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  • Armenia's Hands Freed

    Armenia's Hands Freed


    HAKOB BADALYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments27268.html

    Published: 16:01:55 - 01/09/2012

    A geopolitical framework is outlining around Ramil Safarov's
    extradition. This story could not be without such a shade because no
    matter how willing Hungary was to agree with Azerbaijan out of
    economic interests or cash, they must know the geopolitical importance
    of this issue in the context of Karabakh and geopolitical interests in
    the South Caucasus.

    The Hungarian authorities would hardly extradite Safarov without
    silent support of one of the OSCE Minsk Group countries and a
    guarantee that Hungary would not be targeted by the great powers.
    Interestingly, the Azerbaijani media reported the great contribution
    of Putin's classmate, Russia-based Azerbaijani millionaire Ilham
    Raghimov.

    It is not a secret that Raghimov is Putin's business partner, like all
    the other millionaires and billionaires who have not been exiled or
    arrested. So, he is related to Putin not only in the past but also in
    the present.

    Another interesting fact was observed on the official website of the
    Russian Vesti news channel. The information on Armenia's decision to
    suspend diplomatic relations with Hungary was posted on the website
    with outrageous misinformation. It stated that Armenia suspends
    diplomatic relations because Hungary refused to extradite Safarov to
    Armenia.

    Vesti kept this news for several hours running. Was it the mistake of
    the reporter or editor or translator or was it a implicit provocation?
    Is it possible that Raghimov's name was not a retrospective necessity
    for Azerbaijan in this story to evoke the name of the Russian
    president, certainly not without his awareness?

    Perhaps, it was not accidental that Safarov's extradition was followed
    by opinions that it may spoil the relations between the West and
    Armenia which have been especially close recently.

    In this context, some statements from the remarks of Serzh Sargsyan
    during his meeting with the envoys of UN member states and
    international organizations were remarkable: `This has happened
    because the Government of Hungary, a member State of the European
    Union and NATO, has made a deal with the authorities of Azerbaijan.'
    And then: `Immediately after this crime had been perpetrated the
    Hungarian authorities as well as our partners - EU and NATO member
    States, were continually urging us to refrain from politicizing that
    process. We were continually urged to trust the judiciary of Hungary,
    a member State to those important alliances.'

    Serzh Sargsyan's transparent remarks and statements show that Armenia
    is aware of the motive or context of the developments and is trying to
    open the cards and ask the questions directly: `We expect a precise
    and unambiguous response by all our partners with regard to this
    incident. Anyone who tolerates this will tomorrow be held responsible
    to history. Half-measures and circumlocution are not acceptable. We
    will judge the attitude of our partners towards the security of the
    Armenian nation by their response to this incident.'

    Apparently, Serzh Sargsyan anticipates support of the West, practical
    support, specific support, otherwise he will review the expediency of
    his policy of rapprochement with the West because this policy boosts
    Sargsyan's internal and external political risks.

    First echoed the United States. Their NSS spokesman used tough wording
    to express the disappointment and indignation with the decision on
    Safarov.

    The EU and NATO are silent, so are the Minsk Group co-chairs France
    and Russia. In early September Anders Fogh Rasmussen, NATO Secretary
    General, arrives in Armenia as part of his regional visit. No doubt he
    will respond to Safarov's issue and Serzh Sargsyan's message during
    his regional visit if silence continues till his visit.

    NATO's circumstance is important because the Azerbaijani criminal
    killed the Armenian officer during a NATO event. At least NATO's moral
    responsibility comes forth. NATO should think about the fulfillment of
    its responsibility. Otherwise, it will be perceived as irresponsible
    in building relations with Armenia, in public consciousness.

    It does not mean that the West must take Safarov back to Hungary. What
    matters is statements of what level, nature and content will be heard
    from the West. As to actions, whatever is to be done will be done by
    Armenia.

    Armenia is given freedom to act on the international political arena.
    For example, the response of the United States unties Armenia's hands
    not limiting its actions with cautiousness or whatever.

    How Armenia will handle its freedom and build on it depends on some
    objective and subjective factors.

    However, the president of Armenia has made serious statements and
    announced that half-measures and circumlocutions are unacceptable.
    There seems to be no space to retreat not only due to his words but
    also the situation and the atmosphere it created.

    There was a clear offensive on the Republic of Armenia, both political
    and moral. `Half-measures and circumlocutions' may quickly transform
    this offensive to a physical offensive. This is the issue.

    The Armenian authorities were careless, unviable, inadequate to
    prevent Safarov's extradition. Now Armenia should not be retroactively
    adequate, careful and viable. It needs to be proactive to prevent the
    transformation of the political and moral offensive marked by Safarov
    into a physical offensive or to prepare to face it.

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