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IF THERE WAS NO SAFAROV CASE, IT WOULD BE CREATED: MARKEDONOV
http://1in.am/eng/opinions_aropinions_2799.html
22:50 | 2012-09-25 | Opinions | Regional Opinions |
Delivering a keynote talk at Center for Strategic and International
Studies in Washington leading international expert on South Caucasus
Sergey Markedonov has particularly covered the issue of status quo in
the region. Depicting the region as "compared to Europe between the
two World Wars, not with Spain after Franco, not with Greece after
Black Colonels or so" Markedonov has stated that:
"I think both sides of the conflict Armenia and Azerbaijan are not
ready for mutual compromises and for real resolution of the conflict.
Speaking about resolution of the conflict I am not meaning here
win-lose strategy, I mean win-win and mutual compromises." According
to Markedonov two sides of the conflict are not interested in
compromise conflict resolution noting this is the reason parties are
not interested in real peacekeeping.
Markedonov noted that the case of Safarov was used for this purpose
stating that "if we wouldn't have the case of Safarov, we would
invent the case of Safarov to have patriotic mobilization" pointing
to the upcoming elections in South Caucasus. "Reaction of Azerbaijan
was absolutely understandable and predictable, maybe it's cynically
spoken but its absolutely understandable" Commenting on the idea that
Aliyev did not consider the consequences, Markedonov stated that "he
thinks about his image not in the USA or in the Western Europe but
in Azerbaijan, for him it's question number one as well as for Serzh
Sargsyan maybe very tough statements on Hungary are also understandable
and predictable: he thinks first and foremost about his patriotic
legitimization no other legitimization in two countries but patriotic"
According to Markedonov it would be correct to target the international
community- "The most important thing could be addressed to negotiators:
U.S. Russia, and France: stop speaking about great success in
negotiations and concentrate on very pragmatic things. The problem
with the negotiators is the arbitrary function of negotiators", noted
Markedonov. In line with his argument Minsk Group states are not
interested to change the status quo since for Russia that change is
"very unpredictable" reasoned by North Caucasus and Georgia; for the
U.S.A. North Caucasus is on the second plan and Middle East matters
more; and for the EU and France European crises still suffice-
"this is why they would balance between Azerbaijan and Armenia".
Note: "First News & Analyses" followed the CSIS panel discussion
Sergey Markedonov made the talk at and took notes from the official
CSIS podcast published later.
http://1in.am/eng/opinions_aropinions_2799.html
22:50 | 2012-09-25 | Opinions | Regional Opinions |
Delivering a keynote talk at Center for Strategic and International
Studies in Washington leading international expert on South Caucasus
Sergey Markedonov has particularly covered the issue of status quo in
the region. Depicting the region as "compared to Europe between the
two World Wars, not with Spain after Franco, not with Greece after
Black Colonels or so" Markedonov has stated that:
"I think both sides of the conflict Armenia and Azerbaijan are not
ready for mutual compromises and for real resolution of the conflict.
Speaking about resolution of the conflict I am not meaning here
win-lose strategy, I mean win-win and mutual compromises." According
to Markedonov two sides of the conflict are not interested in
compromise conflict resolution noting this is the reason parties are
not interested in real peacekeeping.
Markedonov noted that the case of Safarov was used for this purpose
stating that "if we wouldn't have the case of Safarov, we would
invent the case of Safarov to have patriotic mobilization" pointing
to the upcoming elections in South Caucasus. "Reaction of Azerbaijan
was absolutely understandable and predictable, maybe it's cynically
spoken but its absolutely understandable" Commenting on the idea that
Aliyev did not consider the consequences, Markedonov stated that "he
thinks about his image not in the USA or in the Western Europe but
in Azerbaijan, for him it's question number one as well as for Serzh
Sargsyan maybe very tough statements on Hungary are also understandable
and predictable: he thinks first and foremost about his patriotic
legitimization no other legitimization in two countries but patriotic"
According to Markedonov it would be correct to target the international
community- "The most important thing could be addressed to negotiators:
U.S. Russia, and France: stop speaking about great success in
negotiations and concentrate on very pragmatic things. The problem
with the negotiators is the arbitrary function of negotiators", noted
Markedonov. In line with his argument Minsk Group states are not
interested to change the status quo since for Russia that change is
"very unpredictable" reasoned by North Caucasus and Georgia; for the
U.S.A. North Caucasus is on the second plan and Middle East matters
more; and for the EU and France European crises still suffice-
"this is why they would balance between Azerbaijan and Armenia".
Note: "First News & Analyses" followed the CSIS panel discussion
Sergey Markedonov made the talk at and took notes from the official
CSIS podcast published later.