there were just
    lieutenants, tax police officials. Pawns. Why did Putin protect them
    so much, allowing them to kill Magnitsky? The answer is: in the mafia,
    there are no pawns. The capo di tutti capi has to protect everyone.

    Otherwise the system will become unstable. Putin fought fiercely to
    block the "Magnitsky law." He threatened to retaliate against the
    United States. He sensed a lethal danger, because the oligarchy holds
    its fortunes broad. Mafia activity came into conflict with their
    interests, and a rift occurred. Because the regime's problem is of
    a twofold nature. Putin wants to rule like Stalin, but to live like
    a Abramovich.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Putin's regime will collapse from inside?

    [Kasparov] Yes, when a majority of this mafia ceases to believe
    that he serves their interests. But remember, Putin has his finger
    on the nuclear button! History has never yet known such a madman in
    possession of nuclear weapons. Even the Soviet leaders understood
    that there are certain limits.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] If the regime will collapse on its own, what role
    do you see for your coalition?

    [Kasparov] We need to help it. Putin is maintaining fear on the
    surface. Many Russians have it encoded in their genes that any change
    is always for the worse. The government we have may not be very good,
    but a different one would be just as bad or even worse!

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] What role do you see for yourself? A leader? An
    advisor?

    [Kasparov] I know how to reconcile differences, to facilitate
    agreement. I am a Russian by language and culture, and Armenian by
    my mother, a Jew by my father...

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You were born with the surname Weinstein. At the
    age of 12, you adopted your mother's name Gasparyan, in a Russified
    version.

    [Kasparov] For my political partners I am above all a world champion
    who defended the honor of the c ountry. I could therefore live a
    comfortable life, but I am staying here, in Russia, and fighting.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You come off well in interviews and on talk shows.

    But is your voice being heard in Russia?

    [Kasparov] I would like to add Russian television to our portfolio.

    The last time I was on was seven years ago, but I am still waiting
    for an invitation (laughs). Fortunately, the Internet is developing
    quickly. In Moscow, the net is already more important than TV. And
    revolutions generally play out in the capital city. If there are
    100,000 people at a rally and 10 people up on stage, we can ask: why
    them? That guy is there, that other guy is not -- why? The Internet
    facilitates an exchange between the "crowd" and the "stage." Our
    coalition's website already has 34,000 individuals, and there will
    be 100,000 and more. You register, provide your name and information
    about yourself, and you become a member of a free Russia. You can
    vote, comment on the debate about our 200 candidates in the 2013
    regional elections. Putin does everything in secrecy. We want to be
    so transparent it hurts.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] We saw a video from the One Russia youth group
    rally. A young man was holding a pig wrapped in a US flag. The pig
    was squealing, and the young man was crying that Kasparov's homeland
    was America, not Russia.

    [Kasparov] I won 8 gold medals, four for the USSR, four for Russia. No
    one has such successes. I have not left my country. I do not hold
    a foreign passport or green card (giving one the right to reside in
    the United States -- editor's note). Why do I travel abroad so much?

    Because in Russia I have not earned a penny for five years. I earn
    my money abroad, playing demonstration matches, giving lectures,
    advising companies.

    I married three times, and I have three children. My first wife left
    ages ago; my daughter is now 19 and lives in the United States. My
    son was born and lives in Moscow. I decided that my third wife would
    give birth in the United States. My little daughter is six years old,
    and they are in New York. I cannot afford security for every member
    of my family.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] How threatened do you feel?

    [Kasparov] For us and Russia, the story of Anna Politkovskaya (human
    rights defender and journalist murdered in 2006 -- editor's note) is
    not just a story about a hero. Her death reminds us of what kind of
    country we live in. The name Kasparov does not give me full protection,
    but if I am meant to be a moral leader for the opposition, I have to
    take the risk. I try to minimize it: I have bodyguards, I do not fly
    Aeroflot, I do not eat in places I do not trust.

    But it is not me who takes money away from Russia and deposits it in
    foreign banks, or buys villas in France. I earn money there, and pay
    taxes in Russia. The reverse of what they do.

    Do you want to talk about foreign citizens? Take a look at Gennady
    Timchenko (a billionaire, once in the KGB, called "Putin's cashier"
    -- editor's note). He controls 40% of oil exports. He has Finnish
    citizenship, and pays taxes in Switzerland.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You are constantly attacking Putin. But perhaps
    people would like to hear something more? For instance, about your
    vision for Russia?

    [Kasparov] Read my series of articles on "Russia after Putin." But
    it is naive to think that anything can be changed as long as he is
    in power. The match against Putin is under way. Two were three more
    years, and things will erupt.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] For years, we have been hearing you talk about two
    or three more years.

    [Kasparov] Never before have we had 100,000 people on the streets.

    History is on my side. The first decade of the 21st century belonged to
    dictators. Al-Qaddafi strengthened his power, Chavez gained strength,
    Bashar al-Assad replaced his father, and Mubarak was preparing the
    throne for his son. Some of them have already collapsed, others are
    losing strength.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] For years you have tried to organize protests, then
    suddenly a wave of rebellion came to Russia, following the Occupy
    movements, following the Arab Spring...

    [Kasparov] I would not compare them to one another.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Here and there, people are getting organized
    "horizontally," outside of party structures, brought together by the
    Internet. You talk about the winter revolution as being your own. Is
    that justified?

    [Kasparov] Am I saying that I am the leader of the revolution? That
    would be absurd. But I do not agree that we did nothing, that
    everything happened just like that. We did as much as we could in
    the given situation.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] In March 2007, several thousand people came out on
    the streets of St. Petersburg. You gave a speech: "This is our first
    victory. I congratulate you on having overcome fear."

    [Kasparov] Sentiments had already risen, but Putin brought Medvedev
    into the game, turning the presidency over to him (2008-2012 --
    editor's note). He created the illusion of change. From the beginning
    I was saying that Medvedev was a puppet, that the mass of Russians
    had allowed themselves to be duped. For three and a half years, the
    Americans tried to incite Medvedev against Putin. Sentiments abated
    all the way to 24 September 2011.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] When Medvedev proposed that Putin should run for
    president in 2012.

    [Kasparov] Russians told themselves: "Putin is returning to the
    throne for the rest of our lives?! That was not the deal." Putin was
    meant to stabilize the country, ensure a better standard of living,
    and then step down. But now he is supposed to rule for six years? And
    then another six?

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] How many respondents would back Putin nowadays in
    an honest opinion poll?

    [Kasparov] What does that mean, honest?

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Unrigged.

    [Kasparov] No, no, no. Honest means that you have an opportunity to
    present various opinions on television.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] People have what they have in their minds.

    [Kasparov] But that is not honest! After 12 years of propaganda....

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] If they spoke without fear...

    [Kasparov] That is a mistaken assumption. Because people are afraid.

    They would cease to be afraid if they saw that they were allowed to
    express different views. Putin would not survive two weeks of open
    debate on television. We would show the list of billionaires and their
    relations with the regime. Even now, Putin's official result in the
    2012 election in Moscow was just 47% (compared to 64% throughout the
    country -- editor's note). I was at the polling stations, and I know
    that in fact the result was 10 points worse.

    >>From the manipulated elections in December 2011 until the end
    of September, we held eight large rallies, with even as many as
    60,000-70,000 people. People want change. The inciting factor could
    be anything: economic collapse, some sort of catastrophe. The question
    today is not WHO, but WHAT will replace Putin. If we provide a response
    to that, half a million people will come out onto the streets in
    Moscow alone.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You really do have the temperament of a chess
    player...

    [Kasparov] ...my opponents complained that I had too much energy
    (laughs).

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] We saw the film of your arrest after commenting on
    the verdict against Pussy Riot, the punk-rock feminists.

    [Kasparov] That was not AFTER the interview, but DURING it. The
    Radio Freedom correspondent said in court: they took him from under
    my microphone.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You were trying to break free, like a bear shaking
    off dogs.

    [Kasparov] I have already been arrested during demonstrations. I
    understand that. When I go chanting "Down with Putin!" they might
    harass me, even though we are protesting peacefully. But on that
    September morning I ha d just come back from vacation in Croatia. I
    went to the Pussy Riot trial, just as I had attended the Khodorkovsky
    hearings. I walked out of the court, and a journalist asked me a
    question. My wife says I was fortunate. They only hurt my arm. On
    the film you cannot see how I was beaten in the bus for detainees.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] You broke free of them, jumped up, they again
    took you.

    [Kasparov] That was my right. Even Putin's court ruled that I had
    been arrested illegally.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] What do you think about Pussy Riot?

    [Kasparov] That verdict was scandalous! They can be called the first
    political prisoners. Of course Khodorkovsky is political, Lebedev was
    political, but they had other charges leveled against them, the regime
    masks its behavior. But these girls were put in jail for having sang:
    "Oh Mother of God, chase Putin away." A medieval witch trial!

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] According to official opinion polls, one-quarter
    of Russians are appalled.

    [Kasparov] Television manipulates things, but people can sense that
    something is not right. Two years of labor camp? For what? What if
    they had danced naked but asked God to protect Putin? Would anyone
    have taken them to court then?

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] What you proposing for Russia is a liberal democracy
    and joining the EU. But here the EU is in crisis, capitalism is in
    crisis. You are urging your country to try to catch up to a train,
    but that train has just jumped its tracks.

    [Kasparov] It is not democracy and capitalism that are experiencing
    a crisis. The West is experiencing a crisis because it abandoned the
    values of the free market and liberal democracy. Adam Smith is turning
    in his grave. The original concept of credit, for instance, presumes
    that you take money in order to generate new value, not to be able
    to consume more. Printing money will also not help anything. Instead
    of space engineers, we have financial engineers. Societies no longer
    like risk; we are lazy. Where are our inventions, innovations? The
    Boeing 747 and Concorde were introduced back in 1969. Since that time
    we have moved backward, because the Concorde is no longer flying. For
    135 years now we have been living in the combustion-engine era.

    America and Europe are not faring very well, but they are still doing
    better than anyone else. Progress in China is merely imitative. I
    believe that the world needs to enter a new era, including Russia. I
    will soon turn 50, but I believe that we are a step away from a
    new adventure.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Nebozhytel is the word used in Russia for people
    whom everyone admires and dotes on. They live seemingly in the sky.

    [Kasparov] I am walking solidly on the ground. I fly in airplanes a
    lot, but somehow I still always want to come back down to earth.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] Do you have a difficult life?

    [Kasparov] One full of challenges.

    [Gazeta Wyborcza] In other words you are not a nebozhytel?

    [Kasparov] I have views. And I am not timid. I defend what I believe
    in. That is why not everyone is fond of me. When we finish with Putin,
    I will move on to something else. Something more complicated.

    [Translated from Polish]


    From: Baghdasarian
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