Tweet
EU MUST ACT TO AVERT ANOTHER CAUCASUS CONFLICT
EurActiv
Sept 13 2012
Michael Kambeck argues that Azerbaijan should face EU sanctions over
its decision to pardon a soldier convicted of killing an Armenian
counterpart during a NATO-sponsored training exercise.
Michael Kambeck is secretary-general of European Friends of Armenia.
"In an unprecedented manner, European and other international
institutions have declared their solidarity with Armenia and condemned
the latest provocation of Azerbaijan, the pardoning and public
glorification of the convicted murderer Ramil Safarov by President
Ilham Aliyev.
A court in Hungary imposed a lifetime sentence on Safarov, after
he was convicted of using an axe to kill sleeping Armenian officer
Gurgen Margaryan with 16 strikes to the head in 2004 while they were
both on a NATO-sponsored English training exercise in Budapest.
On 31 August, Safarov was extradited to Baku, where the government
already years ago awarded him the honour of a national hero for this
barbaric act.
The crisis now erupted when Aliyev decided to pardon him immediately
upon arrival, to pay him eight years of salary and offer him an
apartment, to promote him to the rank of major and to present him to
a crowd of cheering children as a hero on prime-time TV.
Why are emotions so high in this case and why should the EU care?
First the murder and conviction happened in the EU member state
Hungary, which until the last moment signalled to Armenia that no
extradition was foreseen.
Now relations between Armenia and Hungary are suspended and right in
the middle of concluding a new and very comprehensive EU Association
Agreement, Armenia feels let down by an EU, which seems too weak to
prevent such events from happening.
Secondly, because the valid conviction of an EU member state's court
was circumvented by a third country and de facto weakens the EU's
power to enforce its legal verdicts. Azerbaijan confirmed in writing
to Hungary that Safarov would continue serving his life-time prison
sentence in Azerbaijan.
Hungary published the respective Azerbaijani letters, while
Fuad Alasgarov, a senior advisor in the Azerbaijani presidential
administration, noted in trend.az that "the Hungarian court only
prohibited the sentenced person's release on parole within 30 years
from the date of pronouncement of the judgment. This restriction did
not concern the possibility of pardon or amnesty for the sentenced
person."
As ridiculous as such arguments are, they reveal the nature of the
regime with which the EU is making energy deals and with which Armenia
'negotiates' for a settlement of the precarious Nagorno-Karabakh
conflict.
This conflict is the third reason why Europe should care, because it is
no longer a "frozen conflict", despite the valid Bishkek ceasefire of
1994. Before that, the 85% majority of ethnically Armenian population
of Karabakh took up left-over Soviet arms to stop large-scale ethnic
cleansing and the harshly discriminatory governance exercised by
Azerbaijan in this enclave.
If this conflict, by means of similar crises, re-erupts, Europe would
have to pay the bill in many ways. Crude oil prices would skyrocket,
tracks of refugees would move into Europe and everything built up
in the South Caucasus over the last 20 years, both economically and
politically, would be shattered.
The pardoning of Safarov by Azerbaijan in this provocative style
raised calls among the Armenian opposition to demand a harsh response,
like the recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent republic.
With emotions understandably high, such steps can quickly deliver the
excuse to Aliyev to overreact even more and stop the OSCE-Minsk-Group
mediated negotiations, which he has been trying to replace for several
years now.
The Minsk Group has always resisted to follow Baku's maximalist
demand whereby "first all Armenian-controlled territories must be
given to Azerbaijan".
The co-chairs know that such a step would be practically impossible and
lead first to a security vacuum and then to war. Baku anyway constantly
threatens to resort to war. But the Safarov case now demonstrates that
after years of petro-dollar financed armament and economic growth,
Baku does not feel the need to respect anyone or anything and even
includes an EU member state in its provocation strategy.
To pardon such a brutal murderer and to glorify him publicly is nothing
but a demonstration of disrespect for European values as much as for
the EU and its member state Hungary.
After a long list of condemnations ranging from the UN Secretary
General to the European Parliament and the Council of Europe, now
the real work has to begin.
First, Safarov must appear on the Europol and Interpol lists, so that
he cannot set foot upon any soil outside Azerbaijan, certainly not in
Europe. Secondly, Armenia and Hungary must now work behind the scenes
to re-establish their historically good relations. Both countries
are old Christian countries and gateways between East and West.
Thirdly, the EU must rethink and reform its approach to Azerbaijan,
treating it not less but more critically than Belarus, which is known
to have the same internally repressive regime style, but neither the
militarisation nor the state-promoted xenophobia of Azerbaijan.
We cannot explain to European voters that we implement EU-funded
programmes with the oil-rich and notoriously anti-democratic government
in Baku and conclude large-scale energy deals with them, while we
apply sanctions against Belarus.
And finally, Armenia must now find clever answers, without stepping
into the trap of a counter-provocation, which Aliyev is surely
hoping for.
A new war on Europe's eastern periphery would in no way be comparable
to the Karabakh war of the early 1990s and have dramatic consequences
for the region and for Europe. To avoid this, the state-promoted
xenophobia against neighbouring Armenia and the increasing nationalism
in Azerbaijan must be contained and met with the strongest possible
response by Europe and the international community."
http://www.euractiv.com/global-europe/azerbaijan-speeds-escalation-kar-analysis-514749
From: Baghdasarian
EurActiv
Sept 13 2012
Michael Kambeck argues that Azerbaijan should face EU sanctions over
its decision to pardon a soldier convicted of killing an Armenian
counterpart during a NATO-sponsored training exercise.
Michael Kambeck is secretary-general of European Friends of Armenia.
"In an unprecedented manner, European and other international
institutions have declared their solidarity with Armenia and condemned
the latest provocation of Azerbaijan, the pardoning and public
glorification of the convicted murderer Ramil Safarov by President
Ilham Aliyev.
A court in Hungary imposed a lifetime sentence on Safarov, after
he was convicted of using an axe to kill sleeping Armenian officer
Gurgen Margaryan with 16 strikes to the head in 2004 while they were
both on a NATO-sponsored English training exercise in Budapest.
On 31 August, Safarov was extradited to Baku, where the government
already years ago awarded him the honour of a national hero for this
barbaric act.
The crisis now erupted when Aliyev decided to pardon him immediately
upon arrival, to pay him eight years of salary and offer him an
apartment, to promote him to the rank of major and to present him to
a crowd of cheering children as a hero on prime-time TV.
Why are emotions so high in this case and why should the EU care?
First the murder and conviction happened in the EU member state
Hungary, which until the last moment signalled to Armenia that no
extradition was foreseen.
Now relations between Armenia and Hungary are suspended and right in
the middle of concluding a new and very comprehensive EU Association
Agreement, Armenia feels let down by an EU, which seems too weak to
prevent such events from happening.
Secondly, because the valid conviction of an EU member state's court
was circumvented by a third country and de facto weakens the EU's
power to enforce its legal verdicts. Azerbaijan confirmed in writing
to Hungary that Safarov would continue serving his life-time prison
sentence in Azerbaijan.
Hungary published the respective Azerbaijani letters, while
Fuad Alasgarov, a senior advisor in the Azerbaijani presidential
administration, noted in trend.az that "the Hungarian court only
prohibited the sentenced person's release on parole within 30 years
from the date of pronouncement of the judgment. This restriction did
not concern the possibility of pardon or amnesty for the sentenced
person."
As ridiculous as such arguments are, they reveal the nature of the
regime with which the EU is making energy deals and with which Armenia
'negotiates' for a settlement of the precarious Nagorno-Karabakh
conflict.
This conflict is the third reason why Europe should care, because it is
no longer a "frozen conflict", despite the valid Bishkek ceasefire of
1994. Before that, the 85% majority of ethnically Armenian population
of Karabakh took up left-over Soviet arms to stop large-scale ethnic
cleansing and the harshly discriminatory governance exercised by
Azerbaijan in this enclave.
If this conflict, by means of similar crises, re-erupts, Europe would
have to pay the bill in many ways. Crude oil prices would skyrocket,
tracks of refugees would move into Europe and everything built up
in the South Caucasus over the last 20 years, both economically and
politically, would be shattered.
The pardoning of Safarov by Azerbaijan in this provocative style
raised calls among the Armenian opposition to demand a harsh response,
like the recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent republic.
With emotions understandably high, such steps can quickly deliver the
excuse to Aliyev to overreact even more and stop the OSCE-Minsk-Group
mediated negotiations, which he has been trying to replace for several
years now.
The Minsk Group has always resisted to follow Baku's maximalist
demand whereby "first all Armenian-controlled territories must be
given to Azerbaijan".
The co-chairs know that such a step would be practically impossible and
lead first to a security vacuum and then to war. Baku anyway constantly
threatens to resort to war. But the Safarov case now demonstrates that
after years of petro-dollar financed armament and economic growth,
Baku does not feel the need to respect anyone or anything and even
includes an EU member state in its provocation strategy.
To pardon such a brutal murderer and to glorify him publicly is nothing
but a demonstration of disrespect for European values as much as for
the EU and its member state Hungary.
After a long list of condemnations ranging from the UN Secretary
General to the European Parliament and the Council of Europe, now
the real work has to begin.
First, Safarov must appear on the Europol and Interpol lists, so that
he cannot set foot upon any soil outside Azerbaijan, certainly not in
Europe. Secondly, Armenia and Hungary must now work behind the scenes
to re-establish their historically good relations. Both countries
are old Christian countries and gateways between East and West.
Thirdly, the EU must rethink and reform its approach to Azerbaijan,
treating it not less but more critically than Belarus, which is known
to have the same internally repressive regime style, but neither the
militarisation nor the state-promoted xenophobia of Azerbaijan.
We cannot explain to European voters that we implement EU-funded
programmes with the oil-rich and notoriously anti-democratic government
in Baku and conclude large-scale energy deals with them, while we
apply sanctions against Belarus.
And finally, Armenia must now find clever answers, without stepping
into the trap of a counter-provocation, which Aliyev is surely
hoping for.
A new war on Europe's eastern periphery would in no way be comparable
to the Karabakh war of the early 1990s and have dramatic consequences
for the region and for Europe. To avoid this, the state-promoted
xenophobia against neighbouring Armenia and the increasing nationalism
in Azerbaijan must be contained and met with the strongest possible
response by Europe and the international community."
http://www.euractiv.com/global-europe/azerbaijan-speeds-escalation-kar-analysis-514749
From: Baghdasarian