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SARGSYAN TROUBLE FOR TURKEY
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27861.html
Published: 14:51:06 - 26/10/2012
Serzh Sargsyan has congratulated the Turkish president for the
Republic Day. This congratulation appears interesting for two
circumstances. First, Serzh Sargsyan is visiting different military
units for the past two days, and on October 25 when the congratulation
was circulated he attended the opening of a new air defense military
unit in the south of Armenia.
The other circumstance that makes the first circumstance more
interesting is Serzh Sargsyan congratulated four days earlier. The
Turkish Republic Day is celebrated on October 29 while Serzh Sargsyan
congratulated on October 25.
Everyone wonders why Serzh Sargsyan hurried, as well as why he
congratulated. As some Armenian social network users rightly mentioned,
the Turkish Republic was established on the blood of our compatriots
so it is a little strange that the president of Armenia congratulated
Turkey four days early.
Besides, the Armenian and Turkish normalization seems to have been
frozen and the diplomatic and political conjuncture does not require
hasty congratulations.
But it is possible that the Armenian-Turkish normalization does
not matter.
Recently the Russian and Turkish relations have been tense. The press
reported the content of a telephone conversation between the Turkish
prime minister and the Russian president. The sides were tough on
Syria and threatened each other. Putin cancelled his visit to Turkey,
Turkey forced the Russian plane flying to Syria to land and seized
the military equipment it shipped.
Serzh Sargsyan's early congratulation seems relevant to this context.
The impression is that Sargsyan hurried to congratulate Gul while
there is tension in the Russian-Turkish front.
Whenever the Russian and Turkish relations were tense, Armenia was
used as small change by Russia to deal with Turks. Under the current
Russian-Turkish tension Russia could use Armenian interests as change
in dealing with Turkey.
At the same time, Russia could use Armenia pushing Yerevan to take
steps against Ankara. With his early congratulation Serzh Sargsyan may
be trying to convey to Moscow that it is unlikely to become Moscow's
tool or small change. Perhaps Sargsyan hurried to congratulate before
Moscow would make claims to Yerevan or use Yerevan to mitigate tension
with Ankara.
Although it is possible that his hastiness has a symbolic or even
mystical reason. There is a superstition that congratulating someone's
birthday early is a sign of trouble. It may be the reason of Sargsyan's
early congratulation.
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27861.html
Published: 14:51:06 - 26/10/2012
Serzh Sargsyan has congratulated the Turkish president for the
Republic Day. This congratulation appears interesting for two
circumstances. First, Serzh Sargsyan is visiting different military
units for the past two days, and on October 25 when the congratulation
was circulated he attended the opening of a new air defense military
unit in the south of Armenia.
The other circumstance that makes the first circumstance more
interesting is Serzh Sargsyan congratulated four days earlier. The
Turkish Republic Day is celebrated on October 29 while Serzh Sargsyan
congratulated on October 25.
Everyone wonders why Serzh Sargsyan hurried, as well as why he
congratulated. As some Armenian social network users rightly mentioned,
the Turkish Republic was established on the blood of our compatriots
so it is a little strange that the president of Armenia congratulated
Turkey four days early.
Besides, the Armenian and Turkish normalization seems to have been
frozen and the diplomatic and political conjuncture does not require
hasty congratulations.
But it is possible that the Armenian-Turkish normalization does
not matter.
Recently the Russian and Turkish relations have been tense. The press
reported the content of a telephone conversation between the Turkish
prime minister and the Russian president. The sides were tough on
Syria and threatened each other. Putin cancelled his visit to Turkey,
Turkey forced the Russian plane flying to Syria to land and seized
the military equipment it shipped.
Serzh Sargsyan's early congratulation seems relevant to this context.
The impression is that Sargsyan hurried to congratulate Gul while
there is tension in the Russian-Turkish front.
Whenever the Russian and Turkish relations were tense, Armenia was
used as small change by Russia to deal with Turks. Under the current
Russian-Turkish tension Russia could use Armenian interests as change
in dealing with Turkey.
At the same time, Russia could use Armenia pushing Yerevan to take
steps against Ankara. With his early congratulation Serzh Sargsyan may
be trying to convey to Moscow that it is unlikely to become Moscow's
tool or small change. Perhaps Sargsyan hurried to congratulate before
Moscow would make claims to Yerevan or use Yerevan to mitigate tension
with Ankara.
Although it is possible that his hastiness has a symbolic or even
mystical reason. There is a superstition that congratulating someone's
birthday early is a sign of trouble. It may be the reason of Sargsyan's
early congratulation.