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  • Is War Raisin In Election?

    IS WAR RAISIN IN ELECTION?
    Hakob Badalyan

    http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/27880
    Comments - Monday, 29 October 2012, 14:22

    Serzh Sargsyan made a noteworthy statement during his meeting with
    young artists. He said that a lot of spheres of life in Armenia need
    funding but Armenia needs to have an army and money to sustain it.

    Sargsyan stated that when the situation becomes tense, everyone starts
    thinking about security, and when the situation is not so tense,
    everyone focuses on daily issues. Sargsyan thinks it is normal and
    stresses that in case the situation becomes tense, everyone will
    think only for security, not their salary.

    This is noteworthy especially on the eve of the presidential elections
    and also taking into account the issues Armenia is facing presently.

    Prior to the presidential elections, Armenia is facing severe social
    issues and economic situation. It is obvious that Serzh Sargsyan is
    more vulnerable than his rivals in regard to these issues.

    If his rivals stress the social and economic situation, Sargsyan may
    face serious difficulties despite the populist social undertakings
    of the government.

    Actually, at the meeting with the young people Serzh Sargsyan hints
    the "alternative" to the social sphere is security when everyone will
    forget about salaries.

    Security is Serzh Sargsyan's only "credo" which may ensure favorable
    conditions for him pushing the social and economic agenda to the
    background. The important thing is that the issue of security should
    be under his control otherwise Serzh Sargsyan may become the "victim"
    of agenda manipulations.

    No doubt few efforts are needed to make the situation tense in
    Armenia. A small incident at the border may bring this issue forth to
    feature the elections. Most probably, this will be Serzh Sargsyan's
    "election tool" if other tactical tricks turn out useless to ensure
    control over the situation.

    Here Serzh Sargsyan will need foreign support. The mediators to
    the Karabakh issue should perhaps assume the role of "guarantors"
    of the situation because without them Serzh Sargsyan will be unable
    to control the developments, and his election trick may grow into a
    major provocation.

    Judging by the fact that the international community has never been
    against the use of the Karabakh issue in home affairs by the Armenian
    authorities, presumably it will not disagree with such a scenario this
    time either, especially if the issue is to repress possible chaotic
    developments in Armenia which are possible because the field of Serzh
    Sargsyan's rivals is uncertain and the actors in this sphere have as
    many problems with each other as each of them has with Serzh Sargsyan.

    The probability of chaotic developments is high because the society's
    role is minimal and it has almost no influence on political processes
    and actors.

    In this case, the role of the society is important not only in
    terms of its influence. The issue is that the Armenian society needs
    defined approaches to the home political factors, formulas, which
    would be the basis for the use of the "security" topic, to help the
    society avoid manipulations and not render the important element of
    security an obstacle for the public and state development and one of
    the reliable sources of continuous reproduction of the system.

    Apparently, this issue has been urgent in Armenia for a long time and
    it should be one of the key points of the public-political discussions
    to bring the society to basic equal ground.


    From: Baghdasarian
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