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Vladimir Zakharov: Although Aliyev is disgustful to Washington, the
alliance between the USA and Azerbaijan will go on developing
ArmInfo's Interview with Vladimir Zakharov, Director of Institute of
Political Studies of Black Sea and Caspian Region
by David Stepanyan
arminfo
Wednesday, September 19, 08:26
Whose interests do you think the murderer Ramil Safarov's case has
taken a new turn for?
Extradition of Safarov, murderer of the Armenian officer, to
Azerbaijan and Baku's actions following it indicate that the
negotiations for peaceful resolution of the Karabakh conflict under
the aegis of the OSCE Minsk Group may be suspended unilaterally. The
operation on extradition of Safarov is a multi-step combination that
had been prepared for a long period of time. The South Caucasus is at
the threshold of global processes, which are impossible to avoid or
evade. Irrespective of our desire, the situation with the Islamic
Republic of Iran and its confrontation with the West is growing tense
day by day. The murder of the Armenian officer raises a lot of
questions in the EU, Russia, Armenia and other countries. In this
light, the anti-Russian statements and 'analyses' on some Armenian
websites look quite symptomatic, for they again blame Russia for
everything. However, those 'analysts' do not criticize NATO, EU and
others for some unknown reasons, though carelessness of those
structures is what leads to such genocidal actions by monsters like
Safarov and their impunity. In Meanwhile, many in Russia have realized
the true role of Azerbaijan and our officials have already made their
statements.
Is Hungary's role in that multi-step combination restricted to
receiving 3 billion dollars or are there any other motives?
The negotiations for Safarov transfer with Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orban, who allegedly trusted in Aliyev's promises to buy
unsecured government bonds of Hungary, were just another fraud of a
cunning dealer. It is interesting that President Putin has also been
implicated in that shameful deal. The Azerbaijani press reported that
businessman Ilham Ragimov, who is a university friend of Vladimir
Putin, was directly involved in the deal of Baku and Budapest. All
this fits into the anti-Putin policy of the West and its hangs- by in
the post-Soviet area. It is very much necessary for them to see Putin
as a bargaining chip. And they do not care that Hungary proved
disappointed in its expectations, Azerbaijan refused to buy Hungarian
bonds, and Tallish Ilham Ragimov bears no relation to that deal. In
the meanwhile, some forces in Armenia have taken advantage of the
speculations of Azerbaijani websites, and the anti-Russian and
anti-Putin campaign in Armenia has gathered pace, unfortunately. There
are people in the state machine of Armenia who are biased and who
conceal their anti-Russian orientation behind their smiles. Their
names and the analysts they patronize are well known. In this light, a
new allegation against Russia and the Russian president plays into the
hands of the trimmers working for the West. The decision of the
Hungarian authorities is so shameful that fully cancels their
commitment to the European and Christian values they have declared.
But Russia bears no relation to all that. In this light, I can just
welcome President Sargsyan's decision to freeze the diplomatic
relations with Hungary.
Let's speak on the United States' role in these processes...
As regards the USA, although Aliyev is disgustful to Washington, the
alliance between the USA and Azerbaijan will go on developing. Aliyev
has long ago gone under America. Numerous airdromes were given to
America and Israel long ago, where their military contingent and
armament, prepared against Iran, were deployed. As for the extremely
high price for renting of the Gabala radio location station, it was
issued under express indication of Washington. Aliyev's anti-Russian
dog and pony show is not surprising to anybody any more. He
purposefully organized the meeting of the US new Ambassador to
Azerbaijan, Richard Morningstar, and Prime Minister of Turkey,
Edgogan, just in Gabala. Moreover, the USA is already ready to leave
the negotiating process on Karabakh. For this reason, the efforts by
Armenia's Foreign Minister, Edward Nalbandian, who said that
"Safarov's release will not force Armenia leave the negotiating
process" are in vain. Armenia should be a step ahead of the event that
may happen, taking into consideration the rumors that a decision to
liquidate the OSCE Minsk Group may be adopted at the first sitting of
the autumn session of the UN General Assembly. It is very much
possible that its functions will be transferred to NATO or the latter
may become the third co-chair of the Minsk Group or of the structure,
which may appear on its ruins. Numerous supporters of diplomatic talks
on Karabakh may object that Armenia should not recognize Karabakh at
present. But I can ask - would not you be late, gentlemen? The war
against Iran is around the corner.
Why does the USA so much need the war against Iran given the fact that
the USA can no way leave Afghanistan?
The United States will unleash a war against Iran if they fail to keep
the dollar stable. But, such probability is very low. War that will
allow writing off trillions and saving the dollar is meat and drink to
the United States. But it is still a big question whether that war
bring stability to the South Caucasus and Iran. Washington has already
understood that the Minsk Group is no longer effective. Therefore,
Armenia should anticipate the decision on its liquidation and adopt
the right decision. Today Armenia has a direct chance to recognize the
sovereignty of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic. It could sound
paradoxical, but it is necessary to use that chance as soon as
possible. The Government of Armenia must realize that Karabakh should
be recognized as an independent state before the terrible events that
may start at any moment. It will help Karabakh save itself without
interference on the so-called peacemakers, specifically, the U.S.
military contingent that has been already deployed in Azerbaijan and
Georgia and ready to be deployed in Karabakh without any mandates.
Everyone is waiting for announcement of the date of attacking Iran.
Before that Azerbaijan will have to unleash large-scale aggression
against Karabakh. In response to that the USA will immediately deploy
troops in the territory of the NKR without a relevant mandate
explaining that they are short of time and should allegedly establish
peace. Such a scenario is quite possible and fully depends on the
decision of the Armenian Government.
So, is the recognition of the NKR's independence the only way out of
the current situation?
Yerevan should realize that Karabakh is not a part of the Republic of
Armenia, but a sovereign state. If Armenia recognizes the NKR and this
is followed by recognition of other states, the new republic will have
a chance to conclude military agreements and save itself in the
upcoming bloodshed between the West and Iran. I am convinced that
Armenia knows what to do in response to Safarov's release. In my
opinion, on September 2 the President of Armenia should have convened
an extraordinary session of the Parliament to raise only one issue -
the issue on immediate recognition of the NKR. If this had happened
those days, the whole world would have fully understood this decision.
The problem would have been solved by itself. Nobody would have
started to find out whether the recognition was legal or not. In this
context, one should point out the significance of recognition of the
NKR, first and foremost, by Armenia.
May the pardoning and glorification of Safarov become an important
argument if Yerevan decides to take that step?
The monsters like Safarov the Azeri President is so proud of, as well
as his decision on Safarov have demonstrated to the whole world that
all the proposals on peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict will
never be put in practice. Now the whole world understands that if the
residents of Karabakh suddenly find themselves under Azerbaijan's
control, they will face total annihilation, and one should not trust
the world's promises to the people Azerbaijan hates so much.
Consequently, Aliyev's step once again demonstrates that in the peace
process held by the OSCE Minsk Group Karabakh can by no means be
considered a part of Azerbaijan, because it is doubtless that the
residents of Karabakh will be totally annihilated. And all those
killers of the Karabakh residents, who are currently living in
Azerbaijan like pigs in clover, will immediately start a new massacre,
exterminating everyone living in the NKR. Russia should express its
opinion on what is going on as soon as possible both as a member of
the OSCE Minsk Group and as Armenia's ally. It's time to finish the
policy of leveling. Many things still depend on Russia's position and
foreign policy, especially as the matter concerns its security, too,
particularly, in the context of Middle East developments and the
situation around Iran. All this demands the support of Armenia, the
ally of Russia, and ensuring of Russian interests, which coincide with
the Armenian interests in terms of security.
alliance between the USA and Azerbaijan will go on developing
ArmInfo's Interview with Vladimir Zakharov, Director of Institute of
Political Studies of Black Sea and Caspian Region
by David Stepanyan
arminfo
Wednesday, September 19, 08:26
Whose interests do you think the murderer Ramil Safarov's case has
taken a new turn for?
Extradition of Safarov, murderer of the Armenian officer, to
Azerbaijan and Baku's actions following it indicate that the
negotiations for peaceful resolution of the Karabakh conflict under
the aegis of the OSCE Minsk Group may be suspended unilaterally. The
operation on extradition of Safarov is a multi-step combination that
had been prepared for a long period of time. The South Caucasus is at
the threshold of global processes, which are impossible to avoid or
evade. Irrespective of our desire, the situation with the Islamic
Republic of Iran and its confrontation with the West is growing tense
day by day. The murder of the Armenian officer raises a lot of
questions in the EU, Russia, Armenia and other countries. In this
light, the anti-Russian statements and 'analyses' on some Armenian
websites look quite symptomatic, for they again blame Russia for
everything. However, those 'analysts' do not criticize NATO, EU and
others for some unknown reasons, though carelessness of those
structures is what leads to such genocidal actions by monsters like
Safarov and their impunity. In Meanwhile, many in Russia have realized
the true role of Azerbaijan and our officials have already made their
statements.
Is Hungary's role in that multi-step combination restricted to
receiving 3 billion dollars or are there any other motives?
The negotiations for Safarov transfer with Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orban, who allegedly trusted in Aliyev's promises to buy
unsecured government bonds of Hungary, were just another fraud of a
cunning dealer. It is interesting that President Putin has also been
implicated in that shameful deal. The Azerbaijani press reported that
businessman Ilham Ragimov, who is a university friend of Vladimir
Putin, was directly involved in the deal of Baku and Budapest. All
this fits into the anti-Putin policy of the West and its hangs- by in
the post-Soviet area. It is very much necessary for them to see Putin
as a bargaining chip. And they do not care that Hungary proved
disappointed in its expectations, Azerbaijan refused to buy Hungarian
bonds, and Tallish Ilham Ragimov bears no relation to that deal. In
the meanwhile, some forces in Armenia have taken advantage of the
speculations of Azerbaijani websites, and the anti-Russian and
anti-Putin campaign in Armenia has gathered pace, unfortunately. There
are people in the state machine of Armenia who are biased and who
conceal their anti-Russian orientation behind their smiles. Their
names and the analysts they patronize are well known. In this light, a
new allegation against Russia and the Russian president plays into the
hands of the trimmers working for the West. The decision of the
Hungarian authorities is so shameful that fully cancels their
commitment to the European and Christian values they have declared.
But Russia bears no relation to all that. In this light, I can just
welcome President Sargsyan's decision to freeze the diplomatic
relations with Hungary.
Let's speak on the United States' role in these processes...
As regards the USA, although Aliyev is disgustful to Washington, the
alliance between the USA and Azerbaijan will go on developing. Aliyev
has long ago gone under America. Numerous airdromes were given to
America and Israel long ago, where their military contingent and
armament, prepared against Iran, were deployed. As for the extremely
high price for renting of the Gabala radio location station, it was
issued under express indication of Washington. Aliyev's anti-Russian
dog and pony show is not surprising to anybody any more. He
purposefully organized the meeting of the US new Ambassador to
Azerbaijan, Richard Morningstar, and Prime Minister of Turkey,
Edgogan, just in Gabala. Moreover, the USA is already ready to leave
the negotiating process on Karabakh. For this reason, the efforts by
Armenia's Foreign Minister, Edward Nalbandian, who said that
"Safarov's release will not force Armenia leave the negotiating
process" are in vain. Armenia should be a step ahead of the event that
may happen, taking into consideration the rumors that a decision to
liquidate the OSCE Minsk Group may be adopted at the first sitting of
the autumn session of the UN General Assembly. It is very much
possible that its functions will be transferred to NATO or the latter
may become the third co-chair of the Minsk Group or of the structure,
which may appear on its ruins. Numerous supporters of diplomatic talks
on Karabakh may object that Armenia should not recognize Karabakh at
present. But I can ask - would not you be late, gentlemen? The war
against Iran is around the corner.
Why does the USA so much need the war against Iran given the fact that
the USA can no way leave Afghanistan?
The United States will unleash a war against Iran if they fail to keep
the dollar stable. But, such probability is very low. War that will
allow writing off trillions and saving the dollar is meat and drink to
the United States. But it is still a big question whether that war
bring stability to the South Caucasus and Iran. Washington has already
understood that the Minsk Group is no longer effective. Therefore,
Armenia should anticipate the decision on its liquidation and adopt
the right decision. Today Armenia has a direct chance to recognize the
sovereignty of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic. It could sound
paradoxical, but it is necessary to use that chance as soon as
possible. The Government of Armenia must realize that Karabakh should
be recognized as an independent state before the terrible events that
may start at any moment. It will help Karabakh save itself without
interference on the so-called peacemakers, specifically, the U.S.
military contingent that has been already deployed in Azerbaijan and
Georgia and ready to be deployed in Karabakh without any mandates.
Everyone is waiting for announcement of the date of attacking Iran.
Before that Azerbaijan will have to unleash large-scale aggression
against Karabakh. In response to that the USA will immediately deploy
troops in the territory of the NKR without a relevant mandate
explaining that they are short of time and should allegedly establish
peace. Such a scenario is quite possible and fully depends on the
decision of the Armenian Government.
So, is the recognition of the NKR's independence the only way out of
the current situation?
Yerevan should realize that Karabakh is not a part of the Republic of
Armenia, but a sovereign state. If Armenia recognizes the NKR and this
is followed by recognition of other states, the new republic will have
a chance to conclude military agreements and save itself in the
upcoming bloodshed between the West and Iran. I am convinced that
Armenia knows what to do in response to Safarov's release. In my
opinion, on September 2 the President of Armenia should have convened
an extraordinary session of the Parliament to raise only one issue -
the issue on immediate recognition of the NKR. If this had happened
those days, the whole world would have fully understood this decision.
The problem would have been solved by itself. Nobody would have
started to find out whether the recognition was legal or not. In this
context, one should point out the significance of recognition of the
NKR, first and foremost, by Armenia.
May the pardoning and glorification of Safarov become an important
argument if Yerevan decides to take that step?
The monsters like Safarov the Azeri President is so proud of, as well
as his decision on Safarov have demonstrated to the whole world that
all the proposals on peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict will
never be put in practice. Now the whole world understands that if the
residents of Karabakh suddenly find themselves under Azerbaijan's
control, they will face total annihilation, and one should not trust
the world's promises to the people Azerbaijan hates so much.
Consequently, Aliyev's step once again demonstrates that in the peace
process held by the OSCE Minsk Group Karabakh can by no means be
considered a part of Azerbaijan, because it is doubtless that the
residents of Karabakh will be totally annihilated. And all those
killers of the Karabakh residents, who are currently living in
Azerbaijan like pigs in clover, will immediately start a new massacre,
exterminating everyone living in the NKR. Russia should express its
opinion on what is going on as soon as possible both as a member of
the OSCE Minsk Group and as Armenia's ally. It's time to finish the
policy of leveling. Many things still depend on Russia's position and
foreign policy, especially as the matter concerns its security, too,
particularly, in the context of Middle East developments and the
situation around Iran. All this demands the support of Armenia, the
ally of Russia, and ensuring of Russian interests, which coincide with
the Armenian interests in terms of security.