Tweet
NOT SURE WHO DECEIVED WHOM
Arman Galoyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27345.html
Published: 13:15:32 - 10/09/2012
Interview with Ambassador Arman Navasardyan, former vice-minister of
foreign affairs of Armenia
Mr. Navasardyan, the most discussed issue today is Ramil Safarov's
extradition and the scandal it caused. The authorities criticize
Hungary and Azerbaijan. Diplomatic relations with Hungary have been
suspended. What do you think about Armenia's share of guilt? Could
the authorities prevent these events?
It is very easy to criticize the MFA after the diplomatic collapse.
When there are too many mistakes and few results, you start being
skeptical about that service. Most likely, it was possible to prevent
it if our diplomacy was not passive but active and attacking. We need
such diplomacy in this phase.
Foreign Minister Nalbandyan says they had learned about the decision
but the government of Hungary assured them in a letter that nothing
similar was planned. What is the reason that Armenia has been deceived?
If the Hungarian side had long negotiated with Azerbaijan, to say
nothing about malicious interest which is not ruled out, then Armenia
had to have conducted a preventive diplomacy. But I would avoid
accusing Budapest of deception, especially because it didn't break
the international law. It is still to be found out whether Budapest
deceived Yerevan or Baku deceived Budapest.
There is an opinion that Ramil Safarov's extradition was an invitation
to war. Is the resumption of hostilities possible?
That was surely an obscene and provocative step by Aliyev. I don't
think it is an invitation to war and I don't think it will lead to
resumption of hostilities. Most probably, Aliyev is pursuing election
goals making an image of strong fight against the enemy (Armenians).
Deeper scenarios are not ruled out. Safarov's case was a test to check
the reaction of Armenia and international organizations. I don't rule
out a bigger provocation by Aliyev and the forces behind him. All of
us, our army, the diplomatic and special services need to be alert
and mobilized.
What will the impact of the Syrian issue on other regional issues,
especially the NKR issue be?
I don't think Safarov's story may be a turning point in the Karabakh
issue. But no doubt it needs to be manipulated in all directions. The
only stress here should be the fact that "Azerbaijan is unable to
ensure the physical security of the Karabakh people.
Consequently, it needs to be an independent subject of the
international law". This is a good diplomatic card which should
be used.
As to the Syrian issue, it may influence on the whole regional policy,
including the Karabakh issue, depending on the dynamics of development
of the events.
Is the solution of the Syrian issue close?
I think it even keeps going further. A religious war between the
Shiites and Sunnites is underway in the region. Super powers draw
their geopolitical plans in the blood of people. If Assad falls,
a new reality of Sunnites and "Muslim brothers" may be created in
the region which will be connected with Turkey, Egypt, Gaza, Syria
and Jordan. This may be a deadly threat to people of other religions,
first of all, Christians.
Can we presume that the super powers will engage in the solution of
the Karabakh issue after the solution of the Syrian issue?
We can presume that the new wave will arrive in the South Caucasus
and will involve Iran.
World powers seem to be interested in the settlement of the NKR
issue. Is their interest real?
The world powers are interested in regional stability. But on the
other hand they are not interested in establishing peace. For the
time being they will keep using the NKR issue as a negotiation coin.
Is the policy of Armenia towards the Armenian Syrian right?
This policy depends on the home situation. The government cannot do
anything else, even if it wanted. How can it organize immigration if
emigration is at highest rates in the country? In case of a force
majeure situation in Syria and danger of the lives of Armenians,
Armenia could organize the transit transportation of Armenians to
Armenia and other countries.
From: Baghdasarian
Arman Galoyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27345.html
Published: 13:15:32 - 10/09/2012
Interview with Ambassador Arman Navasardyan, former vice-minister of
foreign affairs of Armenia
Mr. Navasardyan, the most discussed issue today is Ramil Safarov's
extradition and the scandal it caused. The authorities criticize
Hungary and Azerbaijan. Diplomatic relations with Hungary have been
suspended. What do you think about Armenia's share of guilt? Could
the authorities prevent these events?
It is very easy to criticize the MFA after the diplomatic collapse.
When there are too many mistakes and few results, you start being
skeptical about that service. Most likely, it was possible to prevent
it if our diplomacy was not passive but active and attacking. We need
such diplomacy in this phase.
Foreign Minister Nalbandyan says they had learned about the decision
but the government of Hungary assured them in a letter that nothing
similar was planned. What is the reason that Armenia has been deceived?
If the Hungarian side had long negotiated with Azerbaijan, to say
nothing about malicious interest which is not ruled out, then Armenia
had to have conducted a preventive diplomacy. But I would avoid
accusing Budapest of deception, especially because it didn't break
the international law. It is still to be found out whether Budapest
deceived Yerevan or Baku deceived Budapest.
There is an opinion that Ramil Safarov's extradition was an invitation
to war. Is the resumption of hostilities possible?
That was surely an obscene and provocative step by Aliyev. I don't
think it is an invitation to war and I don't think it will lead to
resumption of hostilities. Most probably, Aliyev is pursuing election
goals making an image of strong fight against the enemy (Armenians).
Deeper scenarios are not ruled out. Safarov's case was a test to check
the reaction of Armenia and international organizations. I don't rule
out a bigger provocation by Aliyev and the forces behind him. All of
us, our army, the diplomatic and special services need to be alert
and mobilized.
What will the impact of the Syrian issue on other regional issues,
especially the NKR issue be?
I don't think Safarov's story may be a turning point in the Karabakh
issue. But no doubt it needs to be manipulated in all directions. The
only stress here should be the fact that "Azerbaijan is unable to
ensure the physical security of the Karabakh people.
Consequently, it needs to be an independent subject of the
international law". This is a good diplomatic card which should
be used.
As to the Syrian issue, it may influence on the whole regional policy,
including the Karabakh issue, depending on the dynamics of development
of the events.
Is the solution of the Syrian issue close?
I think it even keeps going further. A religious war between the
Shiites and Sunnites is underway in the region. Super powers draw
their geopolitical plans in the blood of people. If Assad falls,
a new reality of Sunnites and "Muslim brothers" may be created in
the region which will be connected with Turkey, Egypt, Gaza, Syria
and Jordan. This may be a deadly threat to people of other religions,
first of all, Christians.
Can we presume that the super powers will engage in the solution of
the Karabakh issue after the solution of the Syrian issue?
We can presume that the new wave will arrive in the South Caucasus
and will involve Iran.
World powers seem to be interested in the settlement of the NKR
issue. Is their interest real?
The world powers are interested in regional stability. But on the
other hand they are not interested in establishing peace. For the
time being they will keep using the NKR issue as a negotiation coin.
Is the policy of Armenia towards the Armenian Syrian right?
This policy depends on the home situation. The government cannot do
anything else, even if it wanted. How can it organize immigration if
emigration is at highest rates in the country? In case of a force
majeure situation in Syria and danger of the lives of Armenians,
Armenia could organize the transit transportation of Armenians to
Armenia and other countries.
From: Baghdasarian