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Putin-Erdogan Relations
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27867.html
Published: 20:42:41 - 26/10/2012
Recently, especially since the period 1999-2003, new views and
approaches to Turkey's role and importance have occurred, and despite
the dynamics and development of domestic affairs in this county these
views and perceptions have not changed since 2006. These conclusions
based on long and detailed observations are already explicable because
only a few countries influence the opinions and evaluations on Turkey,
as well as hardly about a dozen think tanks and capitals of great
powers.
Despite such complicated policy as the Turkish policy the world flows
of analytical information have succeeded in precise definition of the
real state of affairs and perspectives of elaboration of the Turkish
policy in the main geopolitical aspects. Nevertheless, it should be
noted that some mistakes have been made, namely economic ones, and
evaluations have been too optimistic while Turkey is facing an
economic crisis, something like a `bank credit surplus'.
Some shortcomings and mistakes were made in home policies when
Kemalism was buried earlier than needed or more exactly the third
public and political `track' was not differentiated. It should be
noted that despite the large scope of studies and analysis on the
Turkish issue either specialists who depend on the needs of the
government of these countries or study programs funded by the Turkish
government or Turkish funds deal with them.
Ostensibly, civil research centers did not play a major role in the
analysis of the Turkish policy. Most probably, this task was handled
by groups which were closely related to government bodies or special
analyst groups.
Proceeding from what has been said, one can offer a standard
definition of Turkish-Russian relations which is spread not only in
the capitals of the West and the Middle East but also in Moscow.
Turkey and Russia want economic cooperation considering deteriorating
cooperation between Turkey and the Euro-Atlantic community but beware
closer relations and their relations can be called strategic with some
reservation only because deep controversies and problems persist
regarding regional policy and none of the sides is ready for
compromise regarding the regions.
This is a wide definition allowing for different variations but one
circumstance is missed. Putin and Erdogan who are quite similar in
their style and political destiny share a lot of ideas and are
interested in cooperation.
However, it has become known that a telephone conversation which is
far from diplomatic style took place, and most probably it really took
place. This is easy to explain because Russia cannot be indifferent to
a lot of conflicts and crises involving Turkey. Syria is a test of
relations in the region and in the world, it is a test for the
Russian-Turkish relations.
Turkey and Russia have been reduced to such a level of confrontation
which does not leave doubts that Turkey's position cannot be
considered as independent as it used to be before the Syrian crisis.
By the way, the Iranian issue is increasingly included in the
Turkish-Russian relations with a number of scenarios relating to the
interests of Arabs, Iranians and Kurds.
Strangely, the similarity of interests of Russia and the West (the
United States and France) is scrutinized in terms of the Syrian or
rather the Syrian-Turkish problem since Russia, like NATO, is
categorically against radical attempts of Turkey in regard to Syria.
Even though it now looks exotic, in the nearest future Russia will be
incorporated in the U.S. strategy of restricting Turkish regional
expansion. It is true that this problem does not have a global meaning
for the United States but it has key importance for the regional
policy of Turkey's restriction.
Modern international politics differs by the ease of existence or
readiness for instant corrections into relations and contacts but this
does not mean that states may change their interests and regional
positions quickly enough. Russia and Turkey have a lot of mutual
interests so they will prefer to continue to make experiments and try
to set up new relations. At the same time, the important border has
been crossed, the real framework of possible relations, including of
what is usually referred to as strategic relations has been outlined.
Putin-Erdogan relations are something very small and meaningless, it
is necessary to consider Russia-Turkey relations.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27867.html
Published: 20:42:41 - 26/10/2012
Recently, especially since the period 1999-2003, new views and
approaches to Turkey's role and importance have occurred, and despite
the dynamics and development of domestic affairs in this county these
views and perceptions have not changed since 2006. These conclusions
based on long and detailed observations are already explicable because
only a few countries influence the opinions and evaluations on Turkey,
as well as hardly about a dozen think tanks and capitals of great
powers.
Despite such complicated policy as the Turkish policy the world flows
of analytical information have succeeded in precise definition of the
real state of affairs and perspectives of elaboration of the Turkish
policy in the main geopolitical aspects. Nevertheless, it should be
noted that some mistakes have been made, namely economic ones, and
evaluations have been too optimistic while Turkey is facing an
economic crisis, something like a `bank credit surplus'.
Some shortcomings and mistakes were made in home policies when
Kemalism was buried earlier than needed or more exactly the third
public and political `track' was not differentiated. It should be
noted that despite the large scope of studies and analysis on the
Turkish issue either specialists who depend on the needs of the
government of these countries or study programs funded by the Turkish
government or Turkish funds deal with them.
Ostensibly, civil research centers did not play a major role in the
analysis of the Turkish policy. Most probably, this task was handled
by groups which were closely related to government bodies or special
analyst groups.
Proceeding from what has been said, one can offer a standard
definition of Turkish-Russian relations which is spread not only in
the capitals of the West and the Middle East but also in Moscow.
Turkey and Russia want economic cooperation considering deteriorating
cooperation between Turkey and the Euro-Atlantic community but beware
closer relations and their relations can be called strategic with some
reservation only because deep controversies and problems persist
regarding regional policy and none of the sides is ready for
compromise regarding the regions.
This is a wide definition allowing for different variations but one
circumstance is missed. Putin and Erdogan who are quite similar in
their style and political destiny share a lot of ideas and are
interested in cooperation.
However, it has become known that a telephone conversation which is
far from diplomatic style took place, and most probably it really took
place. This is easy to explain because Russia cannot be indifferent to
a lot of conflicts and crises involving Turkey. Syria is a test of
relations in the region and in the world, it is a test for the
Russian-Turkish relations.
Turkey and Russia have been reduced to such a level of confrontation
which does not leave doubts that Turkey's position cannot be
considered as independent as it used to be before the Syrian crisis.
By the way, the Iranian issue is increasingly included in the
Turkish-Russian relations with a number of scenarios relating to the
interests of Arabs, Iranians and Kurds.
Strangely, the similarity of interests of Russia and the West (the
United States and France) is scrutinized in terms of the Syrian or
rather the Syrian-Turkish problem since Russia, like NATO, is
categorically against radical attempts of Turkey in regard to Syria.
Even though it now looks exotic, in the nearest future Russia will be
incorporated in the U.S. strategy of restricting Turkish regional
expansion. It is true that this problem does not have a global meaning
for the United States but it has key importance for the regional
policy of Turkey's restriction.
Modern international politics differs by the ease of existence or
readiness for instant corrections into relations and contacts but this
does not mean that states may change their interests and regional
positions quickly enough. Russia and Turkey have a lot of mutual
interests so they will prefer to continue to make experiments and try
to set up new relations. At the same time, the important border has
been crossed, the real framework of possible relations, including of
what is usually referred to as strategic relations has been outlined.
Putin-Erdogan relations are something very small and meaningless, it
is necessary to consider Russia-Turkey relations.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress